ALSN vs BROS

Allison Transmission (ALSN) exhibits strong fundamental health with a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, indicating robust accounting strength, though the absence of an Altman Z-Score limits distress risk assessment. The company shows exceptional profitability, including a 40.38% ROE and 27.33% operating margin, significantly outperforming sector averages. However, elevated valuation metrics, a bearish technical trend, and recent insider selling offset these strengths. While growth and cash flow fundamentals are strong, the stock trades above its Graham Number of $33.58 but below the growth-based intrinsic value of $237.18, suggesting mixed signals on valuation.

The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals a mixed financial profile: the Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates borderline stability, while the absence of an Altman Z-Score prevents a full distress risk assessment. Despite strong revenue and earnings growth, elevated valuation multiples—P/E of 124.43 and Price/Book of 11.80—suggest the stock is pricing in aggressive future expectations. Profitability margins and ROE are above sector averages, but insider selling worth over $600M in the last six months raises concern about confidence at the top. Analysts maintain a strong_buy consensus, yet technical trend and recent price performance show weakness, indicating potential near-term headwinds.