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AIR vs ALK

AIR
AAR Corp.
BEARISH
Price
$118.52
Market Cap
$4.69B
Sector
Industrials
AI Confidence
85%
ALK
Alaska Air Group, Inc.
BEARISH
Price
$41.45
Market Cap
$4.7B
Sector
Industrials
AI Confidence
85%

Valuation

P/E Ratio
AIR
26.05
ALK
52.47
Forward P/E
AIR
21.02
ALK
5.9
P/B Ratio
AIR
3.45
ALK
1.16
P/S Ratio
AIR
1.58
ALK
0.33
EV/EBITDA
AIR
15.64
ALK
8.51

Profitability

Gross Margin
AIR
19.29%
ALK
20.66%
Operating Margin
AIR
8.51%
ALK
-7.39%
Profit Margin
AIR
3.17%
ALK
0.51%
ROE
AIR
6.86%
ALK
1.86%
ROA
AIR
5.59%
ALK
1.3%

Growth

Revenue Growth
AIR
15.9%
ALK
5.2%
Earnings Growth
AIR
--
ALK
--

Financial Health

Debt/Equity
AIR
0.67
ALK
1.79
Current Ratio
AIR
2.85
ALK
0.43
Quick Ratio
AIR
1.06
ALK
0.34

Dividends

Dividend Yield
AIR
--
ALK
--
Payout Ratio
AIR
0.0%
ALK
0.0%

AI Verdict

AIR BEARISH

AAR Corp. (AIR) exhibits weak financial health per the Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, indicating deteriorating fundamentals despite strong revenue growth and consistent earnings beats. The absence of an Altman Z-Score raises concern about bankruptcy risk, particularly given the company's moderate debt-to-equity ratio and declining insider sentiment. While the stock trades at a premium to its Graham Number ($59.28) and intrinsic value ($31.85), its current price of $118.52 reflects high growth expectations, which may not be sustainable. The bearish insider activity—$16.26M in sales over six months—further undermines confidence in near-term prospects.

Strengths
Strong revenue growth of 15.9% YoY
Consistent earnings beat rate of 75% over the last four quarters
Positive average earnings surprise of 13.31% in the last four quarters
Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 indicates weak financial health and deteriorating operational efficiency
No Altman Z-Score available, raising unquantified bankruptcy risk despite moderate leverage
Bearish insider sentiment with $16.26M in sales over six months, including multiple CEO and CFO sales
ALK BEARISH

ALK presents a precarious financial profile characterized by a stable but mediocre Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 and a significant valuation gap, with the current price ($41.45) trading well above the Graham Number ($25.17) and Intrinsic Value ($5.53). While analysts maintain a 'strong_buy' rating based on a low forward P/E of 5.90, the hard data reveals severe liquidity risks with a current ratio of 0.43 and negative operating margins (-7.39%). The divergence between analyst optimism and bearish insider selling, coupled with a -118.2% YoY EPS decline, suggests a high-risk profile.

Strengths
Low Price-to-Sales ratio (0.33) indicating efficient revenue generation relative to market cap
Low Forward P/E (5.90) suggesting expectations of a sharp earnings recovery
Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates a 'stable' baseline health despite headwinds
Risks
Critical liquidity shortage with a Current Ratio of 0.43 and Quick Ratio of 0.34
Negative operating margins (-7.39%) indicating the core business is currently losing money
Severe earnings collapse with YoY EPS growth at -118.2%

Compare Another Pair

AIR vs ALK: Head-to-Head Comparison

This page compares AAR Corp. (AIR) and Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) across key fundamental metrics including valuation ratios, profitability margins, growth rates, financial health indicators, and dividend metrics. Each metric highlights the better-performing stock so you can quickly identify relative strengths and weaknesses.

Our AI engine independently analyzes each company's financials, competitive position, and market conditions to produce a verdict (Bullish, Neutral, or Bearish) along with key strengths and risks. Use this comparison alongside your own research to make informed investment decisions.

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