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CWST

BEARISH
$85.83 Live
Casella Waste Systems, Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $113.5 (+32.2%)
$74.05 52W Range $121.24

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 08, 2026
Market cap
$5.45B
P/E
715.25
ROE
0.5%
Profit margin
0.4%
Debt/Equity
0.8
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
60%
CWST shows bearish fundamentals based on deterministic rules. Financial strength is stable (F-Score 4/9). Concerns include weak profitability or high valuation.

Key Strengths

Company has established market presence

Key Risks

High valuation with P/E of 715.3
Premium vs Graham Number ($8.17)
Low profit margin of 0.4%
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$0.84
-99.0% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
33
Weak
Value
35
Future
50
Past
30
Health
50
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
CWST shows bearish fundamentals based on deterministic rules. Financial strength is stable (F-Score 4/9). Concerns include weak profitability or high valuation.
Key drivers: Company has established market presence, High valuation with P/E of 715.3, Premium vs Graham Number ($8.17)
Confidence
20%
Value
35/100

Rule-based valuation (P/E + Graham).

Positives
  • Insufficient data for clear positives.
Watchpoints
  • Premium 715.3x trailing earnings multiple.
  • Trades above Graham Number.
Future
50/100

Rule-based growth outlook.

Positives
  • Insufficient data for clear positives.
Watchpoints
No urgent risks highlighted.
Past
30/100

Historical performance + price trend: Shares moved +32.2% over 5Y and -17.5% over 1Y.

Positives
  • Insufficient data for clear positives.
Watchpoints
  • ROE only 0.5%.
  • Thin profit margins.
Health
50/100

Balance sheet & liquidity (Z-Score: N/A).

Positives
  • Insufficient data for clear positives.
Watchpoints
No urgent risks highlighted.
Dividend
0/100

Dividend policy fallback.

Positives
  • Insufficient data for clear positives.
Watchpoints
  • No regular dividend payments.

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$85.83
Analyst Target
$113.5
Upside/Downside
+32.2%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for CWST and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-07
CWS
Casella Waste Systems, Inc.
Primary
5Y
+32.2%
3Y
+2.7%
1Y
-17.5%
6M
-6.6%
1M
-10.4%
1W
+8.2%
ACA
Arcosa, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+87.6%
3Y
+105.3%
1Y
+13.3%
6M
+24.7%
1M
+2.4%
1W
-1.5%
BCO
The Brink's Company
Peer
5Y
+84.7%
3Y
+107.8%
1Y
+37.4%
6M
+37.4%
1M
+5.2%
1W
-0.2%
ALK
Alaska Air Group, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-3.8%
3Y
+2.3%
1Y
-26.1%
6M
-2.5%
1M
-1.0%
1W
+1.7%
AIR
AAR Corp.
Peer
5Y
+176.4%
3Y
+117.3%
1Y
+70.2%
6M
+45.2%
1M
+1.6%
1W
+8.9%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
715.25
Forward P/E
54.38
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
3.48
P/S Ratio
2.97
EV/Revenue
3.58
EV/EBITDA
16.6
Market Cap
$5.45B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 0.43%
Operating Margin 4.43%
Gross Margin 33.77%
ROE 0.51%
ROA 1.71%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +9.7%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth +9.72%
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.8
Moderate
Current Ratio
1.26
Good
Quick Ratio
1.03
Good
Cash/Share
$1.98

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$0.5B
Gross Margin
33.3%
Op. Margin
4.4%
Net Margin
-0.5%
Total Assets
$3.3B
Liabilities
$1.7B
Equity
$1.6B
Debt/Equity
1.11x
Operating CF
$0.1B
CapEx
$-0.1B
Free Cash Flow
$0.0B
FCF Yield
40%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-04-30
$N/A
2026-02-19
$0.3
+33.5% surprise
2025-10-30
$0.42
+29.5% surprise
2025-07-31
$0.36
+10.1% surprise

Industrials Sector Comparison

Comparing CWST against 144 companies in the Industrials sector (11 bullish, 63 neutral, 70 bearish)
P/E Ratio
715.25
This Stock
vs
77.64
Sector Avg
+821.3% (Expensive)
Return on Equity (ROE)
0.51%
This Stock
vs
-0.51%
Sector Avg
-199.9% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
0.43%
This Stock
vs
42.42%
Sector Avg
-99.0% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.8
This Stock
vs
4.83
Sector Avg
-83.5% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
9.7%
This Stock
vs
25.15%
Sector Avg
-61.4% (Slower)
Current Ratio
1.26
This Stock
vs
2.89
Sector Avg
-56.6% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

COLETTA EDMOND R
Chief Executive Officer
Sell
2026-03-16
1,365 shares · $120,611
HELGESON BRADFORD JOHN
Chief Financial Officer
Sell
2026-03-16
405 shares · $35,531
SAYWARD SHELLEY E.
General Counsel
Sell
2026-03-16
491 shares · $43,331
DROHAN KEVIN
Officer
Sell
2026-03-16
140 shares · $12,381
STEVES SEAN
Officer
Sell
2026-03-16
294 shares · $25,998
RAINS CHRISTOPHER ALAN
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-16
989 shares
COLETTA EDMOND R
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-12
6,892 shares
HELGESON BRADFORD JOHN
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-12
2,756 shares
SAYWARD SHELLEY E.
General Counsel
Stock Award
2026-03-12
1,654 shares
DROHAN KEVIN
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-12
551 shares
COLETTA EDMOND R
President
Sell
2026-02-27
3,812 shares · $357,184
CASELLA JOHN W
Chief Executive Officer
Sell
2026-02-27
6,726 shares · $626,191
SAYWARD SHELLEY E.
General Counsel
Sell
2026-02-27
1,591 shares · $147,820
DROHAN KEVIN
Officer
Sell
2026-02-27
675 shares · $62,512
STEVES SEAN
Officer
Sell
2026-02-27
1,199 shares · $111,375
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
10 analysts
UBS
2026-03-10
Maintains
Buy Buy
JP Morgan
2026-02-23
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
Barclays
2026-02-23
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight
Jefferies
2026-01-06
up
Hold Buy
JP Morgan
2025-12-11
init
Neutral
UBS
2025-11-03
Maintains
Buy Buy
Goldman Sachs
2025-11-03
Maintains
Buy Buy
Barclays
2025-11-03
up
Underweight Equal-Weight
UBS
2025-10-16
Maintains
Buy Buy

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning CWST from our newsroom.

Newest → oldest
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