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PACS

NEUTRAL
$33.55 Live
PACS Group, Inc. · NYSE
Target $45.83 (+36.6%)
$7.5 52W Range $43.08

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated May 01, 2026
Market cap
$5.27B
P/E
27.5
ROE
23.0%
Profit margin
3.6%
Debt/Equity
3.78
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
75%
PACS presents a high-growth profile tempered by significant financial leverage and mediocre fundamental health, as evidenced by a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9. While the stock trades near its growth-based intrinsic value ($35.99) and shows an attractive PEG ratio of 1.02, it is priced at a massive premium to its Graham Number ($12.88). Explosive earnings growth is offset by a poor track record of meeting analyst estimates and a high Debt/Equity ratio of 3.78. The divergence between 'Strong Buy' analyst ratings and bearish insider/technical signals suggests a period of volatility ahead.

Key Strengths

Strong earnings growth (57.2% YoY)
Attractive PEG ratio (1.02) indicating growth is reasonably priced
High Return on Equity (ROE) of 22.96%
Significant 1-year price appreciation (+248.4%)
Positive forward P/E compression (27.50 to 14.21)

Key Risks

Excessive leverage with a Debt/Equity ratio of 3.78
Thin profit margins (3.62%) leaving little room for operational error
Consistent failure to beat earnings estimates (1/4 in last 4 quarters)
Bearish insider sentiment with recent executive selling
Weak technical trend (0/100) indicating short-term momentum loss
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$34.5
+2.8% above current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
44
Moderate
Value
55
Future
82
Past
45
Health
38
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
Speculative Growth
Key drivers: Earnings acceleration, High leverage, Valuation gap between Graham and Intrinsic
Confidence
80%
Value
55/100

P/E 27.50, PEG 1.02, Graham $12.88

Positives
  • PEG ratio near 1.0
  • Forward P/E is attractive
Watchpoints
  • Trades far above Graham Number ($12.88)
  • High Price/Book (5.55)
Future
82/100

Ref Growth rates and Analyst Targets

Positives
  • 57.2% YoY Earnings growth
  • 12.4% Revenue growth
  • Strong analyst target price ($45.83)
Watchpoints
  • Dependence on maintaining high growth to justify premium
Past
45/100

Ref Historical earnings surprises and price performance

Positives
  • Massive 1Y and 6M price returns
Watchpoints
  • Poor earnings surprise history
  • High volatility in quarterly EPS
Health
38/100

Ref Piotroski F-Score and Debt/Equity

Positives
  • Piotroski F-Score 4/9 (Stable)
Watchpoints
  • Debt/Equity 3.78 is very high
  • Current ratio 1.07 is barely adequate
Dividend
0/100

Ref Yield 0%

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • No dividend paid

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$33.55
Analyst Target
$45.83
Upside/Downside
+36.6%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for PACS and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-30
PAC
PACS Group, Inc.
Primary
5Y
+45.9%
3Y
+45.9%
1Y
+248.4%
6M
+174.1%
1M
+4.5%
1W
-4.3%
CAI
Caris Life Sciences, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-33.0%
3Y
-33.0%
1Y
-33.0%
6M
-40.6%
1M
-1.3%
1W
+4.9%
LNT
Lantheus Holdings, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+283.6%
3Y
-6.7%
1Y
-18.2%
6M
+50.5%
1M
-2.5%
1W
+5.9%
OSC
Oscar Health, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-18.9%
3Y
+168.3%
1Y
+41.9%
6M
+2.0%
1M
+60.9%
1W
+12.4%
ALK
Alkermes plc
Peer
5Y
+53.2%
3Y
+17.7%
1Y
+17.2%
6M
+7.2%
1M
+11.8%
1W
-0.1%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
27.5
Forward P/E
14.21
PEG Ratio
1.02
P/B Ratio
5.55
P/S Ratio
1.0
EV/Revenue
1.64
EV/EBITDA
23.76
Market Cap
$5.27B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 3.62%
Operating Margin 6.97%
Gross Margin 15.48%
ROE 22.96%
ROA 3.57%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +12.4%
Earnings Growth +57.2%
Q/Q Revenue Growth +12.43%
Q/Q Earnings Growth +60.5%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
3.78
High debt
Current Ratio
1.07
Good
Quick Ratio
0.9
Poor
Cash/Share
$1.25

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$1.4B
Gross Margin
16.5%
Op. Margin
7.0%
Net Margin
4.4%
Total Assets
$5.6B
Liabilities
$4.6B
Equity
$0.9B
Debt/Equity
4.89x
Operating CF
$-0.0B
CapEx
$-0.1B
Free Cash Flow
$-0.1B
FCF Yield
3471%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-07
$N/A
2026-02-26
$0.57
+25.6% surprise
2025-11-19
$0.45
-3.8% surprise
2025-11-19
$0.46
-5.0% surprise

Healthcare Sector Comparison

Comparing PACS against 582 companies in the Healthcare sector (37 bullish, 181 neutral, 364 bearish)
P/E Ratio
27.5
This Stock
vs
71.85
Sector Avg
-61.7% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
22.96%
This Stock
vs
-87.12%
Sector Avg
-126.3% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
3.62%
This Stock
vs
-16.02%
Sector Avg
-122.6% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
3.78
This Stock
vs
2.6
Sector Avg
+45.0% (Higher)
Revenue Growth
12.4%
This Stock
vs
120.93%
Sector Avg
-89.7% (Slower)
Current Ratio
1.07
This Stock
vs
4.39
Sector Avg
-75.7% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

MITCHELL JOHN TODD
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-24
82,039 shares
MURRAY JASON HULSE
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-24
234,397 shares
JERGENSEN JOSHUA
President
Stock Award
2026-03-24
146,498 shares
LEWIS MICHELLE RENEE
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-24
35,159 shares
HANCOCK MARK
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-24
98,154 shares
PRIEGNITZ KELLY
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-24
8,203 shares
BINGHAM TRENT DEAN
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-24
14,649 shares
JERGENSEN JOSHUA
President
Sell
2026-03-13
36,335 shares · $1,245,647
HANCOCK MARK
Officer, Director and Beneficial Owner
Gift
2026-03-05
300,000 shares
CONWAY PATRICK HUGH M.D.
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-04
3,497 shares
PRIEGNITZ KELLY
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-03
30,000 shares
BINGHAM TRENT DEAN
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-03
25,000 shares
DILSAVER EVELYN S
Director
Stock Award
2025-12-19
4,399 shares
MILLARD JACQUELINE
Director
Stock Award
2025-12-19
4,399 shares
LEAVITT TAYLOR
Director
Stock Award
2025-12-19
4,399 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

DEF 14A
DEF 14A
2026-04-28

PACS filed a Definitive Proxy Statement on April 28, 2026, providing shareholders with necessary information to vote on corporate matters at the upcoming annual meeting.

8-K
8-K
2026-04-27

PACS likely reported its first-quarter financial results for the period ending March 31, 2026.

8-K
8-K
2026-03-05

PACS filed a current report on March 5, 2026, likely announcing its annual financial results.

10-K
10-K
2026-02-27

PACS submitted its annual 10-K filing on February 27, 2026, providing a comprehensive overview of its business operations and financial condition. The filing includes detailed disclosures regarding the company's risk factors and management's analysis of its results of operations.

8-K
8-K
2026-02-26

PACS filed an 8-K on February 26, 2026, likely to announce its annual financial results.

8-K
8-K
2025-12-23
8-K
8-K
2025-12-01
DEF 14A
DEF 14A
2025-11-25

PACS filed a Definitive Proxy Statement on November 25, 2025, providing shareholders with necessary information and voting materials for an upcoming meeting.

8-K
8-K
2025-11-19
10-Q
10-Q
2025-11-19

PACS filed its 10-Q on November 19, 2025. While the filing includes a section for Risk Factors under Item 1A, no specific financial highlights or detailed risk disclosures were provided in the available excerpt.

10-Q
10-Q
2025-11-19
10-Q
10-Q
2025-11-19
10-K
10-K
2025-11-19

PACS operates 314 post-acute care facilities across 17 states, utilizing a strategy of converting underperforming custodial centers into high-value transitional care facilities, with mature sites achieving a 94% occupancy rate and a 4.3 QM Star rating as of December 31, 2024. The company faces significant risks stemming from its dependence on third-party payor reimbursements and potential volatility related to changes in patient acuity mix and payment methodologies.

10-Q
10-Q
2025-11-19
8-K
8-K
2025-11-06
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
STRONG_BUY
6 analysts
UBS
2026-03-04
Maintains
Buy Buy
Oppenheimer
2026-03-04
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
RBC Capital
2026-02-27
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
RBC Capital
2025-11-20
Maintains
Outperform Outperform

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning PACS from our newsroom.

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