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AQN vs NGG

AQN
Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp.
NEUTRAL
Price
$6.38
Market Cap
$4.9B
Sector
Utilities
AI Confidence
65%
NGG
National Grid plc
BEARISH
Price
$89.54
Market Cap
$89.06B
Sector
Utilities
AI Confidence
85%

Valuation

P/E Ratio
AQN
91.14
NGG
22.16
Forward P/E
AQN
17.49
NGG
14.7
P/B Ratio
AQN
1.1
NGG
8.96
P/S Ratio
AQN
2.05
NGG
5.09
EV/EBITDA
AQN
14.44
NGG
67.62

Profitability

Gross Margin
AQN
38.16%
NGG
100.0%
Operating Margin
AQN
25.07%
NGG
24.15%
Profit Margin
AQN
-1.11%
NGG
16.43%
ROE
AQN
0.15%
NGG
7.87%
ROA
AQN
2.02%
NGG
3.22%

Growth

Revenue Growth
AQN
1.7%
NGG
-11.3%
Earnings Growth
AQN
--
NGG
-12.4%

Financial Health

Debt/Equity
AQN
1.27
NGG
1.23
Current Ratio
AQN
1.23
NGG
0.97
Quick Ratio
AQN
0.65
NGG
0.75

Dividends

Dividend Yield
AQN
4.06%
NGG
3.48%
Payout Ratio
AQN
371.43%
NGG
77.96%

AI Verdict

AQN NEUTRAL

The deterministic health scores indicate significant concerns, with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 signaling borderline financial stability and no available Altman Z-Score limiting distress risk assessment. Despite a recent 1Y price surge of +47.5%, the stock trades at a steep valuation (P/E 91.14 vs sector avg 19.73) while reporting a negative profit margin (-1.11%) and an unsustainable dividend payout ratio (371.43%). However, strong operating metrics like 25.07% operating margin, improving EPS trends (+12.5% YoY), and a 4.06% dividend yield provide some support. The lack of insider activity and mixed analyst sentiment (hold) further justify a cautious stance.

Strengths
4.06% dividend yield provides income appeal in a low-growth sector
Strong operating margin of 25.07% indicates efficient cost management
Recent earnings surprises show volatility but include strong upside beats (e.g., +45.9% in May 2025)
Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health and elevated risk of underperformance
Extremely high P/E ratio of 91.14 vs forward P/E of 17.49 suggests speculative pricing and potential multiple contraction
Negative net profit margin (-1.11%) raises concerns about core profitability despite positive operating margins
NGG BEARISH

National Grid (NGG) presents a stark divergence between its stable operational health and its current market valuation. While the Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 indicates a stable financial condition, the stock is trading at a massive premium, with a current price of $89.54 far exceeding the Graham Number ($30.15) and Intrinsic Value ($28.28). This valuation gap is compounded by negative YoY revenue (-11.30%) and earnings growth (-12.40%), suggesting the market is pricing in growth that is not supported by current data. Despite strong operating margins, the bearish technical trend and high payout ratio signal significant downside risk.

Strengths
Strong operating margin of 24.15%, significantly outperforming the sector average
Debt/Equity ratio (1.23) is lower than the utility sector average (1.58)
Stable financial health as indicated by a Piotroski F-Score of 5/9
Risks
Severe overvaluation relative to Graham Number ($30.15) and Intrinsic Value ($28.28)
Negative YoY revenue growth (-11.30%) and earnings growth (-12.40%)
Extremely high Price-to-Book ratio of 8.96, indicating a high premium over assets

Compare Another Pair

AQN vs NGG: Head-to-Head Comparison

This page compares Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. (AQN) and National Grid plc (NGG) across key fundamental metrics including valuation ratios, profitability margins, growth rates, financial health indicators, and dividend metrics. Each metric highlights the better-performing stock so you can quickly identify relative strengths and weaknesses.

Our AI engine independently analyzes each company's financials, competitive position, and market conditions to produce a verdict (Bullish, Neutral, or Bearish) along with key strengths and risks. Use this comparison alongside your own research to make informed investment decisions.

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