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ALK vs CPA

ALK
Alaska Air Group, Inc.
BEARISH
Price
$41.45
Market Cap
$4.7B
Sector
Industrials
AI Confidence
85%
CPA
Copa Holdings, S.A.
BULLISH
Price
$117.95
Market Cap
$4.85B
Sector
Industrials
AI Confidence
85%

Valuation

P/E Ratio
ALK
52.47
CPA
7.25
Forward P/E
ALK
5.9
CPA
6.07
P/B Ratio
ALK
1.16
CPA
1.75
P/S Ratio
ALK
0.33
CPA
1.34
EV/EBITDA
ALK
8.51
CPA
5.22

Profitability

Gross Margin
ALK
20.66%
CPA
41.75%
Operating Margin
ALK
-7.39%
CPA
22.45%
Profit Margin
ALK
0.51%
CPA
18.57%
ROE
ALK
1.86%
CPA
26.09%
ROA
ALK
1.3%
CPA
8.31%

Growth

Revenue Growth
ALK
5.2%
CPA
9.6%
Earnings Growth
ALK
--
CPA
5.3%

Financial Health

Debt/Equity
ALK
1.79
CPA
0.83
Current Ratio
ALK
0.43
CPA
1.31
Quick Ratio
ALK
0.34
CPA
1.15

Dividends

Dividend Yield
ALK
--
CPA
5.8%
Payout Ratio
ALK
0.0%
CPA
39.56%

AI Verdict

ALK BEARISH

ALK presents a precarious financial profile characterized by a stable but mediocre Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 and a significant valuation gap, with the current price ($41.45) trading well above the Graham Number ($25.17) and Intrinsic Value ($5.53). While analysts maintain a 'strong_buy' rating based on a low forward P/E of 5.90, the hard data reveals severe liquidity risks with a current ratio of 0.43 and negative operating margins (-7.39%). The divergence between analyst optimism and bearish insider selling, coupled with a -118.2% YoY EPS decline, suggests a high-risk profile.

Strengths
Low Price-to-Sales ratio (0.33) indicating efficient revenue generation relative to market cap
Low Forward P/E (5.90) suggesting expectations of a sharp earnings recovery
Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates a 'stable' baseline health despite headwinds
Risks
Critical liquidity shortage with a Current Ratio of 0.43 and Quick Ratio of 0.34
Negative operating margins (-7.39%) indicating the core business is currently losing money
Severe earnings collapse with YoY EPS growth at -118.2%
CPA BULLISH

Copa Holdings presents a compelling deep-value opportunity, characterized by a stable Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 and a current price ($117.95) trading significantly below both its Graham Number ($156.99) and Intrinsic Value ($243.39). The company exhibits exceptional profitability with an ROE of 26.09% and a very low P/E ratio of 7.25, suggesting the market is severely underpricing its earnings power. While technical trends are currently bearish and insider sentiment is weak, the fundamental health and dividend sustainability provide a strong margin of safety.

Strengths
Significant undervaluation relative to Graham Number and Intrinsic Value
High profitability metrics (ROE 26.09%, Operating Margin 22.45%)
Attractive and sustainable dividend yield of 5.80% with a low payout ratio (39.56%)
Risks
Strongly bearish technical trend (0/100) indicating short-term price pressure
Low insider sentiment (40/100) suggesting lack of internal confidence in immediate upside
Cyclical nature of the airline industry and sensitivity to fuel prices/macroeconomic shocks

Compare Another Pair

ALK vs CPA: Head-to-Head Comparison

This page compares Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) and Copa Holdings, S.A. (CPA) across key fundamental metrics including valuation ratios, profitability margins, growth rates, financial health indicators, and dividend metrics. Each metric highlights the better-performing stock so you can quickly identify relative strengths and weaknesses.

Our AI engine independently analyzes each company's financials, competitive position, and market conditions to produce a verdict (Bullish, Neutral, or Bearish) along with key strengths and risks. Use this comparison alongside your own research to make informed investment decisions.

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