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BROS Dutch Bros Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

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BROS Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE Consumer Cyclical Restaurants
Current Price Live
$60.97
Analyst Target
$76.84
+26.0% Upside
52W High
$86.88
52W Low
$47.16

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Confidence Score
65%
Analysis Accuracy
The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals a mixed financial profile: the Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates borderline stability, while the absence of an Altman Z-Score prevents a full distress risk assessment. Despite strong revenue and earnings growth, elevated valuation multiples—P/E of 124.43 and Price/Book of 11.80—suggest the stock is pricing in aggressive future expectations. Profitability margins and ROE are above sector averages, but insider selling worth over $600M in the last six months raises concern about confidence at the top. Analysts maintain a strong_buy consensus, yet technical trend and recent price performance show weakness, indicating potential near-term headwinds.

Key Strengths

Strong year-over-year revenue growth of 25.20%, significantly above sector average of 7.83%
High operating leverage with operating margin at 10.42% and gross margin at 26.33%
Consistently beats earnings estimates, with 3 out of last 4 quarters exceeding expectations and an average surprise of 17.60%
ROE of 11.68% outperforms sector average of 7.58%, indicating efficient use of equity
Healthy liquidity position with current ratio of 1.52 and quick ratio of 1.26

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 suggests weak financial health, increasing vulnerability to downturns
Extremely high P/E ratio of 124.43, more than double the sector average of 52.75, implying overvaluation risk
Debt/Equity ratio of 1.20 is high, though below sector average of 1.63, still elevating financial risk
Insiders have sold $603.71M in shares over the last 6 months with zero buys, signaling strong bearish sentiment
Most recent Q/Q EPS growth declined by 5.0%, indicating potential earnings momentum slowdown
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$14.46
-76.3% below current price

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