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PBR

NEUTRAL
$21.9 Live
Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras · NYSE
Target $21.28 (-2.8%)
$11.04 52W Range $22.09

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated May 02, 2026
Market cap
$141.13B
P/E
7.2
ROE
28.2%
Profit margin
22.1%
Debt/Equity
0.92
Dividend yield
6.69%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
PBR presents a classic value trap profile: fundamentally cheap but technically exhausted. While the Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates stable health and the Graham Number of $29.79 suggests significant defensive undervaluation, these are offset by a severe technical breakdown (Trend: 10/100) and deteriorating earnings growth (-53.2% Q/Q EPS). The company maintains exceptional profitability (ROE 28.18%) and an attractive dividend, but liquidity risks are evident in the low current ratio (0.71).

Key Strengths

Deep value valuation with a P/E of 7.20 and a PEG ratio of 0.39
Superior profitability metrics (ROE 28.18% and Profit Margin 22.13%) compared to sector averages
Strong dividend profile with a 6.69% yield and sustainable 55.71% payout ratio
Significant historical price appreciation (5Y Change: +724.1%)
Low Debt/Equity (0.92) relative to the energy sector average (1.24)

Key Risks

Severe technical bearishness (Technical Trend: 10/100) following a massive 1Y run-up
Poor short-term liquidity with a Current Ratio of 0.71 and Quick Ratio of 0.44
Negative earnings momentum with Q/Q EPS growth falling 53.2%
Weak insider sentiment (40/100) suggesting lack of confidence at current levels
Poor recent earnings track record, beating estimates in only 1 of the last 4 quarters
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$23.5
+7.3% above current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
68
Strong
Value
92
Future
35
Past
88
Health
45
Dividend
82
AI Verdict
Value-Driven but Momentum-Constrained
Key drivers: Extreme P/E discount, Negative EPS growth, Liquidity concerns, High dividend yield
Confidence
90%
Value
92/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • P/E 7.20 is far below sector avg 29.99
  • PEG 0.39 indicates extreme undervaluation relative to growth
  • Price is well below Graham Number ($29.79)
Watchpoints
  • Price/Book of 1.69 is moderate
Future
35/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Positive YoY Revenue Growth (5%)
Watchpoints
  • Sharp Q/Q EPS decline (-53.2%)
  • Bearish technical trend (10/100)
Past
88/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Massive 5Y and 1Y returns
  • Consistent historical ROE outperformance
Watchpoints
  • Recent earnings misses
Health
45/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Piotroski F-Score 4/9 (Stable)
  • Debt/Equity below sector average
Watchpoints
  • Current Ratio 0.71 indicates potential short-term liquidity stress
  • Quick Ratio 0.44 is critically low
Dividend
82/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
  • High yield of 6.69%
  • Sustainable payout ratio (55.71%)
Watchpoints
  • Dividend strength score 70/100 suggests some volatility risk

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$21.9
Analyst Target
$21.28
Upside/Downside
-2.8%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for PBR and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-05-01
PBR
Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras
Primary
5Y
+724.1%
3Y
+221.9%
1Y
+103.7%
6M
+89.2%
1M
+9.7%
1W
+4.9%
PBR
Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras
Peer
5Y
+676.4%
3Y
+228.2%
1Y
+91.8%
6M
+79.4%
1M
+8.5%
1W
+4.5%
COP
ConocoPhillips
Peer
5Y
+199.8%
3Y
+37.5%
1Y
+44.4%
6M
+48.1%
1M
-3.5%
1W
+4.6%
ENB
Enbridge Inc.
Peer
5Y
+95.6%
3Y
+62.9%
1Y
+20.0%
6M
+15.1%
1M
-2.2%
1W
+1.2%
EQN
Equinor ASA
Peer
5Y
+175.1%
3Y
+76.9%
1Y
+75.7%
6M
+61.2%
1M
-6.2%
1W
+7.0%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
7.2
Forward P/E
5.76
PEG Ratio
0.39
P/B Ratio
1.69
P/S Ratio
0.28
EV/Revenue
1.24
EV/EBITDA
2.97
Market Cap
$141.13B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 22.13%
Operating Margin 26.85%
Gross Margin 47.63%
ROE 28.18%
ROA 8.61%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +5.0%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth +13.42%
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.92
Moderate
Current Ratio
0.71
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.44
Poor
Cash/Share
$3.93

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$23.6B
Gross Margin
45.9%
Op. Margin
30.8%
Net Margin
12.3%
Total Assets
$222.3B
Liabilities
$146.4B
Equity
$75.6B
Debt/Equity
1.94x
Operating CF
$10.2B
CapEx
$-6.6B
Free Cash Flow
$3.6B
FCF Yield
35%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-11
$N/A
2026-03-05
$0.44
-23.1% surprise
2025-11-06
$0.94
+31.8% surprise
2025-08-07
$0.64
-3.6% surprise

Energy Sector Comparison

Comparing PBR against 157 companies in the Energy sector (15 bullish, 61 neutral, 81 bearish)
P/E Ratio
7.2
This Stock
vs
29.46
Sector Avg
-75.5% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
28.18%
This Stock
vs
66.59%
Sector Avg
-57.7% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
22.13%
This Stock
vs
8.35%
Sector Avg
+165.1% (Superior)
Debt to Equity
0.92
This Stock
vs
1.18
Sector Avg
-22.1% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
5.0%
This Stock
vs
17.02%
Sector Avg
-70.6% (Slower)
Current Ratio
0.71
This Stock
vs
2.16
Sector Avg
-67.3% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

20-F
20-F
2026-04-09

Petrobras (PBR) submitted its annual 20-F filing on April 9, 2026. Due to the absence of provided excerpts, specific financial highlights and risk factors from this report are unavailable.

20-F
20-F
2025-04-03

Petrobras (PBR) filed its 20-F annual report on April 3, 2025, providing a comprehensive overview of its fiscal year financial performance. The filing details the company's financial highlights and outlines the primary operational and market risks facing the organization.

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
14 analysts
B of A Securities
2026-04-17
up
Neutral Buy
Jefferies
2026-03-13
down
Buy Hold
Goldman Sachs
2026-02-11
Maintains
Buy Buy
UBS
2026-01-14
Maintains
Buy Buy

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning PBR from our newsroom.

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