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ALK vs CAT

ALK
Alaska Air Group, Inc.
BEARISH
Price
$50.87
Market Cap
$5.9B
Sector
Industrials
AI Confidence
75%
CAT
Caterpillar Inc.
NEUTRAL
Price
$735.35
Market Cap
$344.13B
Sector
Industrials
AI Confidence
90%

Valuation

P/E Ratio
ALK
40.37
CAT
39.01
Forward P/E
ALK
6.0
CAT
26.48
P/B Ratio
ALK
1.45
CAT
16.05
P/S Ratio
ALK
0.42
CAT
5.09
EV/EBITDA
ALK
7.38
CAT
26.1

Profitability

Gross Margin
ALK
21.69%
CAT
28.79%
Operating Margin
ALK
5.66%
CAT
16.02%
Profit Margin
ALK
1.06%
CAT
13.14%
ROE
ALK
3.53%
CAT
43.53%
ROA
ALK
1.89%
CAT
7.89%

Growth

Revenue Growth
ALK
22.6%
CAT
18.0%
Earnings Growth
ALK
-66.3%
CAT
-11.4%

Financial Health

Debt/Equity
ALK
1.61
CAT
2.07
Current Ratio
ALK
0.52
CAT
1.44
Quick Ratio
ALK
0.43
CAT
0.87

Dividends

Dividend Yield
ALK
--
CAT
0.85%
Payout Ratio
ALK
0.0%
CAT
31.05%

AI Verdict

ALK BEARISH

ALK's deterministic health signals are weak, with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicating marginal financial stability and no available Altman Z-Score, raising concerns about financial health transparency. Despite strong revenue growth of 22.6% and a low forward P/E of 6.00 suggesting potential recovery, the company faces severe profitability and earnings headwinds, with ROE at 3.53%, negative YoY earnings growth (-66.3%), and a very low profit margin of 1.06%. Insider selling, a bearish technical trend, and a current price ($50.87) significantly above the Graham Number ($31.48) further suggest overvaluation and lack of confidence from insiders. While analysts maintain a 'strong_buy' recommendation with a $70.87 target, the fundamental and cash flow weaknesses outweigh near-term optimism.

Strengths
Strong year-over-year revenue growth of 22.60% outpaces sector average (16.35%)
Forward P/E of 6.00 indicates low valuation expectations for future earnings recovery
Recent quarterly earnings surprises have been positive, including a +297.2% beat in Q1 2026
Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health and limited operational strength
Negative earnings growth (YoY: -66.3%, Q/Q: -69.1%) raises sustainability concerns
Profit margin of 1.06% is far below sector average of 81.98%, indicating poor pricing or cost control
CAT NEUTRAL

CAT shows neutral fundamentals based on deterministic rules. Financial strength is stable (F-Score 4/9). Mixed signals with both opportunities and risks present.

Strengths
Strong revenue growth of 18.0%
Strong ROE of 43.5%
Risks
High valuation with P/E of 39.0
Premium vs Graham Number ($139.4)
High debt burden with D/E of 2.07

Compare Another Pair

ALK vs CAT: Head-to-Head Comparison

This page compares Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) and Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) across key fundamental metrics including valuation ratios, profitability margins, growth rates, financial health indicators, and dividend metrics. Each metric highlights the better-performing stock so you can quickly identify relative strengths and weaknesses.

Our AI engine independently analyzes each company's financials, competitive position, and market conditions to produce a verdict (Bullish, Neutral, or Bearish) along with key strengths and risks. Use this comparison alongside your own research to make informed investment decisions.

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