ACA Arcosa, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis
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ACA Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE
Industrials
Engineering & Construction
Current Price
Live
$113.5
Analyst Target
$125.67
+10.7%
Upside
52W High
$118.83
52W Low
$68.11
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$5.57B
P/E
38.61
ROE
5.9%
Profit margin
5.2%
Debt/Equity
0.64
Dividend yield
0.17%
AI Analysis
Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms
Confidence Score
72%
Analysis Accuracy
The company exhibits a weak financial health profile with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating borderline stability, and lacks an Altman Z-Score to confirm safety from distress. Despite strong recent earnings growth (YoY EPS +71.4%, Earnings Growth YoY +335.3%) and solid revenue momentum (24.60% YoY), elevated valuation metrics (P/E 38.61 vs. sector avg 55.59) and bearish insider activity weigh on near-term outlook. The stock trades significantly above the Graham Number of $59.01, suggesting overvaluation for defensive investors, though growth investors may justify the premium. Analysts maintain a strong_buy consensus, but insider selling and modest dividend strength temper enthusiasm.
Key Strengths
Exceptional year-over-year earnings growth (335.30%) and strong EPS surprise history (avg +67.61% over last 4 quarters)
Robust revenue growth (24.60% YoY), outpacing peer and sector averages
Healthy balance sheet with Current Ratio of 2.02 and Quick Ratio of 1.21, indicating solid short-term liquidity
Low Debt/Equity ratio of 0.64, well below sector average of 1.58, suggesting conservative capital structure
Analyst recommendation is strong_buy with a $125.67 target price, implying ~10.7% upside
Key Risks
Weak Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating suboptimal financial health and potential instability
Stock trades at a high valuation (P/E 38.61) relative to Graham defensive standard and intrinsic value of $86.73
Bearish insider sentiment: recent officer sales totaling $1.16M with no buy transactions in last 6 months
Low dividend strength (25/100) and minimal yield (0.17%), offering little downside protection
Technical trend is deeply bearish (10/100), suggesting negative price momentum despite strong fundamentals
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$86.73
-23.6% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
56
Moderate
48
82
70
52
30
AI Verdict
Cautiously optimistic with significant valuation and technical headwinds
Key drivers: High earnings and revenue growth, Strong liquidity and low leverage, Bearish insider activity, Elevated P/E relative to Graham standard, Low Piotroski F-Score
Confidence
75%
Value
48/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- P/B of 2.16 and P/S of 1.96 are reasonable for industrials
- Forward P/E of 23.52 suggests some de-rating expected
Watchpoints
- Current price ($113.50) is 92% above Graham Number ($59.01)
- P/E of 38.61 is high for a company with only 5.92% ROE
Future
82/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- Revenue growth of 24.60% YoY is strong
- Earnings growth of 335.30% YoY and 339.80% Q/Q indicate explosive acceleration
- Q/Q EPS growth of +22.8% and strong analyst target imply continued momentum
Watchpoints
No urgent risks highlighted.
Past
70/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- Consistent earnings beat record: 3 out of last 4 quarters beat estimates
- Long-term price performance strong: +105.3% over 3 years
Watchpoints
- One significant earnings miss (-39.7%) in Q1 2025
- Historical volatility in quarterly surprises
Health
52/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Current Ratio of 2.02 and Quick Ratio of 1.21 indicate good liquidity
- Debt/Equity of 0.64 is below sector average
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health
- No Altman Z-Score available, creating uncertainty about bankruptcy risk
Dividend
30/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
- Payout ratio of 6.62% is very low, indicating sustainability
Watchpoints
- Dividend yield of 0.17% is negligible
- Dividend Strength score of 25/100 reflects minimal income appeal
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$113.5
Analyst Target
$125.67
Upside/Downside
+10.7%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for ACA and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-01-23
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
ACA
Arcosa, Inc.
Primary
|
+87.6% | +105.3% | +13.3% | +24.7% | +2.4% | -1.5% |
|
ALK
Alaska Air Group, Inc.
Peer
|
-3.8% | +2.3% | -26.1% | -2.5% | -1.0% | +1.7% |
|
BCO
The Brink's Company
Peer
|
+84.7% | +107.8% | +37.4% | +37.4% | +5.2% | -0.2% |
|
BETA
BETA Technologies, Inc.
Peer
|
-30.1% | -30.1% | -30.1% | -30.1% | -16.5% | -9.6% |
|
ADT
ADT Inc.
Peer
|
+1.2% | +0.3% | +11.5% | -3.6% | -0.6% | -2.7% |
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
38.61
Forward P/E
23.52
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
2.16
P/S Ratio
1.96
EV/Revenue
2.47
EV/EBITDA
12.83
Market Cap
$5.57B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
5.25%
Operating Margin
14.09%
Gross Margin
21.61%
ROE
5.92%
ROA
4.23%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+24.6%
Earnings Growth
+335.3%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
+339.8%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.64
Moderate
Current Ratio
2.02
Strong
Quick Ratio
1.21
Good
Cash/Share
$4.49
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-02-26
$N/A
2025-10-30
$1.56
+15.5% surprise
2025-08-07
$1.27
+21.5% surprise
2025-05-06
$0.49
+165.8% surprise
Industrials Sector Comparison
Comparing ACA against 122 companies in the Industrials sector
(5 bullish, 61 neutral, 56 bearish)
P/E Ratio
38.61
This Stock
vs
74.17
Sector Avg
-48.0%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
5.92%
This Stock
vs
7.57%
Sector Avg
-21.8%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
5.25%
This Stock
vs
58.43%
Sector Avg
-91.0%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.64
This Stock
vs
5.2
Sector Avg
-87.8%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
24.6%
This Stock
vs
24.48%
Sector Avg
+0.5%
(Growing)
Current Ratio
2.02
This Stock
vs
2.66
Sector Avg
-23.9%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
ACA
Arcosa, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $5.57B | 38.61 | 5.9% | 5.2% | $113.5 | |
|
ALK
Alaska Air Group, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $5.9B | 40.37 | 3.5% | 1.1% | $50.87 | |
|
BCO
The Brink's Company
|
NEUTRAL | $5.23B | 31.92 | 44.4% | 3.3% | $125.45 | |
|
BETA
BETA Technologies, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $5.97B | - | -% | -% | $25.15 | |
|
ADT
ADT Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $6.59B | 11.31 | 17.2% | 12.5% | $8.03 |
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-12 | STEVENSON BRYAN P | Officer | Sale | 4,000 | $396,080 |
| 2025-08-12 | STEVENSON BRYAN P | Officer | Gift | 500 | - |
| 2025-08-11 | COLE KERRY S | Officer | Sale | 7,966 | $762,904 |
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
STRONG_BUY
6 analysts
Barclays
2025-11-03
Overweight
Overweight
DA Davidson
2025-08-11
Buy
Buy
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning ACA from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.