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ARI vs PLD

ARI
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc.
BEARISH
Price
$9.92
Market Cap
$1.38B
Sector
Real Estate
AI Confidence
72%
PLD
Prologis, Inc.
BEARISH
Price
$139.77
Market Cap
$130.3B
Sector
Real Estate
AI Confidence
85%

Valuation

P/E Ratio
ARI
11.4
PLD
38.93
Forward P/E
ARI
10.63
PLD
42.4
P/B Ratio
ARI
0.74
PLD
2.44
P/S Ratio
ARI
5.12
PLD
14.17
EV/EBITDA
ARI
--
PLD
26.24

Profitability

Gross Margin
ARI
69.75%
PLD
75.69%
Operating Margin
ARI
44.81%
PLD
41.33%
Profit Margin
ARI
51.31%
PLD
36.2%
ROE
ARI
7.41%
PLD
6.13%
ROA
ARI
1.48%
PLD
2.46%

Growth

Revenue Growth
ARI
-6.2%
PLD
4.0%
Earnings Growth
ARI
--
PLD
6.3%

Financial Health

Debt/Equity
ARI
4.06
PLD
0.62
Current Ratio
ARI
9.46
PLD
0.6
Quick Ratio
ARI
9.43
PLD
0.46

Dividends

Dividend Yield
ARI
10.01%
PLD
3.09%
Payout Ratio
ARI
113.64%
PLD
113.48%

AI Verdict

ARI BEARISH

The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals a weak financial health profile with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating borderline stability, and a concerning lack of Altman Z-Score data, which raises transparency risks. Despite a high dividend yield of 10.01%, the payout ratio of 113.64% is unsustainable, supported by declining earnings and negative revenue growth. Profitability margins appear strong on the surface but are misleading due to the company's high leverage (Debt/Equity: 4.06) and volatile earnings, including multiple large negative EPS surprises. Insider selling, bearish technicals, and a deteriorating earnings trend further undermine the bullish analyst recommendation and target price premium.

Strengths
High dividend yield of 10.01% offers attractive income potential
Price/Book ratio of 0.74 suggests the stock trades below book value
Strong gross and operating margins (69.75% and 44.81%) indicate pricing power or low cost structure
Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 4 indicates weak financial health and poor earnings stability
Debt/Equity ratio of 4.06 is extremely high, increasing default and refinancing risk
Dividend payout ratio of 113.64% is unsustainable and likely to be cut
PLD BEARISH

PLD exhibits a stable but mediocre Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating a lack of strong fundamental momentum. The stock is trading at a severe premium, with a current price of $139.77 far exceeding both the Graham Number ($67.96) and the Intrinsic Value ($59.06). While the company maintains dominant market margins and a healthy debt-to-equity ratio, the unsustainable dividend payout ratio of 113.48% and an astronomical PEG ratio of 108.01 signal extreme overvaluation. Technical trends and insider selling further reinforce a bearish outlook despite analyst 'buy' ratings.

Strengths
Dominant market position in Industrial REIT sector
Strong profitability margins (Gross Margin 75.69%, Operating Margin 41.33%)
Manageable Debt/Equity ratio of 0.62
Risks
Severe overvaluation relative to Graham and Intrinsic value benchmarks
Unsustainable dividend payout ratio (113.48%)
Extremely high PEG ratio (108.01) suggesting growth does not justify price

Compare Another Pair

ARI vs PLD: Head-to-Head Comparison

This page compares Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. (ARI) and Prologis, Inc. (PLD) across key fundamental metrics including valuation ratios, profitability margins, growth rates, financial health indicators, and dividend metrics. Each metric highlights the better-performing stock so you can quickly identify relative strengths and weaknesses.

Our AI engine independently analyzes each company's financials, competitive position, and market conditions to produce a verdict (Bullish, Neutral, or Bearish) along with key strengths and risks. Use this comparison alongside your own research to make informed investment decisions.

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