LSTR
BEARISH
$168.27
Live
Landstar System, Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $152.27
(-9.5%)
$119.32
52W Range
$174.75
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Apr 14, 2026
Market cap
$5.73B
P/E
50.84
ROE
13.0%
Profit margin
2.4%
Debt/Equity
0.17
Dividend yield
0.95%
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
85%
LSTR exhibits a severe valuation disconnect, trading at $168.27 despite a Graham Number of $41.71 and an Intrinsic Value of $23.17. While the Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates stable financial health and the low Debt/Equity ratio (0.17) provides a safety buffer, these are overshadowed by crashing fundamentals. With YoY earnings growth at -46.50% and revenue declining, the current P/E of 50.84 is unsustainable. The bearish technical trend (10/100) and analyst target price ($152.27) further suggest significant downside risk.
Key Strengths
Very low Debt/Equity ratio (0.17) indicating minimal leverage risk
Healthy liquidity with a Current Ratio of 1.75 and Quick Ratio of 1.69
Stable Piotroski F-Score (4/9) suggesting no immediate operational collapse
Moderate dividend payout ratio (47.13%) allowing for potential dividend maintenance
Strong market capitalization ($5.73B) providing scale in the logistics sector
Key Risks
Extreme overvaluation relative to Graham Number ($41.71) and Intrinsic Value ($23.17)
Severe earnings contraction with YoY growth at -46.50%
Negative revenue growth (-2.90%) indicating a lack of top-line momentum
Bearish technical trend (10/100) suggesting strong selling pressure
Consistent earnings misses in recent quarters (1/4 beats in last 4)
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$42.5
-74.7% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
39
Weak
15
20
45
75
40
AI Verdict
Overvalued with Declining Fundamentals
Key drivers: Massive gap between price and intrinsic value, Negative earnings and revenue growth, Strong balance sheet (low debt)
Confidence
90%
Value
15/100
Ref P/E 50.84, Graham Number $41.71
Positives
- Forward P/E (25.07) is lower than trailing P/E
Watchpoints
- Price is ~4x the Graham Number
- P/B ratio of 7.20 is high for the industry
- P/E of 50.84 is excessive for negative growth
Future
20/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- Forward P/E suggests some expected earnings recovery
Watchpoints
- YoY Earnings Growth -46.50%
- YoY Revenue Growth -2.90%
- Q/Q Earnings Growth -48.20%
Past
45/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- Positive 5Y change (+7.5%)
- Strong 6M price momentum (+37.3%)
Watchpoints
- Recent trend of missing earnings estimates
- Long-term 3Y change is nearly flat (-0.9%)
Health
75/100
Ref Piotroski F-Score 4/9, Debt/Equity 0.17
Positives
- Very low Debt/Equity (0.17)
- Strong Current Ratio (1.75)
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score is only 4/9 (Stable, not Strong)
Dividend
40/100
Ref Yield 0.95%, Payout 47.13%
Positives
- Sustainable payout ratio (47.13%)
Watchpoints
- Very low dividend yield (0.95%)
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$168.27
Analyst Target
$152.27
Upside/Downside
-9.5%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for LSTR and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-04-13
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
LSTR
Landstar System, Inc.
Primary
|
+7.5% | -0.9% | +22.1% | +37.3% | +13.7% | +1.8% |
|
ACA
Arcosa, Inc.
Peer
|
+87.6% | +105.3% | +13.3% | +24.7% | +2.4% | -1.5% |
|
ALK
Alaska Air Group, Inc.
Peer
|
-3.8% | +2.3% | -26.1% | -2.5% | -1.0% | +1.7% |
|
EQPT
EquipmentShare.com Inc.
Peer
|
-37.0% | -37.0% | -37.0% | -37.0% | -26.8% | -1.2% |
|
FLY
Firefly Aerospace Inc.
Peer
|
-37.8% | -37.8% | -37.8% | +25.0% | +93.8% | +14.1% |
LST
Landstar System, Inc.
Primary
5Y
+7.5%
3Y
-0.9%
1Y
+22.1%
6M
+37.3%
1M
+13.7%
1W
+1.8%
ACA
Arcosa, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+87.6%
3Y
+105.3%
1Y
+13.3%
6M
+24.7%
1M
+2.4%
1W
-1.5%
ALK
Alaska Air Group, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-3.8%
3Y
+2.3%
1Y
-26.1%
6M
-2.5%
1M
-1.0%
1W
+1.7%
EQP
EquipmentShare.com Inc.
Peer
5Y
-37.0%
3Y
-37.0%
1Y
-37.0%
6M
-37.0%
1M
-26.8%
1W
-1.2%
FLY
Firefly Aerospace Inc.
Peer
5Y
-37.8%
3Y
-37.8%
1Y
-37.8%
6M
+25.0%
1M
+93.8%
1W
+14.1%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
50.84
Forward P/E
25.07
PEG Ratio
1.2
P/B Ratio
7.2
P/S Ratio
1.2
EV/Revenue
1.14
EV/EBITDA
23.71
Market Cap
$5.73B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
2.42%
Operating Margin
2.67%
Gross Margin
19.12%
ROE
13.01%
ROA
6.59%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
-2.9%
Earnings Growth
-46.5%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
-2.88%
Q/Q Earnings Growth
-48.2%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.17
Low debt
Current Ratio
1.75
Good
Quick Ratio
1.69
Excellent
Cash/Share
$13.28
Financial Statement Flow
Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025
Revenue
$1.2B
Gross Margin
13.2%
Op. Margin
2.4%
Net Margin
2.0%
Total Assets
$1.6B
Liabilities
$0.8B
Equity
$0.8B
Debt/Equity
1.06x
Operating CF
$0.1B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$0.1B
FCF Yield
97%
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-04-28
$N/A
2026-01-28
$0.75
-31.3% surprise
2025-10-28
$1.22
-0.5% surprise
2025-07-29
$1.2
+2.4% surprise
Industrials Sector Comparison
Comparing LSTR against 240 companies in the Industrials sector
(19 bullish, 87 neutral, 134 bearish)
P/E Ratio
50.84
This Stock
vs
83.58
Sector Avg
-39.2%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
13.01%
This Stock
vs
-11.14%
Sector Avg
-216.8%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
2.42%
This Stock
vs
16.29%
Sector Avg
-85.2%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.17
This Stock
vs
3.38
Sector Avg
-95.0%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
-2.9%
This Stock
vs
28.16%
Sector Avg
-110.3%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
1.75
This Stock
vs
3.22
Sector Avg
-45.6%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
LSTR
Landstar System, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $5.73B | 50.84 | 13.0% | 2.4% | $168.27 | |
|
ACA
Arcosa, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $5.57B | 38.61 | 5.9% | 5.2% | $113.5 | Compare |
|
ALK
Alaska Air Group, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $5.9B | 40.37 | 3.5% | 1.1% | $50.87 | Compare |
|
EQPT
EquipmentShare.com Inc.
|
BEARISH | $5.45B | 2050.0 | 0.3% | 0.1% | $20.5 | Compare |
|
FLY
Firefly Aerospace Inc.
|
BEARISH | $6.01B | - | -56.5% | -208.9% | $37.57 | Compare |
LSTR
Landstar System, Inc.
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$5.7B
P/E
50.8
ROE
13.0%
Price
$168.27
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-23 | LEWIS TERRI M | Officer | Stock Award | 4,511 | - |
| 2026-01-30 | KNELLER MICHAEL K | General Counsel | Stock Award | 1,678 | - |
| 2026-01-30 | CORO RICARDO S | Chief Technology Officer | Stock Award | 1,678 | - |
| 2026-01-30 | LONEGRO FRANK A. | Chief Executive Officer | Stock Award | 6,715 | - |
| 2026-01-30 | TODD JAMES P. | Chief Financial Officer | Stock Award | 1,678 | - |
| 2026-01-30 | DANNEGGER MATTHEW M | Officer | Stock Award | 1,175 | - |
| 2026-01-30 | APPLEGATE JIM M | Officer | Stock Award | 1,175 | - |
| 2026-01-30 | MILLER MATTHEW | Officer | Stock Award | 1,678 | - |
| 2025-10-31 | HOUSEY HART MELANIE MONROE | Director | Stock Award | 645 | - |
LEWIS TERRI M
Officer
2026-02-23
4,511 shares
KNELLER MICHAEL K
General Counsel
2026-01-30
1,678 shares
CORO RICARDO S
Chief Technology Officer
2026-01-30
1,678 shares
LONEGRO FRANK A.
Chief Executive Officer
2026-01-30
6,715 shares
TODD JAMES P.
Chief Financial Officer
2026-01-30
1,678 shares
DANNEGGER MATTHEW M
Officer
2026-01-30
1,175 shares
APPLEGATE JIM M
Officer
2026-01-30
1,175 shares
MILLER MATTHEW
Officer
2026-01-30
1,678 shares
HOUSEY HART MELANIE MONROE
Director
2025-10-31
645 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
HOLD
15 analysts
Stifel
2026-04-02
Hold
Hold
Evercore ISI Group
2026-03-27
In-Line
In-Line
Truist Securities
2026-01-29
Hold
Hold
Barclays
2026-01-15
Equal-Weight
Equal-Weight
Truist Securities
2026-01-15
Hold
Hold
Stifel
2026-01-14
Hold
Hold
Evercore ISI Group
2026-01-13
In-Line
In-Line
JP Morgan
2026-01-12
Neutral
Neutral
TD Cowen
2026-01-09
Hold
Hold
Susquehanna
2026-01-08
Neutral
Neutral
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning LSTR from our newsroom.
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