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AMBP vs HNI

AMBP
Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A.
BEARISH
Price
$4.41
Market Cap
$2.64B
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
AI Confidence
65%
HNI
HNI Corporation
NEUTRAL
Price
$37.65
Market Cap
$2.71B
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
AI Confidence
80%

Valuation

P/E Ratio
AMBP
--
HNI
33.92
Forward P/E
AMBP
18.11
HNI
7.68
P/B Ratio
AMBP
-7.71
HNI
1.46
P/S Ratio
AMBP
0.49
HNI
0.95
EV/EBITDA
AMBP
9.62
HNI
12.31

Profitability

Gross Margin
AMBP
12.06%
HNI
41.52%
Operating Margin
AMBP
6.16%
HNI
7.26%
Profit Margin
AMBP
0.3%
HNI
1.91%
ROE
AMBP
--
HNI
4.05%
ROA
AMBP
2.53%
HNI
4.47%

Growth

Revenue Growth
AMBP
8.8%
HNI
38.3%
Earnings Growth
AMBP
75.0%
HNI
--

Financial Health

Debt/Equity
AMBP
--
HNI
0.87
Current Ratio
AMBP
1.09
HNI
1.24
Quick Ratio
AMBP
0.77
HNI
0.69

Dividends

Dividend Yield
AMBP
9.07%
HNI
3.61%
Payout Ratio
AMBP
500.0%
HNI
121.62%

AI Verdict

AMBP BEARISH

The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals a weak financial health profile with a Piotroski F-Score of just 2/9, indicating significant operational and profitability concerns. Despite strong recent earnings growth and a high dividend yield, the negative Price/Book ratio, extremely high payout ratio of 500%, and deteriorating quarterly EPS trend raise serious sustainability questions. Technical indicators are deeply bearish, and insider sentiment is weak, further undermining confidence. While valuation multiples appear low relative to peers, the lack of reliable balance sheet data and inconsistent earnings performance suggest substantial hidden risks.

Strengths
High dividend yield of 9.07% offers attractive income potential
Revenue growth of 8.80% YoY outpaces sector average of 7.45%
Recent earnings surprises have been strongly positive over the last four quarters (avg +86.18%)
Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 indicates severe financial distress and weak fundamentals
Dividend payout ratio of 500% is unsustainable and likely to be cut or eliminated
Price/Book ratio of -7.71 implies negative book value, signaling potential insolvency risk
HNI NEUTRAL

HNI Corporation presents a complex profile with a stable Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, indicating reasonable operational health, yet it trades at a significant premium to its Graham Number ($25.36) and Intrinsic Value ($7.77). While the company exhibits explosive revenue growth (38.3%) and an attractive Forward P/E (7.68) and PEG ratio (0.47), these are offset by a critical dividend payout ratio of 121.62%, which is unsustainable. The stark contrast between the 'Strong Buy' analyst consensus ($72 target) and the 0/100 technical trend suggests a high-risk, high-reward scenario where fundamental growth is not yet reflected in price action.

Strengths
Exceptional YoY revenue growth of 38.30%
Highly attractive Forward P/E of 7.68
Low PEG ratio (0.47) suggesting undervaluation relative to growth
Risks
Unsustainable dividend payout ratio (121.62%)
Bearish technical trend (0/100)
Low profitability metrics (ROE 4.05%, ROA 4.47%)

Compare Another Pair

AMBP vs HNI: Head-to-Head Comparison

This page compares Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. (AMBP) and HNI Corporation (HNI) across key fundamental metrics including valuation ratios, profitability margins, growth rates, financial health indicators, and dividend metrics. Each metric highlights the better-performing stock so you can quickly identify relative strengths and weaknesses.

Our AI engine independently analyzes each company's financials, competitive position, and market conditions to produce a verdict (Bullish, Neutral, or Bearish) along with key strengths and risks. Use this comparison alongside your own research to make informed investment decisions.

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