ALK
BEARISH
$41.45
Live
Alaska Air Group, Inc. · NYSE
Target $57.53
(+38.8%)
$33.03
52W Range
$65.88
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Apr 22, 2026
Market cap
$4.7B
P/E
52.47
ROE
1.9%
Profit margin
0.5%
Debt/Equity
1.79
Dividend yield
N/A
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
85%
ALK presents a precarious financial profile characterized by a stable but mediocre Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 and a significant valuation gap, with the current price ($41.45) trading well above the Graham Number ($25.17) and Intrinsic Value ($5.53). While analysts maintain a 'strong_buy' rating based on a low forward P/E of 5.90, the hard data reveals severe liquidity risks with a current ratio of 0.43 and negative operating margins (-7.39%). The divergence between analyst optimism and bearish insider selling, coupled with a -118.2% YoY EPS decline, suggests a high-risk profile.
Key Strengths
Low Price-to-Sales ratio (0.33) indicating efficient revenue generation relative to market cap
Low Forward P/E (5.90) suggesting expectations of a sharp earnings recovery
Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates a 'stable' baseline health despite headwinds
Strong analyst backing with a target price of $57.53
Moderate Debt/Equity (1.79) relative to some high-leverage industrial peers
Key Risks
Critical liquidity shortage with a Current Ratio of 0.43 and Quick Ratio of 0.34
Negative operating margins (-7.39%) indicating the core business is currently losing money
Severe earnings collapse with YoY EPS growth at -118.2%
Bearish insider sentiment with $2.48M in net sales by officers and the CFO
Technical trend is completely bearish (0/100) with a 5-year price decline of 38.1%
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$25.17
-39.3% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
29
Weak
30
40
30
45
0
AI Verdict
High Risk / Overvalued
Key drivers: Liquidity crisis, Negative operating margins, Valuation premium over Graham Number, Insider selling
Confidence
90%
Value
30/100
Trading at a significant premium to defensive fair value metrics.
Positives
- Low P/S ratio
- Low Forward P/E
Watchpoints
- Price significantly exceeds Graham Number ($25.17)
- Price vastly exceeds Intrinsic Value ($5.53)
Future
40/100
Future growth is speculative and relies on a massive earnings turnaround.
Positives
- Analyst target price of $57.53
- Positive revenue growth (5.2%)
Watchpoints
- Catastrophic YoY EPS growth (-118.2%)
- Bearish technical trend
Past
30/100
Long-term price performance is poor.
Positives
- Consistent revenue generation
Watchpoints
- 5-year price change of -38.1%
- Inconsistent quarterly earnings beats (1/4 last 4 quarters)
Health
45/100
Stable by Piotroski standards, but liquidity ratios are alarming.
Positives
- Piotroski F-Score 4/9 (Stable)
Watchpoints
- Current Ratio 0.43 (Severe liquidity risk)
- Negative operating margin
Dividend
0/100
Non-dividend paying stock.
Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
- No dividend yield
- 0/100 dividend strength
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$41.45
Analyst Target
$57.53
Upside/Downside
+38.8%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for ALK and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-04-21
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
ALK
Alaska Air Group, Inc.
Primary
|
-38.1% | -6.7% | -5.1% | -15.4% | +7.3% | -2.8% |
|
AIR
AAR Corp.
Peer
|
+176.4% | +117.3% | +70.2% | +45.2% | +1.6% | +8.9% |
|
CPA
Copa Holdings, S.A.
Peer
|
+71.1% | +58.2% | +38.0% | -4.2% | +2.3% | -6.1% |
|
CSW
CSW Industrials, Inc.
Peer
|
+116.0% | +118.7% | -5.3% | +21.3% | +10.0% | +2.1% |
|
FBIN
Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc.
Peer
|
-50.1% | -27.5% | -21.7% | -17.4% | +5.3% | +2.8% |
ALK
Alaska Air Group, Inc.
Primary
5Y
-38.1%
3Y
-6.7%
1Y
-5.1%
6M
-15.4%
1M
+7.3%
1W
-2.8%
AIR
AAR Corp.
Peer
5Y
+176.4%
3Y
+117.3%
1Y
+70.2%
6M
+45.2%
1M
+1.6%
1W
+8.9%
CPA
Copa Holdings, S.A.
Peer
5Y
+71.1%
3Y
+58.2%
1Y
+38.0%
6M
-4.2%
1M
+2.3%
1W
-6.1%
CSW
CSW Industrials, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+116.0%
3Y
+118.7%
1Y
-5.3%
6M
+21.3%
1M
+10.0%
1W
+2.1%
FBI
Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-50.1%
3Y
-27.5%
1Y
-21.7%
6M
-17.4%
1M
+5.3%
1W
+2.8%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
52.47
Forward P/E
5.9
PEG Ratio
1.2
P/B Ratio
1.16
P/S Ratio
0.33
EV/Revenue
0.66
EV/EBITDA
8.51
Market Cap
$4.7B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
0.51%
Operating Margin
-7.39%
Gross Margin
20.66%
ROE
1.86%
ROA
1.3%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+5.2%
Earnings Growth
N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth
+2.77%
Q/Q Earnings Growth
N/A
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
1.79
High debt
Current Ratio
0.43
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.34
Poor
Cash/Share
$15.88
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-07-22
$N/A
2026-04-20
$-1.68
-5.8% surprise
2026-01-22
$0.43
+297.2% surprise
2025-10-23
$1.05
-4.7% surprise
Industrials Sector Comparison
Comparing ALK against 469 companies in the Industrials sector
(39 bullish, 174 neutral, 256 bearish)
P/E Ratio
52.47
This Stock
vs
98.24
Sector Avg
-46.6%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
1.86%
This Stock
vs
-19.38%
Sector Avg
-109.6%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
0.51%
This Stock
vs
6.65%
Sector Avg
-92.4%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
1.79
This Stock
vs
2.63
Sector Avg
-32.1%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
5.2%
This Stock
vs
71.29%
Sector Avg
-92.7%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
0.43
This Stock
vs
3.09
Sector Avg
-86.1%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
ALK
Alaska Air Group, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $4.7B | 52.47 | 1.9% | 0.5% | $41.45 | |
|
AIR
AAR Corp.
|
BEARISH | $4.69B | 26.05 | 6.9% | 3.2% | $118.52 | Compare |
|
CPA
Copa Holdings, S.A.
|
BULLISH | $4.85B | 7.25 | 26.1% | 18.6% | $117.95 | Compare |
|
CSW
CSW Industrials, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $4.94B | 39.23 | 11.9% | 12.6% | $296.18 | Compare |
|
FBIN
Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $4.98B | 16.82 | 12.4% | 6.7% | $41.54 | Compare |
ALK
Alaska Air Group, Inc.
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$4.7B
P/E
52.5
ROE
1.9%
Price
$41.45
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-20 | BERRY JASON M | Chief Operating Officer | Stock Award | 697 | - |
| 2026-02-18 | HARRISON ANDREW R | Officer | Sale | 5,500 | $311,487 |
| 2026-02-18 | TACKETT SHANE R | Chief Financial Officer | Sale | 24,000 | $1,371,533 |
| 2026-02-13 | LEVINE KYLE B | Officer | Stock Award | 13,647 | - |
| 2026-02-13 | BIRKETT RAKOW DIANA | Officer | Stock Award | 9,250 | - |
| 2026-02-13 | VON MUEHLEN CONSTANCE E | Officer | Stock Award | 22,020 | - |
| 2026-02-13 | HALVERSON EMILY | Officer and Treasurer | Stock Award | 4,933 | - |
| 2026-02-13 | BERRY JASON M | Chief Operating Officer | Stock Award | 5,127 | - |
| 2026-02-13 | HARRISON ANDREW R | Officer | Sale | 14,500 | $794,762 |
| 2026-02-13 | HARRISON ANDREW R | Officer | Stock Award | 25,880 | - |
| 2026-02-13 | TACKETT SHANE R | Chief Financial Officer | Stock Award | 28,283 | - |
| 2026-02-13 | MINICUCCI BENITO | Chief Executive Officer | Stock Award | 61,880 | - |
| 2026-02-13 | SCHNEIDER ANDREA L | Officer | Stock Award | 12,143 | - |
| 2026-02-11 | LEVINE KYLE B | Officer | Stock Award | 3,716 | - |
| 2026-02-11 | BIRKETT RAKOW DIANA | Officer | Stock Award | 2,476 | - |
BERRY JASON M
Chief Operating Officer
2026-03-20
697 shares
HARRISON ANDREW R
Officer
2026-02-18
5,500 shares
·
$311,487
TACKETT SHANE R
Chief Financial Officer
2026-02-18
24,000 shares
·
$1,371,533
LEVINE KYLE B
Officer
2026-02-13
13,647 shares
BIRKETT RAKOW DIANA
Officer
2026-02-13
9,250 shares
VON MUEHLEN CONSTANCE E
Officer
2026-02-13
22,020 shares
HALVERSON EMILY
Officer and Treasurer
2026-02-13
4,933 shares
BERRY JASON M
Chief Operating Officer
2026-02-13
5,127 shares
HARRISON ANDREW R
Officer
2026-02-13
14,500 shares
·
$794,762
HARRISON ANDREW R
Officer
2026-02-13
25,880 shares
TACKETT SHANE R
Chief Financial Officer
2026-02-13
28,283 shares
MINICUCCI BENITO
Chief Executive Officer
2026-02-13
61,880 shares
SCHNEIDER ANDREA L
Officer
2026-02-13
12,143 shares
LEVINE KYLE B
Officer
2026-02-11
3,716 shares
BIRKETT RAKOW DIANA
Officer
2026-02-11
2,476 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
SEC Filings
Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database
8-K
DEF 14A
8-K
10-K
8-K
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
STRONG_BUY
16 analysts
Evercore ISI Group
2026-04-17
Outperform
Outperform
UBS
2026-04-15
Buy
Buy
Goldman Sachs
2026-04-01
Buy
Buy
BMO Capital
2026-03-24
Outperform
UBS
2026-03-23
Buy
Buy
Citigroup
2026-03-20
Buy
Buy
UBS
2026-03-16
Buy
Buy
TD Cowen
2026-03-09
Buy
Buy
TD Cowen
2026-01-30
Buy
Buy
Barclays
2026-01-12
Overweight
Overweight
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning ALK from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.