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PNW

BEARISH
$103.54 Live
Pinnacle West Capital Corporation · NYSE
Target $105.57 (+2.0%)
$85.32 52W Range $104.92

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated May 02, 2026
Market cap
$12.53B
P/E
20.5
ROE
9.1%
Profit margin
11.5%
Debt/Equity
2.02
Dividend yield
3.52%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
PNW exhibits a stable but mediocre financial health profile with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 and no Altman Z-Score available for distress analysis. The stock is significantly overvalued, trading at $103.54, which is well above both its Graham Number ($81.38) and its growth-based intrinsic value ($35.35). While the company maintains a strong ROE relative to the utility sector, a very bearish technical trend (10/100) and a high PEG ratio of 3.08 suggest limited upside. The combination of low liquidity (Current Ratio 0.54) and high debt-to-equity (2.02) further weighs on the outlook.

Key Strengths

Strong ROE (9.06%) compared to the sector average (0.34%)
Consistent earnings track record with 3 of the last 4 quarters beating estimates
Positive long-term price performance (5Y Change: +51.2%)
Stable regulated utility business model providing predictable revenue
Healthy profit margins (11.55%) exceeding sector averages

Key Risks

Severe overvaluation relative to Graham Number and Intrinsic Value
Poor short-term liquidity with a Current Ratio of 0.54 and Quick Ratio of 0.23
High leverage with a Debt/Equity ratio of 2.02, exceeding sector average
Stagnant revenue growth (3.00% YoY) not justifying the current P/E multiple
Strongly bearish technical trend (10/100) indicating negative momentum
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$81.38
-21.4% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
52
Moderate
Value
30
Future
45
Past
75
Health
50
Dividend
60
AI Verdict
Overvalued Stable Utility
Key drivers: Valuation gap, Liquidity constraints, Technical weakness, Regulated sector stability
Confidence
90%
Value
30/100

Ref P/E 20.50, PEG 3.08, Graham Number $81.38

Positives
  • P/E is slightly below sector average
Watchpoints
  • Price far exceeds Graham Number ($81.38)
  • Price far exceeds Intrinsic Value ($35.35)
  • High PEG ratio (3.08)
Future
45/100

Ref Growth rates and Technical Trend 10/100

Positives
  • Consistent earnings surprises
Watchpoints
  • Low revenue growth (3%)
  • Bearish technical trend
Past
75/100

Ref Historical price changes and Earnings track record

Positives
  • Strong 5Y and 3Y price appreciation
  • Consistent quarterly beats
Watchpoints
  • Recent Q/Q EPS growth decline
Health
50/100

Ref Piotroski F-Score, Current Ratio, Debt/Equity

Positives
  • Piotroski F-Score 4/9 (Stable)
Watchpoints
  • Current Ratio 0.54 (Liquidity risk)
  • Debt/Equity 2.02 (High leverage)
Dividend
60/100

Ref Yield 3.52%, Payout 71.19%

Positives
  • Reliable 3.52% yield
Watchpoints
  • High payout ratio (71.19%) limiting growth reinvestment

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$103.54
Analyst Target
$105.57
Upside/Downside
+2.0%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for PNW and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-05-01
PNW
Pinnacle West Capital Corporation
Primary
5Y
+51.2%
3Y
+48.4%
1Y
+15.3%
6M
+19.3%
1M
+2.0%
1W
+1.2%
AES
The AES Corporation
Peer
5Y
-34.7%
3Y
-39.8%
1Y
+31.2%
6M
+6.0%
1M
+2.1%
1W
+0.4%
OGE
OGE Energy Corp.
Peer
5Y
+81.0%
3Y
+48.2%
1Y
+11.7%
6M
+11.8%
1M
+2.6%
1W
+2.7%
CIG
Companhia Energética de Minas Gerais - CEMIG
Peer
5Y
+248.6%
3Y
+47.9%
1Y
+51.5%
6M
+39.7%
1M
+18.1%
1W
-7.8%
ENL
Enlight Renewable Energy Ltd
Peer
5Y
+3524.5%
3Y
+322.9%
1Y
+372.8%
6M
+114.4%
1M
-9.3%
1W
+0.1%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
20.5
Forward P/E
18.57
PEG Ratio
3.08
P/B Ratio
1.78
P/S Ratio
2.35
EV/Revenue
5.03
EV/EBITDA
13.1
Market Cap
$12.53B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 11.55%
Operating Margin 10.99%
Gross Margin 41.6%
ROE 9.06%
ROA 2.4%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +3.0%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth +2.99%
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
2.02
High debt
Current Ratio
0.54
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.23
Poor
Cash/Share
$0.06

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$1.1B
Gross Margin
36.3%
Op. Margin
10.7%
Net Margin
1.4%
Total Assets
$30.0B
Liabilities
$22.9B
Equity
$7.0B
Debt/Equity
3.26x
Operating CF
$0.5B
CapEx
$-0.7B
Free Cash Flow
$-0.2B
FCF Yield
-40%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-04
$N/A
2026-02-25
$0.13
+472.7% surprise
2025-11-03
$3.39
+9.9% surprise
2025-08-06
$1.58
+0.2% surprise

Utilities Sector Comparison

Comparing PNW against 83 companies in the Utilities sector (5 bullish, 49 neutral, 29 bearish)
P/E Ratio
20.5
This Stock
vs
26.17
Sector Avg
-21.7% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
9.06%
This Stock
vs
0.73%
Sector Avg
+1144.0% (Excellent)
Profit Margin
11.55%
This Stock
vs
7.22%
Sector Avg
+59.8% (Superior)
Debt to Equity
2.02
This Stock
vs
1.65
Sector Avg
+22.2% (Higher)
Revenue Growth
3.0%
This Stock
vs
21.27%
Sector Avg
-85.9% (Slower)
Current Ratio
0.54
This Stock
vs
1.13
Sector Avg
-52.3% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

HEFLIN ADAM C.
Officer of Subsidiary Company
Stock Award
2026-03-18
22,157 shares
BLANKENSHIP ELIZABETH A.
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-18
3,098 shares
GEISLER THEODORE N
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-18
24,287 shares
GEISLER THEODORE N
Chief Executive Officer
Gift
2026-03-18
12,436 shares
COOPER ANDREW D
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-18
18,177 shares
TETLOW JACOB
Officer of Subsidiary Company
Stock Award
2026-03-18
20,879 shares
ESPARZA JOSE LUIS JR
Divisional Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-18
3,712 shares
BAUM SHIRLEY A
General Counsel
Stock Award
2026-03-18
2,781 shares
HEFLIN ADAM C.
Divisional Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-20
9,357 shares
BLANKENSHIP ELIZABETH A.
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-20
1,989 shares
GEISLER THEODORE N
Chief Executive Officer
Gift
2026-02-20
5,319 shares
GEISLER THEODORE N
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-20
10,019 shares
COOPER ANDREW D
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-20
7,771 shares
TETLOW JACOB
Divisional Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-20
5,109 shares
ESPARZA JOSE LUIS JR
Divisional Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-20
1,864 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

8-K
8-K
2026-04-15

PNW filed an 8-K on April 15, 2026, likely to announce its first-quarter financial results.

DEF 14A
DEF 14A
2026-04-03

PNW filed a definitive proxy statement (DEF 14A) on April 3, 2026, providing shareholders with necessary information to vote on corporate matters at the upcoming annual meeting.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2026-03-12

PNW likely filed this 8-K to announce its annual financial results for the preceding fiscal year.

8-K
8-K
2026-02-27

PNW filed an 8-K on February 27, 2026, likely to report its annual financial results for the preceding fiscal year.

8-K
8-K
2026-02-25

PNW likely filed this 8-K to announce its annual financial results for the fiscal year.

10-K
10-K
2026-02-25
8-K
FORM 8-K
2026-02-19
8-K
8-K
2025-11-07
10-Q
10-Q
2025-11-03
8-K
8-K
2025-11-03
8-K
8-K
2025-10-14
8-K
8-K
2025-09-02
8-K
8-K
2025-09-02
8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-08-15
8-K
8-K
2025-08-06
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
HOLD
14 analysts
Morgan Stanley
2026-04-21
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight
Truist Securities
2026-04-21
init
Hold
Argus Research
2026-04-14
Maintains
Buy Buy
Barclays
2026-03-31
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight
Citigroup
2026-02-26
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
TD Cowen
2026-02-26
Maintains
Hold Hold
BMO Capital
2026-02-26
Maintains
Market Perform Market Perform
Wells Fargo
2026-02-26
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight
Wells Fargo
2026-01-20
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight
Barclays
2026-01-15
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning PNW from our newsroom.

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