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AMBP vs BKE

AMBP
Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A.
BEARISH
Price
$4.41
Market Cap
$2.64B
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
AI Confidence
65%
BKE
The Buckle, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Price
$50.28
Market Cap
$2.57B
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
AI Confidence
78%

Valuation

P/E Ratio
AMBP
--
BKE
12.29
Forward P/E
AMBP
18.11
BKE
11.06
P/B Ratio
AMBP
-7.71
BKE
4.94
P/S Ratio
AMBP
0.49
BKE
2.01
EV/EBITDA
AMBP
9.62
BKE
9.09

Profitability

Gross Margin
AMBP
12.06%
BKE
58.95%
Operating Margin
AMBP
6.16%
BKE
18.99%
Profit Margin
AMBP
0.3%
BKE
16.13%
ROE
AMBP
--
BKE
41.26%
ROA
AMBP
2.53%
BKE
15.64%

Growth

Revenue Growth
AMBP
8.8%
BKE
9.3%
Earnings Growth
AMBP
75.0%
BKE
9.1%

Financial Health

Debt/Equity
AMBP
--
BKE
0.73
Current Ratio
AMBP
1.09
BKE
2.21
Quick Ratio
AMBP
0.77
BKE
1.43

Dividends

Dividend Yield
AMBP
9.07%
BKE
2.78%
Payout Ratio
AMBP
500.0%
BKE
34.23%

AI Verdict

AMBP BEARISH

The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals a weak financial health profile with a Piotroski F-Score of just 2/9, indicating significant operational and profitability concerns. Despite strong recent earnings growth and a high dividend yield, the negative Price/Book ratio, extremely high payout ratio of 500%, and deteriorating quarterly EPS trend raise serious sustainability questions. Technical indicators are deeply bearish, and insider sentiment is weak, further undermining confidence. While valuation multiples appear low relative to peers, the lack of reliable balance sheet data and inconsistent earnings performance suggest substantial hidden risks.

Strengths
High dividend yield of 9.07% offers attractive income potential
Revenue growth of 8.80% YoY outpaces sector average of 7.45%
Recent earnings surprises have been strongly positive over the last four quarters (avg +86.18%)
Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 indicates severe financial distress and weak fundamentals
Dividend payout ratio of 500% is unsustainable and likely to be cut or eliminated
Price/Book ratio of -7.71 implies negative book value, signaling potential insolvency risk
BKE NEUTRAL

BKE's Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health, signaling potential distress in operational efficiency and capital structure. The absence of an Altman Z-Score raises concern about bankruptcy risk, though the company maintains strong profitability metrics including a 41.26% ROE and 16.13% profit margin. Trading at $50.28, the stock is below its intrinsic value of $84.46 and Graham Number of $30.6, suggesting undervaluation on a defensive basis, but the lack of analyst coverage and neutral insider activity limit conviction. The 52-week range ($33.12–$61.69) and recent 6-month decline highlight volatility, while earnings growth remains solid but inconsistent.

Strengths
Strong profitability with 41.26% ROE and 16.13% profit margin
High gross margin of 58.95% indicates pricing power and cost control
Intrinsic value ($84.46) significantly exceeds current price ($50.28), suggesting undervaluation
Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health and operational instability
No Altman Z-Score available, raising unquantified bankruptcy risk
Neutral insider sentiment with zero buy/sell activity in last 6 months

Compare Another Pair

AMBP vs BKE: Head-to-Head Comparison

This page compares Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. (AMBP) and The Buckle, Inc. (BKE) across key fundamental metrics including valuation ratios, profitability margins, growth rates, financial health indicators, and dividend metrics. Each metric highlights the better-performing stock so you can quickly identify relative strengths and weaknesses.

Our AI engine independently analyzes each company's financials, competitive position, and market conditions to produce a verdict (Bullish, Neutral, or Bearish) along with key strengths and risks. Use this comparison alongside your own research to make informed investment decisions.

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