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AMBP vs BABA

AMBP
Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A.
BEARISH
Price
$4.41
Market Cap
$2.64B
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
AI Confidence
65%
BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
NEUTRAL
Price
$173.23
Market Cap
$413.56B
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
AI Confidence
65%

Valuation

P/E Ratio
AMBP
--
BABA
23.6
Forward P/E
AMBP
18.11
BABA
19.5
P/B Ratio
AMBP
-7.71
BABA
2.71
P/S Ratio
AMBP
0.49
BABA
0.41
EV/EBITDA
AMBP
9.62
BABA
20.1

Profitability

Gross Margin
AMBP
12.06%
BABA
41.17%
Operating Margin
AMBP
6.16%
BABA
2.17%
Profit Margin
AMBP
0.3%
BABA
12.19%
ROE
AMBP
--
BABA
11.19%
ROA
AMBP
2.53%
BABA
4.03%

Growth

Revenue Growth
AMBP
8.8%
BABA
4.8%
Earnings Growth
AMBP
75.0%
BABA
-51.8%

Financial Health

Debt/Equity
AMBP
--
BABA
0.27
Current Ratio
AMBP
1.09
BABA
1.46
Quick Ratio
AMBP
0.77
BABA
0.84

Dividends

Dividend Yield
AMBP
9.07%
BABA
0.59%
Payout Ratio
AMBP
500.0%
BABA
14.4%

AI Verdict

AMBP BEARISH

The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals a weak financial health profile with a Piotroski F-Score of just 2/9, indicating significant operational and profitability concerns. Despite strong recent earnings growth and a high dividend yield, the negative Price/Book ratio, extremely high payout ratio of 500%, and deteriorating quarterly EPS trend raise serious sustainability questions. Technical indicators are deeply bearish, and insider sentiment is weak, further undermining confidence. While valuation multiples appear low relative to peers, the lack of reliable balance sheet data and inconsistent earnings performance suggest substantial hidden risks.

Strengths
High dividend yield of 9.07% offers attractive income potential
Revenue growth of 8.80% YoY outpaces sector average of 7.45%
Recent earnings surprises have been strongly positive over the last four quarters (avg +86.18%)
Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 indicates severe financial distress and weak fundamentals
Dividend payout ratio of 500% is unsustainable and likely to be cut or eliminated
Price/Book ratio of -7.71 implies negative book value, signaling potential insolvency risk
BABA NEUTRAL

The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals a mixed financial profile for Alibaba (BABA), with a weak Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicating suboptimal financial health, and no available Altman Z-Score limiting distress risk assessment. While valuation metrics appear favorable relative to peers—especially a Price/Sales of 0.41 and Forward P/E of 19.50—earnings growth is sharply negative (YoY EPS down 71%), and recent quarterly beats have reversed into consistent misses over the last four quarters. Strong insider sentiment and a bullish analyst consensus (strong_buy) contrast with deteriorating profitability and weak technical trends (10/100). The stock trades significantly above the Graham Number ($102.68) and intrinsic value estimate ($51.38), suggesting overvaluation unless growth rebounds materially.

Strengths
Attractive valuation multiples relative to sector: P/E (23.60) and Price/Sales (0.41) well below sector averages (Avg P/E: 49.05, Avg P/S: N/A but implied high)
Low debt burden with Debt/Equity of 0.27, well below sector average of 1.63, providing financial flexibility
Strong gross margin of 41.17%, reflecting pricing power and operational efficiency in core e-commerce
Risks
Weak Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 signals deteriorating financial health—penalizes health score per instructions
Earnings in freefall: YoY EPS growth down 71.0%, Q/Q down 70.4%, with last four quarters missing estimates by an average of -10.5%
Operating margin collapsed to 2.17%, indicating severe pressure in profitability despite stable gross margins

Compare Another Pair

AMBP vs BABA: Head-to-Head Comparison

This page compares Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. (AMBP) and Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA) across key fundamental metrics including valuation ratios, profitability margins, growth rates, financial health indicators, and dividend metrics. Each metric highlights the better-performing stock so you can quickly identify relative strengths and weaknesses.

Our AI engine independently analyzes each company's financials, competitive position, and market conditions to produce a verdict (Bullish, Neutral, or Bearish) along with key strengths and risks. Use this comparison alongside your own research to make informed investment decisions.

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