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NWG

NEUTRAL
$15.91 Live
NatWest Group plc · NYSE
Target $19.24 (+21.0%)
$12.76 52W Range $19.36

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated May 01, 2026
Market cap
$63.35B
P/E
8.74
ROE
14.2%
Profit margin
36.5%
Debt/Equity
N/A
Dividend yield
5.5%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
80%
NWG presents a stark contrast between deep value and deteriorating fundamental health. While the stock trades significantly below its Graham Number ($22.92) and Intrinsic Value ($48.5), the Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 indicates severe weakness in financial health and operational efficiency. Strong dividend yields and low P/E ratios are offset by a bearish technical trend and poor fundamental momentum. The investment case relies on a value-recovery thesis, but the low health score suggests significant underlying risks.

Key Strengths

Deeply undervalued relative to Graham Number ($22.92) and Intrinsic Value ($48.5)
Attractive dividend yield of 5.50% with a sustainable payout ratio of 36.66%
Low P/E ratio (8.74) and Forward P/E (7.42) compared to sector averages
Positive YoY revenue growth (11.40%) and earnings growth (13.10%)
Strong historical 5-year price appreciation (+290.7%)

Key Risks

Critical fundamental weakness indicated by a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9
Bearish technical trend (0/100) suggesting strong downward momentum
High PEG ratio (3.49) suggesting growth may not justify the current valuation
Inconsistent quarterly earnings track record with only 1 beat in the last 4 quarters
Low insider sentiment (40/100) and lack of recent insider buying
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$21.08
+32.5% above current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
65
Strong
Value
90
Future
60
Past
70
Health
20
Dividend
85
AI Verdict
Value Trap Risk
Key drivers: Extreme valuation discount, Critical health score failure, Strong dividend profile, Bearish technicals
Confidence
85%
Value
90/100

Ref P/E 8.74, Graham Number $22.92

Positives
  • Price is 30% below Graham Number
  • P/E is significantly lower than sector average
Watchpoints
  • High PEG ratio
Future
60/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Double-digit YoY revenue and earnings growth
Watchpoints
  • Recent Q/Q EPS growth is negative (-11.3%)
Past
70/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Exceptional 5-year and 3-year returns
Watchpoints
  • Volatile earnings surprise history
Health
20/100

Ref Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Positive ROE (14.23%)
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 indicates weak financial health
Dividend
85/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
  • High yield (5.5%)
  • Low payout ratio (36.66%)
Watchpoints
No urgent risks highlighted.

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$15.91
Analyst Target
$19.24
Upside/Downside
+21.0%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for NWG and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-30
NWG
NatWest Group plc
Primary
5Y
+290.7%
3Y
+200.9%
1Y
+30.8%
6M
+7.1%
1M
+6.8%
1W
+1.5%
TFC
Truist Financial Corporation
Peer
5Y
+9.1%
3Y
+69.8%
1Y
+43.9%
6M
+22.9%
1M
+10.8%
1W
-2.1%
MFC
Manulife Financial Corporation
Peer
5Y
+118.0%
3Y
+116.5%
1Y
+26.8%
6M
+18.5%
1M
+13.4%
1W
-0.4%
TRV
The Travelers Companies, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+111.8%
3Y
+84.7%
1Y
+21.8%
6M
+11.9%
1M
-1.7%
1W
-0.8%
AJG
Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.
Peer
5Y
+125.8%
3Y
+32.2%
1Y
-11.3%
6M
-19.3%
1M
-2.9%
1W
-2.0%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
8.74
Forward P/E
7.42
PEG Ratio
3.49
P/B Ratio
1.24
P/S Ratio
3.97
EV/Revenue
3.42
EV/EBITDA
N/A
Market Cap
$63.35B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 36.51%
Operating Margin 47.06%
Gross Margin N/A
ROE 14.23%
ROA 0.82%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +11.4%
Earnings Growth +13.1%
Q/Q Revenue Growth +13.7%
Q/Q Earnings Growth +11.1%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
N/A
Current Ratio
N/A
Quick Ratio
N/A
Cash/Share
$28.53

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$4.3B
Net Margin
34.4%
Total Assets
$714.6B
Liabilities
$671.9B
Equity
$42.6B
Debt/Equity
15.77x

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-01
$N/A
2026-02-13
$0.47
+21.4% surprise
2025-10-24
$0.53
-0.2% surprise
2025-07-25
$0.41
-0.8% surprise

Financial Services Sector Comparison

Comparing NWG against 975 companies in the Financial Services sector (156 bullish, 425 neutral, 394 bearish)
P/E Ratio
8.74
This Stock
vs
34.86
Sector Avg
-74.9% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
14.23%
This Stock
vs
0.29%
Sector Avg
+4769.2% (Excellent)
Profit Margin
36.51%
This Stock
vs
88.25%
Sector Avg
-58.6% (Weaker)
Revenue Growth
11.4%
This Stock
vs
33.02%
Sector Avg
-65.5% (Slower)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

Massachusetts Financial Services Company
Stock Award
2025-12-11
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

20-F
FORM 20-F
2026-02-17

NWG filed its Form 20-F annual report on February 17, 2026. This filing serves as the company's comprehensive disclosure of its annual financial performance and associated operational risks.

20-F
FORM 20-F
2025-02-21

NWG filed its Form 20-F annual report on February 21, 2025. Due to the absence of provided excerpts, specific financial highlights and risk factors cannot be detailed at this time.

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
NONE
3 analysts
Barclays
2026-01-07
down
Overweight Equal-Weight

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning NWG from our newsroom.

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