BKE The Buckle, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis
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BKE Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE
Consumer Cyclical
Apparel Retail
Current Price
Live
$50.97
Analyst Target
$55.0
+7.9%
Upside
52W High
$61.69
52W Low
$33.12
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$2.61B
P/E
12.9
ROE
41.3%
Profit margin
16.1%
Debt/Equity
0.73
Dividend yield
2.65%
AI Analysis
Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms
Confidence Score
65%
Analysis Accuracy
The Buckle, Inc. (BKE) exhibits mixed signals with a weak Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicating marginal financial health, while profitability metrics like ROE (41.26%) and gross margin (58.95%) are strong. The stock trades below the growth-based intrinsic value of $81.57 but above the conservative Graham Number of $30.07, suggesting moderate undervaluation with limited upside. Revenue and earnings growth are solid at ~9%, but insider selling and a bearish technical trend weigh on sentiment. Relative to its sector, BKE appears attractively valued with a P/E of 12.90 versus an industry average of 54.41, though limited analyst coverage and lack of Altman Z-Score constrain confidence.
Key Strengths
Exceptionally high ROE of 41.26% indicates superior capital efficiency and strong profitability
Gross margin of 58.95% reflects strong pricing power and cost control in apparel retail
Low P/E ratio of 12.90 compared to sector average of 54.41 signals potential undervaluation
Healthy balance sheet with current ratio of 2.21 and quick ratio of 1.43
Sustainable dividend with 2.65% yield and low payout ratio of 34.23%
Key Risks
Low Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 suggests weak financial health and inconsistent earnings quality
Bearish technical trend (0/100) and recent price weakness over last month and week
Significant insider selling: $6.12M in net sales over last 6 months by directors/officers
Lack of Altman Z-Score prevents definitive assessment of bankruptcy risk
Very limited analyst coverage (only 1 analyst) reduces information reliability
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$65.0
+27.5% above current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
65
Strong
75
60
68
50
70
AI Verdict
Neutral with upside potential if execution improves
Key drivers: Strong profitability and valuation contrast with weak financial health score, Insider selling offsets solid earnings growth and dividend stability, Technical trend and low analyst coverage limit near-term momentum
Confidence
70%
Value
75/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- P/E of 12.90 well below sector average of 54.41
- Trading below intrinsic value estimate of $81.57
- Above Graham Number of $30.07 provides downside cushion
Watchpoints
- Price/Sales of 2.04 is high for retail, may reflect premium margins
- No EV/EBITDA or PEG for comparison
Future
60/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- Revenue and earnings growing at ~9% YoY
- Recent Q/Q EPS growth of 10.3% shows momentum
Watchpoints
- No forward PEG to assess growth expectations
- Limited visibility on future margins or expansion
Past
68/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- Consistent revenue and earnings growth trajectory
- History of beating earnings estimates in 3 of last 4 quarters
Watchpoints
- Earnings surprises have declined from highs of +170% in 2021 to single digits recently
- Missed estimates in Q2 and Q3 2024
Health
50/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Debt/Equity of 0.73 is manageable
- Current and quick ratios indicate short-term liquidity strength
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health
- No Altman Z-Score available for distress risk assessment
Dividend
70/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
- 2.65% dividend yield is attractive in current rate environment
- Low 34.23% payout ratio supports sustainability
Watchpoints
- Dividend Strength score of 50/100 suggests uncertainty in long-term growth
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$50.97
Analyst Target
$55.0
Upside/Downside
+7.9%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for BKE and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-01-23
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
BKE
The Buckle, Inc.
Primary
|
+149.2% | +56.2% | +15.2% | +11.3% | -0.6% | -3.3% |
|
AMBP
Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A.
Peer
|
-39.2% | +7.4% | +73.1% | +20.4% | +8.6% | +0.9% |
|
BRSL
Brightstar Lottery PLC
Peer
|
+15.2% | -25.8% | +3.8% | -0.6% | -10.2% | -1.2% |
|
ANDG
Andersen Group Inc.
Peer
|
-1.8% | -1.8% | -1.8% | -1.8% | -9.4% | -1.2% |
|
AAP
Advance Auto Parts, Inc.
Peer
|
-67.0% | -66.0% | +1.0% | -19.4% | +14.4% | +8.3% |
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
12.9
Forward P/E
12.51
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
5.01
P/S Ratio
2.04
EV/Revenue
2.03
EV/EBITDA
9.21
Market Cap
$2.61B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
16.13%
Operating Margin
18.99%
Gross Margin
58.95%
ROE
41.26%
ROA
15.64%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+9.3%
Earnings Growth
+9.1%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
+10.3%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.73
Moderate
Current Ratio
2.21
Strong
Quick Ratio
1.43
Good
Cash/Share
$6.78
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-03-13
$N/A
2025-11-21
$0.96
+0.9% surprise
2025-08-22
$0.89
+6.6% surprise
2025-05-23
$0.7
+1.1% surprise
Consumer Cyclical Sector Comparison
Comparing BKE against 94 companies in the Consumer Cyclical sector
(5 bullish, 49 neutral, 40 bearish)
P/E Ratio
12.9
This Stock
vs
42.97
Sector Avg
-70.0%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
41.26%
This Stock
vs
6.02%
Sector Avg
+585.0%
(Excellent)
Profit Margin
16.13%
This Stock
vs
0.78%
Sector Avg
+1968.2%
(Superior)
Debt to Equity
0.73
This Stock
vs
1.65
Sector Avg
-55.5%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
9.3%
This Stock
vs
7.65%
Sector Avg
+21.6%
(Fast Growth)
Current Ratio
2.21
This Stock
vs
1.88
Sector Avg
+17.2%
(Stronger)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
BKE
The Buckle, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $2.61B | 12.9 | 41.3% | 16.1% | $50.97 | |
|
AMBP
Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A.
|
BEARISH | $2.64B | - | -% | 0.3% | $4.41 | |
|
BRSL
Brightstar Lottery PLC
|
BEARISH | $2.65B | 156.44 | 2.0% | 13.8% | $14.08 | |
|
ANDG
Andersen Group Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $2.56B | - | -% | 6.9% | $23.07 | |
|
AAP
Advance Auto Parts, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $2.81B | - | -23.9% | -4.4% | $46.77 |
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-05 | RHOADS KAREN B | Director | Gift | 1,000 | - |
| 2025-11-24 | NELSON DENNIS H | Chief Executive Officer | Gift | 1,500 | - |
| 2025-10-16 | HUSS MICHAEL E | Director | Gift | 1,000 | - |
| 2025-09-05 | SHADA JAMES E | Director | Sale | 20,000 | $1,189,716 |
| 2025-09-05 | MILKIE BRETT P. | Officer | Sale | 6,000 | $361,019 |
| 2025-09-05 | SMITH KARI G. | Officer and Director | Sale | 20,000 | $1,187,184 |
| 2025-08-26 | PEETZ JOHN P III | Director | Sale | 1,500 | $83,610 |
| 2025-08-25 | RHOADS KAREN B | Director | Gift | 2,000 | - |
| 2025-08-25 | RHOADS KAREN B | Director | Sale | 20,000 | $1,116,432 |
| 2025-08-25 | HOFFMAN MICHELLE | Officer | Sale | 39,008 | $2,186,258 |
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
NONE
1 analysts
UBS
2025-11-10
Neutral
Neutral
UBS
2025-08-25
Neutral
Neutral
UBS
2025-08-13
Neutral
Neutral
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning BKE from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.