No connection

Search Results

AJG vs NWG

AJG
Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.
BEARISH
Price
$253.21
Market Cap
$65.03B
Sector
Financial Services
AI Confidence
78%
NWG
NatWest Group plc
NEUTRAL
Price
$15.91
Market Cap
$63.35B
Sector
Financial Services
AI Confidence
80%

Valuation

P/E Ratio
AJG
40.0
NWG
8.74
Forward P/E
AJG
19.06
NWG
7.42
P/B Ratio
AJG
2.8
NWG
1.24
P/S Ratio
AJG
5.38
NWG
3.97
EV/EBITDA
AJG
22.48
NWG
--

Profitability

Gross Margin
AJG
43.6%
NWG
0.0%
Operating Margin
AJG
17.21%
NWG
47.06%
Profit Margin
AJG
13.26%
NWG
36.51%
ROE
AJG
9.07%
NWG
14.23%
ROA
AJG
2.3%
NWG
0.82%

Growth

Revenue Growth
AJG
20.0%
NWG
11.4%
Earnings Growth
AJG
-25.2%
NWG
13.1%

Financial Health

Debt/Equity
AJG
0.59
NWG
--
Current Ratio
AJG
1.05
NWG
--
Quick Ratio
AJG
0.17
NWG
--

Dividends

Dividend Yield
AJG
1.04%
NWG
5.5%
Payout Ratio
AJG
40.73%
NWG
36.66%

AI Verdict

AJG BEARISH

AJG's deterministic health score is weak, with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicating marginal financial stability and no available Altman Z-Score to confirm safety from distress. Despite strong revenue growth of 20% YoY, earnings are sharply declining (-25.2% YoY, -54% EPS), and the stock trades at a steep valuation (P/E 40.0, Forward P/E 19.06) well above sector averages. Insider selling is aggressive ($17.16M in net sales), and recent earnings misses have become frequent, with 3 out of the last 4 quarters missing estimates. While the balance sheet shows moderate leverage (Debt/Equity 0.59), weak profitability trends, deteriorating earnings momentum, and bearish technicals point to significant near-term risks.

Strengths
Strong year-over-year revenue growth of 20.0%, outpacing many peers in the Financial Services sector
Moderate debt levels with a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.59, below the sector average of 2.02
High gross margin of 43.60%, reflecting pricing power and efficient cost structure in core brokerage operations
Risks
Earnings under severe pressure: YoY earnings growth at -25.2% and Q/Q EPS down -55.4%, indicating rapid deterioration
Very low Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, signaling weak financial health—particularly concerning given declining profitability and cash flow metrics
Rich valuation: P/E of 40.0 is more than double the sector average (21.69) and far exceeds Forward P/E of 19.06, demanding perfect execution
NWG NEUTRAL

NWG presents a stark contrast between deep value and deteriorating fundamental health. While the stock trades significantly below its Graham Number ($22.92) and Intrinsic Value ($48.5), the Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 indicates severe weakness in financial health and operational efficiency. Strong dividend yields and low P/E ratios are offset by a bearish technical trend and poor fundamental momentum. The investment case relies on a value-recovery thesis, but the low health score suggests significant underlying risks.

Strengths
Deeply undervalued relative to Graham Number ($22.92) and Intrinsic Value ($48.5)
Attractive dividend yield of 5.50% with a sustainable payout ratio of 36.66%
Low P/E ratio (8.74) and Forward P/E (7.42) compared to sector averages
Risks
Critical fundamental weakness indicated by a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9
Bearish technical trend (0/100) suggesting strong downward momentum
High PEG ratio (3.49) suggesting growth may not justify the current valuation

Compare Another Pair

AJG vs NWG: Head-to-Head Comparison

This page compares Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG) and NatWest Group plc (NWG) across key fundamental metrics including valuation ratios, profitability margins, growth rates, financial health indicators, and dividend metrics. Each metric highlights the better-performing stock so you can quickly identify relative strengths and weaknesses.

Our AI engine independently analyzes each company's financials, competitive position, and market conditions to produce a verdict (Bullish, Neutral, or Bearish) along with key strengths and risks. Use this comparison alongside your own research to make informed investment decisions.

Home
Terminal
AI Chat
Markets
Profile