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MRCY

NEUTRAL
$84.09 Live
Mercury Systems, Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $96.88 (+15.2%)
$44.01 52W Range $103.84

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 15, 2026
Market cap
$5.05B
P/E
N/A
ROE
-2.1%
Profit margin
-3.2%
Debt/Equity
0.47
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
80%
Mercury Systems presents a contradictory profile: a stable financial foundation (Piotroski F-Score 5/9) and strong liquidity contrasted by negative profitability and aggressive insider selling. While the balance sheet is healthy with a low Debt/Equity ratio of 0.47 and a strong Current Ratio of 2.96, the valuation is stretched with a Forward P/E of 56.09 and negative profit margins. The stark divergence between bullish analyst targets ($96.88) and bearish insider activity ($150M in sales) suggests significant internal skepticism despite external optimism.

Key Strengths

Strong liquidity position with a Current Ratio of 2.96
Conservative leverage with Debt/Equity at 0.47
Positive earnings surprise trend in the last 4 quarters
Strong 1-year price appreciation (+78.3%)
Stable Piotroski F-Score (5/9) indicating baseline financial health

Key Risks

Negative profit margins (-3.23%) and ROE (-2.08%)
Extremely bearish insider sentiment with $150.16M in net sales
High valuation premium (Forward P/E 56.09) relative to slow revenue growth (4.4%)
Technical trend is currently bearish (0/100)
Dependence on Aerospace & Defense sector volatility
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$72.5
-13.8% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
45
Moderate
Value
30
Future
55
Past
65
Health
75
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
Speculative Hold
Key drivers: Strong balance sheet, Negative margins, Insider dumping, High valuation
Confidence
85%
Value
30/100

Trades at a significant premium; Graham Number unavailable due to lack of positive earnings.

Positives
  • Price/Book of 3.42 is moderate for the sector
Watchpoints
  • Forward P/E of 56.09 is excessive for 4.4% revenue growth
  • Negative current earnings
Future
55/100

Growth is currently reflected in EPS recovery rather than top-line expansion.

Positives
  • Analyst target price of $96.88 suggests upside
  • Recent EPS beats (3/4 quarters)
Watchpoints
  • Sluggish YoY revenue growth (4.4%)
  • Negative operating margins
Past
65/100

Price action has decoupled from fundamental profitability.

Positives
  • Strong 1Y and 3Y price performance
  • Consistent earnings surprises recently
Watchpoints
  • History of volatile quarterly earnings (large misses in 2023-2024)
Health
75/100

Balance sheet is the company's strongest attribute; solvency risk is low.

Positives
  • Low Debt/Equity (0.47)
  • High Quick Ratio (1.87)
  • Piotroski Score of 5/9
Watchpoints
  • Negative ROA and ROE
Dividend
0/100

Non-dividend paying growth/recovery stock.

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • No dividend paid
  • 0% payout ratio

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$84.09
Analyst Target
$96.88
Upside/Downside
+15.2%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for MRCY and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-14
MRC
Mercury Systems, Inc.
Primary
5Y
+7.4%
3Y
+68.5%
1Y
+78.3%
6M
+8.1%
1M
+4.2%
1W
+8.5%
MYR
MYR Group Inc.
Peer
5Y
+357.2%
3Y
+161.2%
1Y
+185.0%
6M
+56.4%
1M
+20.4%
1W
+11.5%
BCO
The Brink's Company
Peer
5Y
+84.7%
3Y
+107.8%
1Y
+37.4%
6M
+37.4%
1M
+5.2%
1W
-0.2%
AIR
AAR Corp.
Peer
5Y
+176.4%
3Y
+117.3%
1Y
+70.2%
6M
+45.2%
1M
+1.6%
1W
+8.9%
CWS
Casella Waste Systems, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+32.2%
3Y
+2.7%
1Y
-17.5%
6M
-6.6%
1M
-10.4%
1W
+8.2%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
56.09
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
3.42
P/S Ratio
5.35
EV/Revenue
5.72
EV/EBITDA
70.16
Market Cap
$5.05B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin -3.23%
Operating Margin -2.83%
Gross Margin 28.16%
ROE -2.08%
ROA -0.01%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +4.4%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth +4.37%
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.47
Low debt
Current Ratio
2.96
Strong
Quick Ratio
1.87
Excellent
Cash/Share
$5.58

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$0.2B
Gross Margin
26.0%
Op. Margin
-2.8%
Net Margin
-6.5%
Total Assets
$2.5B
Liabilities
$1.0B
Equity
$1.5B
Debt/Equity
0.71x
Operating CF
$0.1B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$0.0B
FCF Yield
89%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-05
$N/A
2026-02-03
$0.16
+148.3% surprise
2025-11-04
$0.26
+198.4% surprise
2025-08-11
$0.47
+109.4% surprise

Industrials Sector Comparison

Comparing MRCY against 277 companies in the Industrials sector (19 bullish, 97 neutral, 161 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-2.08%
This Stock
vs
-20.04%
Sector Avg
-89.6% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
-3.23%
This Stock
vs
12.29%
Sector Avg
-126.2% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.47
This Stock
vs
3.15
Sector Avg
-85.2% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
4.4%
This Stock
vs
111.87%
Sector Avg
-96.1% (Slower)
Current Ratio
2.96
This Stock
vs
3.12
Sector Avg
-5.2% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

RATNER STEVEN
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-16
437 shares
JANA PARTNERS MANAGEMENT, L.P.
Unknown
Sell
2026-03-04
452,057 shares · $41,412,246
LANCE HOWARD L
Director
Sell
2026-02-25
4,832 shares · $429,960
KUPINSKY STUART H
Officer
Sell
2026-02-17
2,287 shares · $191,091
MUNRO DOUGLAS
Officer
Sell
2026-02-17
582 shares · $48,629
JANA PARTNERS MANAGEMENT, L.P.
Unknown
Sell
2026-02-09
400,000 shares · $32,400,000
NEARHOS BARRY R
Director
Stock Award
2026-01-15
474 shares
MUNRO DOUGLAS
Officer
Sell
2025-11-12
1,329 shares · $97,570
PLUNKETT DEBORA A.
Director
Sell
2025-11-07
1,700 shares · $125,784
JANA PARTNERS MANAGEMENT, L.P.
Unknown
Sell
2025-11-06
1,000,000 shares · $75,450,000
BUA JEAN A
Director
Stock Award
2025-10-22
2,362 shares
CARVALHO ORLANDO D
Director
Stock Award
2025-10-22
2,362 shares
NEARHOS BARRY R
Director
Stock Award
2025-10-22
2,362 shares
PLUNKETT DEBORA A.
Director
Stock Award
2025-10-22
2,362 shares
DISBROW LISA S.
Director
Stock Award
2025-10-22
2,362 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
8 analysts
Jefferies
2026-04-07
Maintains
Hold Hold
Truist Securities
2026-02-04
Maintains
Buy Buy
Goldman Sachs
2026-01-20
Maintains
Sell Sell

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning MRCY from our newsroom.

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