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ALK vs LSTR

ALK
Alaska Air Group, Inc.
BEARISH
Price
$50.87
Market Cap
$5.9B
Sector
Industrials
AI Confidence
75%
LSTR
Landstar System, Inc.
BEARISH
Price
$168.27
Market Cap
$5.73B
Sector
Industrials
AI Confidence
85%

Valuation

P/E Ratio
ALK
40.37
LSTR
50.84
Forward P/E
ALK
6.0
LSTR
25.07
P/B Ratio
ALK
1.45
LSTR
7.2
P/S Ratio
ALK
0.42
LSTR
1.2
EV/EBITDA
ALK
7.38
LSTR
23.71

Profitability

Gross Margin
ALK
21.69%
LSTR
19.12%
Operating Margin
ALK
5.66%
LSTR
2.67%
Profit Margin
ALK
1.06%
LSTR
2.42%
ROE
ALK
3.53%
LSTR
13.01%
ROA
ALK
1.89%
LSTR
6.59%

Growth

Revenue Growth
ALK
22.6%
LSTR
-2.9%
Earnings Growth
ALK
-66.3%
LSTR
-46.5%

Financial Health

Debt/Equity
ALK
1.61
LSTR
0.17
Current Ratio
ALK
0.52
LSTR
1.75
Quick Ratio
ALK
0.43
LSTR
1.69

Dividends

Dividend Yield
ALK
--
LSTR
0.95%
Payout Ratio
ALK
0.0%
LSTR
47.13%

AI Verdict

ALK BEARISH

ALK's deterministic health signals are weak, with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicating marginal financial stability and no available Altman Z-Score, raising concerns about financial health transparency. Despite strong revenue growth of 22.6% and a low forward P/E of 6.00 suggesting potential recovery, the company faces severe profitability and earnings headwinds, with ROE at 3.53%, negative YoY earnings growth (-66.3%), and a very low profit margin of 1.06%. Insider selling, a bearish technical trend, and a current price ($50.87) significantly above the Graham Number ($31.48) further suggest overvaluation and lack of confidence from insiders. While analysts maintain a 'strong_buy' recommendation with a $70.87 target, the fundamental and cash flow weaknesses outweigh near-term optimism.

Strengths
Strong year-over-year revenue growth of 22.60% outpaces sector average (16.35%)
Forward P/E of 6.00 indicates low valuation expectations for future earnings recovery
Recent quarterly earnings surprises have been positive, including a +297.2% beat in Q1 2026
Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health and limited operational strength
Negative earnings growth (YoY: -66.3%, Q/Q: -69.1%) raises sustainability concerns
Profit margin of 1.06% is far below sector average of 81.98%, indicating poor pricing or cost control
LSTR BEARISH

LSTR exhibits a severe valuation disconnect, trading at $168.27 despite a Graham Number of $41.71 and an Intrinsic Value of $23.17. While the Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates stable financial health and the low Debt/Equity ratio (0.17) provides a safety buffer, these are overshadowed by crashing fundamentals. With YoY earnings growth at -46.50% and revenue declining, the current P/E of 50.84 is unsustainable. The bearish technical trend (10/100) and analyst target price ($152.27) further suggest significant downside risk.

Strengths
Very low Debt/Equity ratio (0.17) indicating minimal leverage risk
Healthy liquidity with a Current Ratio of 1.75 and Quick Ratio of 1.69
Stable Piotroski F-Score (4/9) suggesting no immediate operational collapse
Risks
Extreme overvaluation relative to Graham Number ($41.71) and Intrinsic Value ($23.17)
Severe earnings contraction with YoY growth at -46.50%
Negative revenue growth (-2.90%) indicating a lack of top-line momentum

Compare Another Pair

ALK vs LSTR: Head-to-Head Comparison

This page compares Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) and Landstar System, Inc. (LSTR) across key fundamental metrics including valuation ratios, profitability margins, growth rates, financial health indicators, and dividend metrics. Each metric highlights the better-performing stock so you can quickly identify relative strengths and weaknesses.

Our AI engine independently analyzes each company's financials, competitive position, and market conditions to produce a verdict (Bullish, Neutral, or Bearish) along with key strengths and risks. Use this comparison alongside your own research to make informed investment decisions.

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