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ARL vs NXDT

ARL
American Realty Investors, Inc.
BEARISH
Price
$16.66
Market Cap
$269.1M
Sector
Real Estate
AI Confidence
85%
NXDT
NexPoint Diversified Real Estate Trust
BEARISH
Price
$5.42
Market Cap
$272.2M
Sector
Real Estate
AI Confidence
90%

Valuation

P/E Ratio
ARL
47.6
NXDT
--
Forward P/E
ARL
--
NXDT
--
P/B Ratio
ARL
0.44
NXDT
0.39
P/S Ratio
ARL
5.48
NXDT
3.21
EV/EBITDA
ARL
103.59
NXDT
38.33

Profitability

Gross Margin
ARL
45.21%
NXDT
62.68%
Operating Margin
ARL
-11.25%
NXDT
-19.13%
Profit Margin
ARL
11.74%
NXDT
-147.68%
ROE
ARL
0.86%
NXDT
-16.35%
ROA
ARL
-0.3%
NXDT
-0.02%

Growth

Revenue Growth
ARL
7.7%
NXDT
-32.9%
Earnings Growth
ARL
--
NXDT
--

Financial Health

Debt/Equity
ARL
0.28
NXDT
0.43
Current Ratio
ARL
3.13
NXDT
0.23
Quick Ratio
ARL
2.79
NXDT
0.04

Dividends

Dividend Yield
ARL
--
NXDT
11.07%
Payout Ratio
ARL
0.0%
NXDT
53.92%

AI Verdict

ARL BEARISH

The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals severe financial health concerns with a Piotroski F-Score of just 2/9, indicating weak fundamentals. Despite a low Price/Book ratio of 0.44 and a current price ($16.66) near the Graham Number ($17.19), profitability is inconsistent, with a negative operating margin (-11.25%) and ROA (-0.30%). Earnings volatility is extreme, highlighted by a -35% average earnings surprise and a -216.7% most recent Q/Q EPS decline. Combined with a bearish technical trend (10/100) and lack of analyst coverage, the stock presents significant risk despite modest revenue growth and strong insider sentiment.

Strengths
Current price ($16.66) is near the defensive Graham Number ($17.19), suggesting limited downside in a liquidation scenario
Low Price/Book ratio of 0.44 indicates the stock trades below book value, potentially signaling undervaluation
Revenue growth of 7.70% YoY shows top-line expansion in a challenging real estate environment
Risks
Critically low Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 signals severe financial distress and weak operating performance
Negative operating margin (-11.25%) and ROA (-0.30%) reflect core business unprofitability
Extreme earnings volatility: average earnings surprise of -35% and a -216.7% Q/Q EPS decline indicate unreliable profitability
NXDT BEARISH

NXDT exhibits severe fundamental distress, highlighted by a weak Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 and a critical liquidity crisis with a Quick Ratio of 0.04. Despite a recent 1-year price surge of 82.5%, the underlying business is deteriorating rapidly, evidenced by a catastrophic Q/Q revenue decline of 261.98% and a profit margin of -147.68%. The stock trades at a deep discount to book value (P/B 0.39), but this is likely a reflection of impaired assets and insolvency risk rather than a value opportunity. The disconnect between the technical price action and the deterministic health scores suggests a speculative bubble or a temporary market anomaly.

Strengths
Deeply discounted Price-to-Book ratio (0.39)
Relatively low Debt/Equity ratio (0.43)
High dividend yield (11.07%)
Risks
Severe liquidity risk (Current Ratio 0.23, Quick Ratio 0.04)
Collapsing revenue growth (-261.98% Q/Q)
Extreme negative profitability (Profit Margin -147.68%)

Compare Another Pair

ARL vs NXDT: Head-to-Head Comparison

This page compares American Realty Investors, Inc. (ARL) and NexPoint Diversified Real Estate Trust (NXDT) across key fundamental metrics including valuation ratios, profitability margins, growth rates, financial health indicators, and dividend metrics. Each metric highlights the better-performing stock so you can quickly identify relative strengths and weaknesses.

Our AI engine independently analyzes each company's financials, competitive position, and market conditions to produce a verdict (Bullish, Neutral, or Bearish) along with key strengths and risks. Use this comparison alongside your own research to make informed investment decisions.

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