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AAP vs SHOO

AAP
Advance Auto Parts, Inc.
BEARISH
Price
$46.77
Market Cap
$2.81B
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
AI Confidence
88%
SHOO
Steven Madden, Ltd.
BEARISH
Price
$39.80
Market Cap
$2.91B
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
AI Confidence
85%

Valuation

P/E Ratio
AAP
--
SHOO
63.17
Forward P/E
AAP
17.52
SHOO
15.17
P/B Ratio
AAP
1.28
SHOO
3.34
P/S Ratio
AAP
0.33
SHOO
1.15
EV/EBITDA
AAP
24.78
SHOO
16.1

Profitability

Gross Margin
AAP
42.35%
SHOO
42.63%
Operating Margin
AAP
2.9%
SHOO
8.1%
Profit Margin
AAP
-4.37%
SHOO
1.76%
ROE
AAP
-23.87%
SHOO
5.51%
ROA
AAP
0.01%
SHOO
6.61%

Growth

Revenue Growth
AAP
-5.2%
SHOO
29.4%
Earnings Growth
AAP
--
SHOO
-31.7%

Financial Health

Debt/Equity
AAP
2.58
SHOO
0.54
Current Ratio
AAP
1.73
SHOO
1.9
Quick Ratio
AAP
0.84
SHOO
1.02

Dividends

Dividend Yield
AAP
2.18%
SHOO
2.11%
Payout Ratio
AAP
126.58%
SHOO
133.33%

AI Verdict

AAP BEARISH

The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals severe financial health concerns with a Piotroski F-Score of just 1/9, indicating weak operational and balance sheet performance. Despite a modest dividend yield and a low Price/Sales ratio, the company is unprofitable with negative earnings, deteriorating ROE of -23.87%, and a high debt/equity ratio of 2.58. Earnings volatility is extreme, with recent quarters showing massive misses and a YoY EPS growth distortion due to negative prior-year comparisons. The stock trades below fair value expectations but reflects justified risk discounting given persistent profitability and cash flow challenges.

Strengths
Attractive Price/Sales ratio of 0.33 suggests potential undervaluation relative to revenue
Gross margin remains healthy at 42.35%, indicating pricing power or cost control at the product level
Current ratio of 1.73 shows short-term liquidity is adequate
Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 signals severe financial distress and weak fundamentals
Negative profit margin (-4.37%) and ROE (-23.87%) indicate ongoing unprofitability and poor capital efficiency
Debt/Equity ratio of 2.58 is well above sector average (1.58), increasing financial risk
SHOO BEARISH

SHOO exhibits a concerning divergence between aggressive revenue growth and collapsing profitability, evidenced by a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 (Stable/Weak) and a massive valuation gap. The stock is trading at $39.80, significantly exceeding both its Graham Number ($13.0) and Intrinsic Value ($4.41). While top-line growth is strong at 29.4%, the YoY earnings decline of 31.7% and an unsustainable dividend payout ratio of 133.33% signal fundamental instability. Combined with bearish insider sentiment and a high trailing P/E of 63.17, the current price appears speculative and unsupported by deterministic health metrics.

Strengths
Strong YoY revenue growth of 29.40%
Healthy gross margins at 42.63%
Solid liquidity with a current ratio of 1.90
Risks
Severe earnings contraction (-31.7% YoY)
Unsustainable dividend payout ratio (133.33%)
Extreme overvaluation relative to Graham and Intrinsic values

Compare Another Pair

AAP vs SHOO: Head-to-Head Comparison

This page compares Advance Auto Parts, Inc. (AAP) and Steven Madden, Ltd. (SHOO) across key fundamental metrics including valuation ratios, profitability margins, growth rates, financial health indicators, and dividend metrics. Each metric highlights the better-performing stock so you can quickly identify relative strengths and weaknesses.

Our AI engine independently analyzes each company's financials, competitive position, and market conditions to produce a verdict (Bullish, Neutral, or Bearish) along with key strengths and risks. Use this comparison alongside your own research to make informed investment decisions.

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