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AJG vs MFC

AJG
Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.
BEARISH
Price
$253.21
Market Cap
$65.03B
Sector
Financial Services
AI Confidence
78%
MFC
Manulife Financial Corporation
NEUTRAL
Price
$38.17
Market Cap
$63.83B
Sector
Financial Services
AI Confidence
85%

Valuation

P/E Ratio
AJG
40.0
MFC
16.96
Forward P/E
AJG
19.06
MFC
10.5
P/B Ratio
AJG
2.8
MFC
1.84
P/S Ratio
AJG
5.38
MFC
2.06
EV/EBITDA
AJG
22.48
MFC
6.6

Profitability

Gross Margin
AJG
43.6%
MFC
49.3%
Operating Margin
AJG
17.21%
MFC
133.47%
Profit Margin
AJG
13.26%
MFC
18.67%
ROE
AJG
9.07%
MFC
11.49%
ROA
AJG
2.3%
MFC
0.54%

Growth

Revenue Growth
AJG
20.0%
MFC
-34.9%
Earnings Growth
AJG
-25.2%
MFC
-6.1%

Financial Health

Debt/Equity
AJG
0.59
MFC
0.48
Current Ratio
AJG
1.05
MFC
4.74
Quick Ratio
AJG
0.17
MFC
1.55

Dividends

Dividend Yield
AJG
1.04%
MFC
3.44%
Payout Ratio
AJG
40.73%
MFC
57.33%

AI Verdict

AJG BEARISH

AJG's deterministic health score is weak, with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicating marginal financial stability and no available Altman Z-Score to confirm safety from distress. Despite strong revenue growth of 20% YoY, earnings are sharply declining (-25.2% YoY, -54% EPS), and the stock trades at a steep valuation (P/E 40.0, Forward P/E 19.06) well above sector averages. Insider selling is aggressive ($17.16M in net sales), and recent earnings misses have become frequent, with 3 out of the last 4 quarters missing estimates. While the balance sheet shows moderate leverage (Debt/Equity 0.59), weak profitability trends, deteriorating earnings momentum, and bearish technicals point to significant near-term risks.

Strengths
Strong year-over-year revenue growth of 20.0%, outpacing many peers in the Financial Services sector
Moderate debt levels with a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.59, below the sector average of 2.02
High gross margin of 43.60%, reflecting pricing power and efficient cost structure in core brokerage operations
Risks
Earnings under severe pressure: YoY earnings growth at -25.2% and Q/Q EPS down -55.4%, indicating rapid deterioration
Very low Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, signaling weak financial health—particularly concerning given declining profitability and cash flow metrics
Rich valuation: P/E of 40.0 is more than double the sector average (21.69) and far exceeds Forward P/E of 19.06, demanding perfect execution
MFC NEUTRAL

MFC presents a complex profile with a stable Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 and no Altman Z-Score available for distress analysis. While the stock shows strong long-term price appreciation and a highly attractive PEG ratio (0.78), it is currently trading at a premium to both its Graham Number ($32.43) and Intrinsic Value ($15.75). The severe YoY revenue decline (-34.90%) is a significant concern, though it is offset by a massive Q/Q recovery (+103.98%) and a sustainable dividend profile.

Strengths
Attractive PEG ratio (0.78) suggesting undervaluation relative to growth
Strong liquidity position with a Current Ratio of 4.74
Low Debt/Equity ratio (0.48) compared to sector averages
Risks
Significant YoY revenue contraction of -34.90%
Current price ($38.17) exceeds the Graham Number and Analyst Target Price ($34.75)
Bearish technical trend score (10/100) despite recent short-term gains

Compare Another Pair

AJG vs MFC: Head-to-Head Comparison

This page compares Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG) and Manulife Financial Corporation (MFC) across key fundamental metrics including valuation ratios, profitability margins, growth rates, financial health indicators, and dividend metrics. Each metric highlights the better-performing stock so you can quickly identify relative strengths and weaknesses.

Our AI engine independently analyzes each company's financials, competitive position, and market conditions to produce a verdict (Bullish, Neutral, or Bearish) along with key strengths and risks. Use this comparison alongside your own research to make informed investment decisions.

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