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AIV vs ESRT

AIV
Apartment Investment and Management Company
BEARISH
Price
$5.89
Market Cap
$848.6M
Sector
Real Estate
AI Confidence
85%
ESRT
Empire State Realty Trust, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Price
$5.56
Market Cap
$951.1M
Sector
Real Estate
AI Confidence
85%

Valuation

P/E Ratio
AIV
--
ESRT
22.24
Forward P/E
AIV
-13.09
ESRT
92.67
P/B Ratio
AIV
13.33
ESRT
0.89
P/S Ratio
AIV
4.02
ESRT
1.24
EV/EBITDA
AIV
18.61
ESRT
12.67

Profitability

Gross Margin
AIV
57.2%
ESRT
52.46%
Operating Margin
AIV
-15.67%
ESRT
17.77%
Profit Margin
AIV
115.55%
ESRT
6.2%
ROE
AIV
-30.6%
ESRT
4.05%
ROA
AIV
0.38%
ESRT
1.89%

Growth

Revenue Growth
AIV
-0.6%
ESRT
0.8%
Earnings Growth
AIV
--
ESRT
75.4%

Financial Health

Debt/Equity
AIV
3.76
ESRT
1.32
Current Ratio
AIV
1.14
ESRT
2.61
Quick Ratio
AIV
0.55
ESRT
2.41

Dividends

Dividend Yield
AIV
--
ESRT
2.52%
Payout Ratio
AIV
0.0%
ESRT
56.0%

AI Verdict

AIV BEARISH

The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals a critically weak financial health with a Piotroski F-Score of just 2/9, indicating severe operational and financial distress. Despite a sector-average Debt/Equity ratio, AIV suffers from negative operating margins, an extremely high Price/Book ratio of 13.33, and a deeply negative ROE of -30.60%, all signaling poor capital efficiency and value destruction. The stock trades below analyst target of $7.00, but persistent profitability and cash flow issues undermine any meaningful upside. Technical trend at 0/100 confirms strong bearish momentum, further exacerbated by lack of dividend support and minimal analyst coverage.

Strengths
Gross margin of 57.20% indicates strong underlying property-level profitability
Current ratio of 1.14 suggests short-term liquidity is marginally sufficient
One-year price performance (-7.9%) is better than peers like ADAMZ (+10.8%) in a down market
Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 signals high financial distress risk and weak earnings quality
Negative operating margin (-15.67%) and ROE (-30.60%) reflect ongoing profitability crisis
Debt/Equity ratio of 3.76 indicates aggressive leverage, increasing default risk in rising rate environments
ESRT NEUTRAL

ESRT presents as a classic value trap, trading below its Graham Number ($5.91) and Book Value (P/B 0.89), yet suffering from a total collapse in technical momentum (0/100). The Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates stable but mediocre financial health, while the massive jump in Forward P/E (from 22.24 to 92.67) signals an expected sharp contraction in future earnings. While the current price offers a margin of safety relative to assets, the structural headwinds of NYC office vacancy and extreme geographic concentration offset the valuation appeal.

Strengths
Trading below book value (P/B 0.89), suggesting asset-based support
Strong short-term liquidity with a Current Ratio of 2.61
Sustainable dividend payout ratio of 56%
Risks
Extreme geographic concentration in New York City real estate
Severe technical bearishness with a 0/100 trend score and -29.4% 6-month return
Stagnant revenue growth (0.80% YoY) indicating a lack of organic expansion

Compare Another Pair

AIV vs ESRT: Head-to-Head Comparison

This page compares Apartment Investment and Management Company (AIV) and Empire State Realty Trust, Inc. (ESRT) across key fundamental metrics including valuation ratios, profitability margins, growth rates, financial health indicators, and dividend metrics. Each metric highlights the better-performing stock so you can quickly identify relative strengths and weaknesses.

Our AI engine independently analyzes each company's financials, competitive position, and market conditions to produce a verdict (Bullish, Neutral, or Bearish) along with key strengths and risks. Use this comparison alongside your own research to make informed investment decisions.

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