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TXRH

BEARISH
$161.05 Live
Texas Roadhouse, Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $195.92 (+21.7%)
$156.0 52W Range $199.99
Overview AI Snowflake Price Valuation Profitability Growth Health Statements Peers Insiders SEC Filings

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 22, 2026
Market cap
$10.62B
P/E
26.4
ROE
29.0%
Profit margin
6.9%
Debt/Equity
0.66
Dividend yield
1.83%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
TXRH exhibits a concerning divergence between its current market price ($161.05) and its deterministic value, with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicating only stable to weak financial health. The stock trades at a massive premium to both its Graham Number ($55.14) and Intrinsic Value ($42.70), while fundamental growth has stalled with earnings plummeting -25.9% YoY. This valuation gap is exacerbated by a streak of four consecutive earnings misses and bearish insider activity, suggesting the current price is unsupported by underlying financial performance.

Key Strengths

Strong Return on Equity (ROE) of 29.02%
Positive profit margins (6.90%) compared to negative sector averages
Manageable Debt/Equity ratio of 0.66
Sustainable dividend payout ratio of 44.59%
Strong historical 5-year price appreciation (+74.6%)

Key Risks

Severe earnings contraction (-25.9% YoY)
Poor liquidity indicated by a Current Ratio of 0.50 and Quick Ratio of 0.38
Consistent failure to meet earnings estimates (0/4 beats in last 4 quarters)
Extreme overvaluation relative to Graham and Intrinsic value formulas
Bearish insider sentiment with $4.13M in net sales and zero buys
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$78.5
-51.3% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
41
Moderate
Value
20
Future
25
Past
60
Health
45
Dividend
55
AI Verdict
Overvalued with Declining Fundamentals
Key drivers: Negative earnings growth, High P/B ratio, Liquidity constraints, Insider selling
Confidence
90%
Value
20/100

Ref P/E 26.40, PEG 2.08, Graham Number $55.14

Positives
  • P/E is lower than sector average
Watchpoints
  • Price is ~2.9x the Graham Number
  • Price is ~3.7x the Intrinsic Value
  • High Price/Book ratio of 7.27
Future
25/100

Ref Growth rates and Earnings Track Record

Positives
  • Slight positive revenue growth (3.1%)
Watchpoints
  • Earnings growth -25.9% YoY
  • Negative Q/Q earnings growth -26.9%
  • Consistent earnings misses
Past
60/100

Ref Historical price trends

Positives
  • Strong 5Y and 3Y price returns
  • Historically consistent profitability
Watchpoints
  • Recent 6-month price decline of -8.8%
Health
45/100

Ref Piotroski F-Score and Liquidity Ratios

Positives
  • Debt/Equity is below sector average
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score 4/9 is mediocre
  • Current Ratio 0.50 indicates potential short-term liquidity stress
Dividend
55/100

Ref Yield and Payout

Positives
  • Reasonable payout ratio (44.59%)
Watchpoints
  • Low dividend yield (1.83%)
  • Low overall dividend strength score (40/100)

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$161.05
Analyst Target
$195.92
Upside/Downside
+21.7%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for TXRH and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-21
TXR
Texas Roadhouse, Inc.
Primary
5Y
+74.6%
3Y
+53.9%
1Y
+2.6%
6M
-8.8%
1M
-3.7%
1W
-2.0%
DKN
DraftKings Inc.
Peer
5Y
-65.6%
3Y
+11.7%
1Y
-34.9%
6M
-42.2%
1M
-9.2%
1W
-7.2%
BWA
BorgWarner Inc.
Peer
5Y
+34.0%
3Y
+26.8%
1Y
+50.3%
6M
+33.5%
1M
+5.0%
1W
+1.1%
BRO
Dutch Bros Inc.
Peer
5Y
+66.2%
3Y
+78.1%
1Y
+0.1%
6M
+2.5%
1M
-4.9%
1W
-1.9%
ALV
Autoliv, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+62.6%
3Y
+63.5%
1Y
+28.6%
6M
+8.9%
1M
+5.9%
1W
+0.4%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
26.4
Forward P/E
21.14
PEG Ratio
2.08
P/B Ratio
7.27
P/S Ratio
1.81
EV/Revenue
1.95
EV/EBITDA
16.84
Market Cap
$10.62B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 6.9%
Operating Margin 6.53%
Gross Margin 16.53%
ROE 29.02%
ROA 8.81%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +3.1%
Earnings Growth -25.9%
Q/Q Revenue Growth +3.07%
Q/Q Earnings Growth -26.9%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.66
Moderate
Current Ratio
0.5
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.38
Poor
Cash/Share
$2.04

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$1.5B
Gross Margin
14.4%
Op. Margin
6.5%
Net Margin
5.7%
Total Assets
$3.5B
Liabilities
$2.1B
Equity
$1.5B
Debt/Equity
1.42x
Operating CF
$0.2B
CapEx
$-0.1B
Free Cash Flow
$0.1B
FCF Yield
57%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-07
$N/A
2026-02-19
$1.28
-14.5% surprise
2025-11-06
$1.25
-2.2% surprise
2025-08-07
$1.86
-2.5% surprise

Consumer Cyclical Sector Comparison

Comparing TXRH against 295 companies in the Consumer Cyclical sector (17 bullish, 97 neutral, 181 bearish)
P/E Ratio
26.4
This Stock
vs
33.55
Sector Avg
-21.3% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
29.02%
This Stock
vs
-35.97%
Sector Avg
-180.7% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
6.9%
This Stock
vs
-5.65%
Sector Avg
-222.2% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.66
This Stock
vs
1.37
Sector Avg
-51.7% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
3.1%
This Stock
vs
14.32%
Sector Avg
-78.4% (Slower)
Current Ratio
0.5
This Stock
vs
2.45
Sector Avg
-79.7% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

TXRH Texas Roadhouse, Inc.
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$10.6B
P/E
26.4
ROE
29.0%
Price
$161.05
DKNG DraftKings Inc.
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$10.7B
P/E
-
ROE
0.5%
Price
$21.62
 Compare with TXRH
BWA BorgWarner Inc.
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$10.3B
P/E
67.2
ROE
3.0%
Price
$47.71
 Compare with TXRH
BROS Dutch Bros Inc.
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$10.0B
P/E
124.4
ROE
11.7%
Price
$60.97
 Compare with TXRH
ALV Autoliv, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$9.7B
P/E
13.0
ROE
31.0%
Price
$126.94
 Compare with TXRH

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

TOBIN REGINA A
President
Sell
2026-03-19
4,450 shares · $760,950
HUMPICH KEITH
Chief Financial Officer
Gift
2026-03-18
300 shares
CARROLL HUGH J
Director
Sell
2026-03-16
988 shares · $168,908
MUJICA HERNAN E
Chief Technology Officer
Sell
2026-03-13
5,000 shares · $850,000
EPPS DONNA E
Director
Gift
2026-03-09
30 shares
HUMPICH KEITH
Chief Financial Officer
Gift
2026-03-09
100 shares
EPPS DONNA E
Director
Sell
2026-03-06
850 shares · $146,582
MOORE GREGORY N
Director
Sell
2026-03-06
1,700 shares · $291,703
MORGAN GERALD L.
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-27
7,535 shares
COLSON CHRISTOPHER C
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-27
1,689 shares
MUJICA HERNAN E
Chief Technology Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-27
1,689 shares
DOSTER TRAVIS C
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-27
1,689 shares
TOBIN REGINA A
President
Stock Award
2026-02-27
2,598 shares
MARSHALL LLOYD PAUL
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-27
1,529 shares
MORGAN GERALD L.
Chief Executive Officer
Sell
2026-01-20
5,000 shares · $980,000
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

DEF 14A
DEF 14A
2026-04-10

Texas Roadhouse, Inc. (TXRH) filed a definitive proxy statement on April 10, 2026, providing shareholders with necessary information and voting materials for its annual meeting.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2026-03-05

Texas Roadhouse likely reported its fourth-quarter and full-year financial results.

10-K
10-K
2026-02-27

Texas Roadhouse submitted its 10-K filing on February 27, 2026, which includes comprehensive disclosures regarding its business operations, risk factors, and financial condition. While specific financial metrics were not provided in the excerpts, the filing contains detailed Management’s Discussion and Analysis and a dedicated section on risk factors.

8-K
8-K
2026-02-19

Texas Roadhouse, Inc. filed an 8-K, likely reporting its fourth quarter and full-year financial results for the fiscal year ending 2025.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2026-02-13

Texas Roadhouse, Inc. filed an 8-K on February 13, 2026, likely to announce its fourth-quarter and full-year financial results.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-12-31
8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-12-02
10-Q
10-Q
2025-11-07

As of September 30, 2025, Texas Roadhouse reported total assets of $3.27 billion, driven by increases in property and equipment and goodwill. However, the company saw a significant decrease in liquidity, with cash and cash equivalents falling to $108.2 million from $245.2 million as of December 31, 2024. Specific risk factor details were not provided in the available excerpts.

8-K
8-K
2025-11-06

Texas Roadhouse, Inc. reported its financial results for the third quarter of 2025.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-08-15

Texas Roadhouse, Inc. reported its second-quarter financial results for 2025.

10-Q
10-Q
2025-08-08
8-K
8-K
2025-08-07
8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-06-10
8-K
8-K
2025-05-16
10-Q
10-Q
2025-05-09
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
25 analysts
Wells Fargo
2026-04-16
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Morgan Stanley
2026-02-23
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Citigroup
2026-02-20
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
Truist Securities
2026-02-20
Maintains
Hold Hold
BTIG
2026-02-20
reit
Buy Buy
Stephens & Co.
2026-02-20
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight
Mizuho
2026-02-12
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
Truist Securities
2026-02-10
down
Buy Hold
Citigroup
2026-02-09
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
Goldman Sachs
2026-01-28
Maintains
Neutral Neutral

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning TXRH from our newsroom.

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