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BROS

NEUTRAL
$60.97 Live
Dutch Bros Inc. · NYSE
Target $76.84 (+26.0%)
$47.16 52W Range $86.88

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$10.04B
P/E
124.43
ROE
11.7%
Profit margin
4.0%
Debt/Equity
1.2
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
65%
The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals a mixed financial profile: the Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates borderline stability, while the absence of an Altman Z-Score prevents a full distress risk assessment. Despite strong revenue and earnings growth, elevated valuation multiples—P/E of 124.43 and Price/Book of 11.80—suggest the stock is pricing in aggressive future expectations. Profitability margins and ROE are above sector averages, but insider selling worth over $600M in the last six months raises concern about confidence at the top. Analysts maintain a strong_buy consensus, yet technical trend and recent price performance show weakness, indicating potential near-term headwinds.

Key Strengths

Strong year-over-year revenue growth of 25.20%, significantly above sector average of 7.83%
High operating leverage with operating margin at 10.42% and gross margin at 26.33%
Consistently beats earnings estimates, with 3 out of last 4 quarters exceeding expectations and an average surprise of 17.60%
ROE of 11.68% outperforms sector average of 7.58%, indicating efficient use of equity
Healthy liquidity position with current ratio of 1.52 and quick ratio of 1.26

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 suggests weak financial health, increasing vulnerability to downturns
Extremely high P/E ratio of 124.43, more than double the sector average of 52.75, implying overvaluation risk
Debt/Equity ratio of 1.20 is high, though below sector average of 1.63, still elevating financial risk
Insiders have sold $603.71M in shares over the last 6 months with zero buys, signaling strong bearish sentiment
Most recent Q/Q EPS growth declined by 5.0%, indicating potential earnings momentum slowdown
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$14.46
-76.3% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
42
Moderate
Value
30
Future
75
Past
60
Health
45
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
Neutral with upside risk if growth sustains
Key drivers: High growth metrics, Rich valuation multiples, Mixed financial health, Bearish insider activity, Strong analyst optimism
Confidence
65%
Value
30/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • Graham Number implies a defensive fair value of $7.55, though outdated for high-growth firms
Watchpoints
  • Current price of $60.97 is 807% above Graham Number
  • P/E of 124.43 and Forward P/E of 68.24 indicate extreme premium
Future
75/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Revenue growth of 25.20% and earnings growth of 24.00% YoY are robust
  • Q/Q earnings growth of 38.40% shows strong recent acceleration
Watchpoints
  • Most recent Q/Q EPS growth was -5.0%, suggesting possible deceleration
Past
60/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • 13 out of 18 quarters beat EPS estimates
  • Multiple quarters with >100% earnings surprise
Watchpoints
  • Several quarters with negative earnings and large negative surprises
Health
45/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Current and quick ratios indicate short-term liquidity health
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial stability
  • Altman Z-Score unavailable, limiting distress risk analysis
Dividend
0/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • No dividend policy, yield is N/A, payout ratio is 0.00%
  • Dividend Strength score of 0/100

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$60.97
Analyst Target
$76.84
Upside/Downside
+26.0%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for BROS and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-01-23
BRO
Dutch Bros Inc.
Primary
5Y
+66.2%
3Y
+78.1%
1Y
+0.1%
6M
+2.5%
1M
-4.9%
1W
-1.9%
ALV
Autoliv, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+62.6%
3Y
+63.5%
1Y
+28.6%
6M
+8.9%
1M
+5.9%
1W
+0.4%
BWA
BorgWarner Inc.
Peer
5Y
+34.0%
3Y
+26.8%
1Y
+50.3%
6M
+33.5%
1M
+5.0%
1W
+1.1%
TXR
Texas Roadhouse, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+74.6%
3Y
+53.9%
1Y
+2.6%
6M
-8.8%
1M
-3.7%
1W
-2.0%
DKN
DraftKings Inc.
Peer
5Y
-65.6%
3Y
+11.7%
1Y
-34.9%
6M
-42.2%
1M
-9.2%
1W
-7.2%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
124.43
Forward P/E
68.24
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
11.8
P/S Ratio
6.53
EV/Revenue
5.67
EV/EBITDA
33.49
Market Cap
$10.04B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 4.04%
Operating Margin 10.42%
Gross Margin 26.33%
ROE 11.68%
ROA 3.54%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +25.2%
Earnings Growth +24.0%
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth +38.4%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
1.2
Moderate
Current Ratio
1.52
Good
Quick Ratio
1.26
Good
Cash/Share
$2.11

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-02-11
$N/A
2025-11-05
$0.19
+11.5% surprise
2025-08-06
$0.2
+8.6% surprise
2025-05-07
$0.14
+32.7% surprise

Consumer Cyclical Sector Comparison

Comparing BROS against 386 companies in the Consumer Cyclical sector (23 bullish, 133 neutral, 230 bearish)
P/E Ratio
124.43
This Stock
vs
33.98
Sector Avg
+266.2% (Expensive)
Return on Equity (ROE)
11.68%
This Stock
vs
-43.92%
Sector Avg
-126.6% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
4.04%
This Stock
vs
-5.4%
Sector Avg
-174.8% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
1.2
This Stock
vs
1.51
Sector Avg
-20.8% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
25.2%
This Stock
vs
28.42%
Sector Avg
-11.3% (Slower)
Current Ratio
1.52
This Stock
vs
2.46
Sector Avg
-38.1% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

DM TRUST AGGREGATOR, LLC
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Sell
2025-11-25
1,534,786 shares · $84,059,951
BOERSMA TRAVIS
Officer, Director and Beneficial Owner
Sell
2025-11-25
2,500,000 shares · $136,924,542
DM INDIVIDUAL AGGREGATOR, LLC
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Sell
2025-11-25
965,214 shares · $52,864,591
MARCHISOTTO KORY
Director
Stock Award
2025-11-20
445 shares
GEORGE KATHRYN
Director
Stock Award
2025-11-20
445 shares
DAVIS THOMAS JAMES
Director
Stock Award
2025-11-20
445 shares
MILLER ANN M
Director
Stock Award
2025-11-20
445 shares
HART GERARD JOHAN
Director
Stock Award
2025-11-20
445 shares
GILLETT STEPHEN
Director
Stock Award
2025-11-20
445 shares
CONE C DAVID
Director
Stock Award
2025-11-20
445 shares
PENEGOR TODD ALLAN
Director
Stock Award
2025-11-20
445 shares
TULLETT VICTORIA J
Officer
Stock Award
2025-10-31
2,182 shares
DM TRUST AGGREGATOR, LLC
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Sell
2025-08-25
483,568 shares · $33,338,701
BOERSMA TRAVIS
Officer, Director and Beneficial Owner
Sell
2025-08-25
787,681 shares · $54,305,208
DM INDIVIDUAL AGGREGATOR, LLC
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Sell
2025-08-25
304,113 shares · $20,966,507
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
STRONG_BUY
19 analysts
Morgan Stanley
2026-01-20
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Barclays
2026-01-07
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Keybanc
2025-12-17
init
Overweight
Mizuho
2025-12-04
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
RBC Capital
2025-12-03
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
TD Cowen
2025-12-01
reit
Buy Buy
Piper Sandler
2025-11-06
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
RBC Capital
2025-11-06
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
Barclays
2025-11-06
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Stifel
2025-10-31
Maintains
Buy Buy

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning BROS from our newsroom.

Newest → oldest
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