CPA
BULLISH
$117.95
Live
Copa Holdings, S.A. · NYSE
Target $159.87
(+35.5%)
$89.47
52W Range
$156.41
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Apr 25, 2026
Market cap
$4.85B
P/E
7.25
ROE
26.1%
Profit margin
18.6%
Debt/Equity
0.83
Dividend yield
5.8%
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
85%
Copa Holdings presents a compelling deep-value opportunity, characterized by a stable Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 and a current price ($117.95) trading significantly below both its Graham Number ($156.99) and Intrinsic Value ($243.39). The company exhibits exceptional profitability with an ROE of 26.09% and a very low P/E ratio of 7.25, suggesting the market is severely underpricing its earnings power. While technical trends are currently bearish and insider sentiment is weak, the fundamental health and dividend sustainability provide a strong margin of safety.
Key Strengths
Significant undervaluation relative to Graham Number and Intrinsic Value
High profitability metrics (ROE 26.09%, Operating Margin 22.45%)
Attractive and sustainable dividend yield of 5.80% with a low payout ratio (39.56%)
Strong historical earnings track record with consistent beats over 25 quarters
Healthy balance sheet with a Current Ratio of 1.31 and manageable Debt/Equity of 0.83
Key Risks
Strongly bearish technical trend (0/100) indicating short-term price pressure
Low insider sentiment (40/100) suggesting lack of internal confidence in immediate upside
Cyclical nature of the airline industry and sensitivity to fuel prices/macroeconomic shocks
Decelerating earnings growth (YoY 5.30%) compared to revenue growth (9.60%)
Concentration risk inherent in regional airline operations
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$182.5
+54.7% above current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
83
Excellent
98
65
90
75
88
AI Verdict
Strong Value Play
Key drivers: Extreme P/E compression, High ROE, Dividend yield, Price-to-Intrinsic gap
Confidence
90%
Value
98/100
Ref P/E 7.25, PEG 0.94, Graham Number $156.99
Positives
- P/E of 7.25 is well below sector averages
- PEG ratio of 0.94 indicates fair value relative to growth
- Trading at ~25% discount to Graham Number
Watchpoints
- Market is currently ignoring value metrics in favor of technical trends
Future
65/100
Ref Growth rates and Forward P/E
Positives
- Steady revenue growth of 9.60%
- Positive forward P/E projection (6.07)
Watchpoints
- Earnings growth is lagging revenue growth
- Industry headwinds for airlines
Past
90/100
Ref Historical earnings track record and 5Y performance
Positives
- Impressive recovery and growth post-2020
- Long-term 5Y price change of +71.1%
- Consistent history of EPS surprises
Watchpoints
- Recent Q/Q EPS growth is slightly negative (-0.5%)
Health
75/100
Ref Piotroski F-Score 6/9, Debt/Equity 0.83
Positives
- Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicates stability
- Current ratio > 1.0
- Debt/Equity is low for the airline sector
Watchpoints
- Altman Z-Score data unavailable for definitive bankruptcy risk assessment
Dividend
88/100
Ref Yield 5.80%, Payout 39.56%
Positives
- High yield of 5.80%
- Conservative payout ratio of 39.56% allows for future increases
Watchpoints
- Dividend strength is high but dependent on continued cash flow stability
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$117.95
Analyst Target
$159.87
Upside/Downside
+35.5%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for CPA and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-04-24
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
CPA
Copa Holdings, S.A.
Primary
|
+71.1% | +58.2% | +38.0% | -4.2% | +2.3% | -6.1% |
|
MYRG
MYR Group Inc.
Peer
|
+357.2% | +161.2% | +185.0% | +56.4% | +20.4% | +11.5% |
|
ALK
Alaska Air Group, Inc.
Peer
|
-38.1% | -6.7% | -5.1% | -15.4% | +7.3% | -2.8% |
|
AIR
AAR Corp.
Peer
|
+176.4% | +117.3% | +70.2% | +45.2% | +1.6% | +8.9% |
|
MRCY
Mercury Systems, Inc.
Peer
|
+7.4% | +68.5% | +78.3% | +8.1% | +4.2% | +8.5% |
CPA
Copa Holdings, S.A.
Primary
5Y
+71.1%
3Y
+58.2%
1Y
+38.0%
6M
-4.2%
1M
+2.3%
1W
-6.1%
MYR
MYR Group Inc.
Peer
5Y
+357.2%
3Y
+161.2%
1Y
+185.0%
6M
+56.4%
1M
+20.4%
1W
+11.5%
ALK
Alaska Air Group, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-38.1%
3Y
-6.7%
1Y
-5.1%
6M
-15.4%
1M
+7.3%
1W
-2.8%
AIR
AAR Corp.
Peer
5Y
+176.4%
3Y
+117.3%
1Y
+70.2%
6M
+45.2%
1M
+1.6%
1W
+8.9%
MRC
Mercury Systems, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+7.4%
3Y
+68.5%
1Y
+78.3%
6M
+8.1%
1M
+4.2%
1W
+8.5%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
7.25
Forward P/E
6.07
PEG Ratio
0.94
P/B Ratio
1.75
P/S Ratio
1.34
EV/Revenue
1.61
EV/EBITDA
5.22
Market Cap
$4.85B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
18.57%
Operating Margin
22.45%
Gross Margin
41.75%
ROE
26.09%
ROA
8.31%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+9.6%
Earnings Growth
+5.3%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
+9.59%
Q/Q Earnings Growth
+4.1%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.83
Moderate
Current Ratio
1.31
Good
Quick Ratio
1.15
Good
Cash/Share
$32.44
Financial Statement Flow
Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025
Revenue
$1.0B
Gross Margin
33.7%
Op. Margin
22.5%
Net Margin
17.9%
Total Assets
$6.6B
Liabilities
$3.8B
Equity
$2.8B
Debt/Equity
1.37x
Operating CF
$0.4B
CapEx
$-0.3B
Free Cash Flow
$0.1B
FCF Yield
30%
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-05-13
$N/A
2026-02-11
$4.18
-3.9% surprise
2025-11-19
$4.2
+5.1% surprise
2025-08-06
$3.61
+11.4% surprise
Industrials Sector Comparison
Comparing CPA against 396 companies in the Industrials sector
(30 bullish, 136 neutral, 230 bearish)
P/E Ratio
7.25
This Stock
vs
81.87
Sector Avg
-91.2%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
26.09%
This Stock
vs
-24.31%
Sector Avg
-207.3%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
18.57%
This Stock
vs
6.58%
Sector Avg
+182.2%
(Superior)
Debt to Equity
0.83
This Stock
vs
2.86
Sector Avg
-71.0%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
9.6%
This Stock
vs
82.27%
Sector Avg
-88.3%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
1.31
This Stock
vs
3.21
Sector Avg
-59.2%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
CPA
Copa Holdings, S.A.
|
BULLISH | $4.85B | 7.25 | 26.1% | 18.6% | $117.95 | |
|
MYRG
MYR Group Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $5.0B | 42.55 | 18.8% | 3.2% | $322.07 | Compare |
|
ALK
Alaska Air Group, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $4.7B | 52.47 | 1.9% | 0.5% | $41.45 | Compare |
|
AIR
AAR Corp.
|
BEARISH | $4.69B | 26.05 | 6.9% | 3.2% | $118.52 | Compare |
|
MRCY
Mercury Systems, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $5.05B | - | -2.1% | -3.2% | $84.09 | Compare |
CPA
Copa Holdings, S.A.
BULLISH
Mkt Cap
$4.9B
P/E
7.2
ROE
26.1%
Price
$117.95
SEC Filings
Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database
20-F
20-F
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
BUY
15 analysts
Goldman Sachs
2026-04-13
Neutral
Buy
UBS
2026-03-27
Buy
Buy
Barclays
2026-03-24
Overweight
Overweight
B of A Securities
2026-03-18
Buy
Buy
Citigroup
2026-03-17
Buy
Buy
JP Morgan
2026-03-12
Overweight
Overweight
Evercore ISI Group
2026-03-12
Outperform
Outperform
Evercore ISI Group
2026-02-13
Outperform
Outperform
Barclays
2026-02-13
Overweight
Overweight
Goldman Sachs
2026-02-13
Buy
Neutral
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning CPA from our newsroom.
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