AMBP Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. - Fundamental Analysis
BEARISH
Sign in to save
Save this symbol to a watchlist or track a position.
AMBP Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE
Consumer Cyclical
Packaging & Containers
Current Price
Live
$4.41
Analyst Target
$4.45
+0.9%
Upside
52W High
$4.78
52W Low
$2.5
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
AI Analysis
Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms
Confidence Score
65%
Analysis Accuracy
The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals a weak financial health profile with a Piotroski F-Score of just 2/9, indicating significant operational and profitability concerns. Despite strong recent earnings growth and a high dividend yield, the negative Price/Book ratio, extremely high payout ratio of 500%, and deteriorating quarterly EPS trend raise serious sustainability questions. Technical indicators are deeply bearish, and insider sentiment is weak, further undermining confidence. While valuation multiples appear low relative to peers, the lack of reliable balance sheet data and inconsistent earnings performance suggest substantial hidden risks.
Key Strengths
High dividend yield of 9.07% offers attractive income potential
Revenue growth of 8.80% YoY outpaces sector average of 7.45%
Recent earnings surprises have been strongly positive over the last four quarters (avg +86.18%)
Forward P/E of 18.11 is below sector average of 55.19, suggesting relative value
Operating margin of 6.16% exceeds sector average profit margin of 0.82%
Key Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 indicates severe financial distress and weak fundamentals
Dividend payout ratio of 500% is unsustainable and likely to be cut or eliminated
Price/Book ratio of -7.71 implies negative book value, signaling potential insolvency risk
Missing Altman Z-Score and key financials (Debt/Equity, ROE, Cash/Debt) obscure true financial health
Most recent Q/Q EPS growth declined by 50%, reversing prior gains
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$2.2
-50.1% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional AI analysis across 5 key categories
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
Profitability, Growth & Financial Health
Detailed profit margins, ROE, debt ratios, and liquidity metrics
Sector Comparison & Peer Analysis
Compare AMBP against industry averages and similar companies
Insider Trading & Analyst Ratings
Track insider transactions and Wall Street analyst recommendations
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning AMBP from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.