BCO
NEUTRAL
$125.45
Live
The Brink's Company · NYSE
Target $133.5
(+6.4%)
$80.1
52W Range
$127.19
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$5.23B
P/E
31.92
ROE
44.4%
Profit margin
3.3%
Debt/Equity
10.89
Dividend yield
0.81%
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
72%
The Brink's Company (BCO) shows mixed financial health with a weak Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating borderline stability, and lacks an Altman Z-Score for distress risk assessment. While profitability metrics like ROE (44.40%) and strong earnings growth (YoY +32.70%) are impressive, the extremely high debt/equity ratio (10.89) raises serious concerns about financial leverage. The stock trades at a premium to the Graham Number ($23.89) and a high P/E of 31.92, though below sector average, supported by solid earnings momentum and analyst target of $133.50. However, bearish insider activity and weak technical trend (10/100) counterbalance the bullish fundamentals and growth trajectory.
Key Strengths
Exceptionally high ROE of 44.40%, significantly above sector average of 6.94%, indicating strong equity efficiency
Robust year-over-year earnings growth of 32.70% and consistent positive earnings surprises (avg. +20.55% last 4 quarters)
Attractive forward P/E of 13.68 suggests market expects continued earnings expansion
Solid operating margin of 11.13% in a competitive security services industry
Analyst target price of $133.50 implies ~6.4% upside from current levels
Key Risks
Very high debt/equity ratio of 10.89, far above sector average of 5.52, increasing financial risk and interest burden
Piotroski F-Score of only 4/9 indicates weak financial health with potential instability in profitability and leverage
Lack of Altman Z-Score prevents proper distress risk evaluation, creating analytical blind spot
Bearish insider sentiment with $3.12M in net selling over last 6 months and no buys, signaling lack of confidence from insiders
Technical trend score of 10/100 indicates strong near-term bearish momentum despite long-term price appreciation
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$115.94
-7.6% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
57
Moderate
48
76
68
40
55
AI Verdict
Cautiously optimistic with significant leverage and technical risks
Key drivers: High ROE and earnings growth, Elevated debt levels, Bearish insider and technical signals, Forward P/E discount to current P/E, Lack of Altman Z-Score
Confidence
75%
Value
48/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- Forward P/E of 13.68 is reasonable for growth expectations
- Price/Sales of 1.02 is modest
Watchpoints
- Current P/E of 31.92 is high
- Price/Book of 19.44 is extremely elevated
- Stock trades well above Graham Number of $23.89
Future
76/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- YoY earnings growth of 32.70%
- Q/Q earnings growth of 25.60%
- Forward P/E implies continued growth
Watchpoints
- PEG ratio unavailable limits growth-adjusted valuation
Past
68/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- 5Y return of +84.7%, 3Y return of +107.8%
- History of strong earnings surprises (e.g., +108.5%, +62.8%)
Watchpoints
- Recent earnings misses (2 of last 4 quarters)
Health
40/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Current ratio of 1.46 and quick ratio of 1.06 indicate short-term liquidity adequacy
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health
- Debt/Equity of 10.89 is dangerously high
- No Altman Z-Score available
Dividend
55/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
- Payout ratio of 25.32% is sustainable
- Dividend yield of 0.81% is modest but stable
Watchpoints
- Dividend strength score of only 25/100
- Limited dividend history data available
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$125.45
Analyst Target
$133.5
Upside/Downside
+6.4%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for BCO and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-01-23
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
BCO
The Brink's Company
Primary
|
+84.7% | +107.8% | +37.4% | +37.4% | +5.2% | -0.2% |
|
MRCY
Mercury Systems, Inc.
Peer
|
+7.4% | +68.5% | +78.3% | +8.1% | +4.2% | +8.5% |
|
MYRG
MYR Group Inc.
Peer
|
+357.2% | +161.2% | +185.0% | +56.4% | +20.4% | +11.5% |
|
CWST
Casella Waste Systems, Inc.
Peer
|
+32.2% | +2.7% | -17.5% | -6.6% | -10.4% | +8.2% |
|
EQPT
EquipmentShare.com Inc.
Peer
|
-37.0% | -37.0% | -37.0% | -37.0% | -26.8% | -1.2% |
BCO
The Brink's Company
Primary
5Y
+84.7%
3Y
+107.8%
1Y
+37.4%
6M
+37.4%
1M
+5.2%
1W
-0.2%
MRC
Mercury Systems, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+7.4%
3Y
+68.5%
1Y
+78.3%
6M
+8.1%
1M
+4.2%
1W
+8.5%
MYR
MYR Group Inc.
Peer
5Y
+357.2%
3Y
+161.2%
1Y
+185.0%
6M
+56.4%
1M
+20.4%
1W
+11.5%
CWS
Casella Waste Systems, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+32.2%
3Y
+2.7%
1Y
-17.5%
6M
-6.6%
1M
-10.4%
1W
+8.2%
EQP
EquipmentShare.com Inc.
Peer
5Y
-37.0%
3Y
-37.0%
1Y
-37.0%
6M
-37.0%
1M
-26.8%
1W
-1.2%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
31.92
Forward P/E
13.68
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
19.44
P/S Ratio
1.02
EV/Revenue
1.62
EV/EBITDA
10.5
Market Cap
$5.23B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
3.31%
Operating Margin
11.13%
Gross Margin
25.36%
ROE
44.4%
ROA
4.69%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+6.1%
Earnings Growth
+32.7%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
+25.6%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
10.89
High debt
Current Ratio
1.46
Good
Quick Ratio
1.06
Good
Cash/Share
$32.26
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-02-25
$N/A
2025-11-05
$2.08
-0.2% surprise
2025-08-06
$1.79
+23.7% surprise
2025-05-12
$1.62
+38.1% surprise
Industrials Sector Comparison
Comparing BCO against 469 companies in the Industrials sector
(39 bullish, 174 neutral, 256 bearish)
P/E Ratio
31.92
This Stock
vs
98.24
Sector Avg
-67.5%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
44.4%
This Stock
vs
-19.38%
Sector Avg
-329.0%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
3.31%
This Stock
vs
6.65%
Sector Avg
-50.3%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
10.89
This Stock
vs
2.63
Sector Avg
+313.8%
(Higher)
Revenue Growth
6.1%
This Stock
vs
71.29%
Sector Avg
-91.4%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
1.46
This Stock
vs
3.09
Sector Avg
-52.9%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
BCO
The Brink's Company
|
NEUTRAL | $5.23B | 31.92 | 44.4% | 3.3% | $125.45 | |
|
MRCY
Mercury Systems, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $5.05B | - | -2.1% | -3.2% | $84.09 | Compare |
|
MYRG
MYR Group Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $5.0B | 42.55 | 18.8% | 3.2% | $322.07 | Compare |
|
CWST
Casella Waste Systems, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $5.45B | 715.25 | 0.5% | 0.4% | $85.83 | Compare |
|
EQPT
EquipmentShare.com Inc.
|
BEARISH | $5.45B | 2050.0 | 0.3% | 0.1% | $20.5 | Compare |
BCO
The Brink's Company
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$5.2B
P/E
31.9
ROE
44.4%
Price
$125.45
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-31 | HERLING MICHAEL J | Director | Stock Award | 139 | - |
| 2025-12-31 | CLOUGH IAN D | Director | Stock Award | 136 | - |
| 2025-12-15 | SWEENEY MICHAEL E | Officer | Sale | 1,418 | $169,447 |
| 2025-10-01 | HERLING MICHAEL J | Director | Stock Award | 139 | - |
| 2025-10-01 | CLOUGH IAN D | Director | Stock Award | 136 | - |
| 2025-09-02 | COOK KRISTEN WILLIAMS | Officer | Stock Award | 8,978 | - |
| 2025-08-15 | CASTILLO DANIEL JOSE | Officer | Sale | 21,700 | $2,380,558 |
| 2025-08-14 | SWEENEY MICHAEL E | Officer | Sale | 1,541 | $173,240 |
| 2025-08-14 | PARKER ARTHELBERT LOUIS | Director | Sale | 540 | $62,100 |
| 2025-08-11 | WYCHE KEITH R | Director | Sale | 475 | $50,421 |
| 2025-08-07 | SWEENEY MICHAEL E | Officer | Sale | 2,802 | $280,260 |
HERLING MICHAEL J
Director
2025-12-31
139 shares
CLOUGH IAN D
Director
2025-12-31
136 shares
SWEENEY MICHAEL E
Officer
2025-12-15
1,418 shares
·
$169,447
HERLING MICHAEL J
Director
2025-10-01
139 shares
CLOUGH IAN D
Director
2025-10-01
136 shares
COOK KRISTEN WILLIAMS
Officer
2025-09-02
8,978 shares
CASTILLO DANIEL JOSE
Officer
2025-08-15
21,700 shares
·
$2,380,558
SWEENEY MICHAEL E
Officer
2025-08-14
1,541 shares
·
$173,240
PARKER ARTHELBERT LOUIS
Director
2025-08-14
540 shares
·
$62,100
WYCHE KEITH R
Director
2025-08-11
475 shares
·
$50,421
SWEENEY MICHAEL E
Officer
2025-08-07
2,802 shares
·
$280,260
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning BCO from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
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