MRCY
NEUTRAL
$84.09
Live
Mercury Systems, Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $96.88
(+15.2%)
$44.01
52W Range
$103.84
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Apr 15, 2026
Market cap
$5.05B
P/E
N/A
ROE
-2.1%
Profit margin
-3.2%
Debt/Equity
0.47
Dividend yield
N/A
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
80%
Mercury Systems presents a contradictory profile: a stable financial foundation (Piotroski F-Score 5/9) and strong liquidity contrasted by negative profitability and aggressive insider selling. While the balance sheet is healthy with a low Debt/Equity ratio of 0.47 and a strong Current Ratio of 2.96, the valuation is stretched with a Forward P/E of 56.09 and negative profit margins. The stark divergence between bullish analyst targets ($96.88) and bearish insider activity ($150M in sales) suggests significant internal skepticism despite external optimism.
Key Strengths
Strong liquidity position with a Current Ratio of 2.96
Conservative leverage with Debt/Equity at 0.47
Positive earnings surprise trend in the last 4 quarters
Strong 1-year price appreciation (+78.3%)
Stable Piotroski F-Score (5/9) indicating baseline financial health
Key Risks
Negative profit margins (-3.23%) and ROE (-2.08%)
Extremely bearish insider sentiment with $150.16M in net sales
High valuation premium (Forward P/E 56.09) relative to slow revenue growth (4.4%)
Technical trend is currently bearish (0/100)
Dependence on Aerospace & Defense sector volatility
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$72.5
-13.8% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
45
Moderate
30
55
65
75
0
AI Verdict
Speculative Hold
Key drivers: Strong balance sheet, Negative margins, Insider dumping, High valuation
Confidence
85%
Value
30/100
Trades at a significant premium; Graham Number unavailable due to lack of positive earnings.
Positives
- Price/Book of 3.42 is moderate for the sector
Watchpoints
- Forward P/E of 56.09 is excessive for 4.4% revenue growth
- Negative current earnings
Future
55/100
Growth is currently reflected in EPS recovery rather than top-line expansion.
Positives
- Analyst target price of $96.88 suggests upside
- Recent EPS beats (3/4 quarters)
Watchpoints
- Sluggish YoY revenue growth (4.4%)
- Negative operating margins
Past
65/100
Price action has decoupled from fundamental profitability.
Positives
- Strong 1Y and 3Y price performance
- Consistent earnings surprises recently
Watchpoints
- History of volatile quarterly earnings (large misses in 2023-2024)
Health
75/100
Balance sheet is the company's strongest attribute; solvency risk is low.
Positives
- Low Debt/Equity (0.47)
- High Quick Ratio (1.87)
- Piotroski Score of 5/9
Watchpoints
- Negative ROA and ROE
Dividend
0/100
Non-dividend paying growth/recovery stock.
Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
- No dividend paid
- 0% payout ratio
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$84.09
Analyst Target
$96.88
Upside/Downside
+15.2%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for MRCY and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-04-14
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
MRCY
Mercury Systems, Inc.
Primary
|
+7.4% | +68.5% | +78.3% | +8.1% | +4.2% | +8.5% |
|
MYRG
MYR Group Inc.
Peer
|
+357.2% | +161.2% | +185.0% | +56.4% | +20.4% | +11.5% |
|
BCO
The Brink's Company
Peer
|
+84.7% | +107.8% | +37.4% | +37.4% | +5.2% | -0.2% |
|
AIR
AAR Corp.
Peer
|
+176.4% | +117.3% | +70.2% | +45.2% | +1.6% | +8.9% |
|
CWST
Casella Waste Systems, Inc.
Peer
|
+32.2% | +2.7% | -17.5% | -6.6% | -10.4% | +8.2% |
MRC
Mercury Systems, Inc.
Primary
5Y
+7.4%
3Y
+68.5%
1Y
+78.3%
6M
+8.1%
1M
+4.2%
1W
+8.5%
MYR
MYR Group Inc.
Peer
5Y
+357.2%
3Y
+161.2%
1Y
+185.0%
6M
+56.4%
1M
+20.4%
1W
+11.5%
BCO
The Brink's Company
Peer
5Y
+84.7%
3Y
+107.8%
1Y
+37.4%
6M
+37.4%
1M
+5.2%
1W
-0.2%
AIR
AAR Corp.
Peer
5Y
+176.4%
3Y
+117.3%
1Y
+70.2%
6M
+45.2%
1M
+1.6%
1W
+8.9%
CWS
Casella Waste Systems, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+32.2%
3Y
+2.7%
1Y
-17.5%
6M
-6.6%
1M
-10.4%
1W
+8.2%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
56.09
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
3.42
P/S Ratio
5.35
EV/Revenue
5.72
EV/EBITDA
70.16
Market Cap
$5.05B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
-3.23%
Operating Margin
-2.83%
Gross Margin
28.16%
ROE
-2.08%
ROA
-0.01%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+4.4%
Earnings Growth
N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth
+4.37%
Q/Q Earnings Growth
N/A
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.47
Low debt
Current Ratio
2.96
Strong
Quick Ratio
1.87
Excellent
Cash/Share
$5.58
Financial Statement Flow
Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025
Revenue
$0.2B
Gross Margin
26.0%
Op. Margin
-2.8%
Net Margin
-6.5%
Total Assets
$2.5B
Liabilities
$1.0B
Equity
$1.5B
Debt/Equity
0.71x
Operating CF
$0.1B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$0.0B
FCF Yield
89%
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-05-05
$N/A
2026-02-03
$0.16
+148.3% surprise
2025-11-04
$0.26
+198.4% surprise
2025-08-11
$0.47
+109.4% surprise
Industrials Sector Comparison
Comparing MRCY against 277 companies in the Industrials sector
(19 bullish, 97 neutral, 161 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-2.08%
This Stock
vs
-20.04%
Sector Avg
-89.6%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
-3.23%
This Stock
vs
12.29%
Sector Avg
-126.2%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.47
This Stock
vs
3.15
Sector Avg
-85.2%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
4.4%
This Stock
vs
111.87%
Sector Avg
-96.1%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
2.96
This Stock
vs
3.12
Sector Avg
-5.2%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
MRCY
Mercury Systems, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $5.05B | - | -2.1% | -3.2% | $84.09 | |
|
MYRG
MYR Group Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $5.0B | 42.55 | 18.8% | 3.2% | $322.07 | Compare |
|
BCO
The Brink's Company
|
NEUTRAL | $5.23B | 31.92 | 44.4% | 3.3% | $125.45 | Compare |
|
AIR
AAR Corp.
|
BEARISH | $4.69B | 26.05 | 6.9% | 3.2% | $118.52 | Compare |
|
CWST
Casella Waste Systems, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $5.45B | 715.25 | 0.5% | 0.4% | $85.83 | Compare |
MRCY
Mercury Systems, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$5.0B
P/E
-
ROE
-2.1%
Price
$84.09
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-16 | RATNER STEVEN | Officer | Stock Award | 437 | - |
| 2026-03-04 | JANA PARTNERS MANAGEMENT, L.P. | Unknown | Sale | 452,057 | $41,412,246 |
| 2026-02-25 | LANCE HOWARD L | Director | Sale | 4,832 | $429,960 |
| 2026-02-17 | KUPINSKY STUART H | Officer | Sale | 2,287 | $191,091 |
| 2026-02-17 | MUNRO DOUGLAS | Officer | Sale | 582 | $48,629 |
| 2026-02-09 | JANA PARTNERS MANAGEMENT, L.P. | Unknown | Sale | 400,000 | $32,400,000 |
| 2026-01-15 | NEARHOS BARRY R | Director | Stock Award | 474 | - |
| 2025-11-12 | MUNRO DOUGLAS | Officer | Sale | 1,329 | $97,570 |
| 2025-11-07 | PLUNKETT DEBORA A. | Director | Sale | 1,700 | $125,784 |
| 2025-11-06 | JANA PARTNERS MANAGEMENT, L.P. | Unknown | Sale | 1,000,000 | $75,450,000 |
| 2025-10-22 | BUA JEAN A | Director | Stock Award | 2,362 | - |
| 2025-10-22 | CARVALHO ORLANDO D | Director | Stock Award | 2,362 | - |
| 2025-10-22 | NEARHOS BARRY R | Director | Stock Award | 2,362 | - |
| 2025-10-22 | PLUNKETT DEBORA A. | Director | Stock Award | 2,362 | - |
| 2025-10-22 | DISBROW LISA S. | Director | Stock Award | 2,362 | - |
RATNER STEVEN
Officer
2026-03-16
437 shares
JANA PARTNERS MANAGEMENT, L.P.
Unknown
2026-03-04
452,057 shares
·
$41,412,246
LANCE HOWARD L
Director
2026-02-25
4,832 shares
·
$429,960
KUPINSKY STUART H
Officer
2026-02-17
2,287 shares
·
$191,091
MUNRO DOUGLAS
Officer
2026-02-17
582 shares
·
$48,629
JANA PARTNERS MANAGEMENT, L.P.
Unknown
2026-02-09
400,000 shares
·
$32,400,000
NEARHOS BARRY R
Director
2026-01-15
474 shares
MUNRO DOUGLAS
Officer
2025-11-12
1,329 shares
·
$97,570
PLUNKETT DEBORA A.
Director
2025-11-07
1,700 shares
·
$125,784
JANA PARTNERS MANAGEMENT, L.P.
Unknown
2025-11-06
1,000,000 shares
·
$75,450,000
BUA JEAN A
Director
2025-10-22
2,362 shares
CARVALHO ORLANDO D
Director
2025-10-22
2,362 shares
NEARHOS BARRY R
Director
2025-10-22
2,362 shares
PLUNKETT DEBORA A.
Director
2025-10-22
2,362 shares
DISBROW LISA S.
Director
2025-10-22
2,362 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
BUY
8 analysts
Jefferies
2026-04-07
Hold
Hold
Truist Securities
2026-02-04
Buy
Buy
Goldman Sachs
2026-01-20
Sell
Sell
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning MRCY from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.