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ARL

BEARISH
$16.66 Live
American Realty Investors, Inc. · NYSE
$9.43 52W Range $17.37

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$269.09M
P/E
47.6
ROE
0.9%
Profit margin
11.7%
Debt/Equity
0.28
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals severe financial health concerns with a Piotroski F-Score of just 2/9, indicating weak fundamentals. Despite a low Price/Book ratio of 0.44 and a current price ($16.66) near the Graham Number ($17.19), profitability is inconsistent, with a negative operating margin (-11.25%) and ROA (-0.30%). Earnings volatility is extreme, highlighted by a -35% average earnings surprise and a -216.7% most recent Q/Q EPS decline. Combined with a bearish technical trend (10/100) and lack of analyst coverage, the stock presents significant risk despite modest revenue growth and strong insider sentiment.

Key Strengths

Current price ($16.66) is near the defensive Graham Number ($17.19), suggesting limited downside in a liquidation scenario
Low Price/Book ratio of 0.44 indicates the stock trades below book value, potentially signaling undervaluation
Revenue growth of 7.70% YoY shows top-line expansion in a challenging real estate environment
Strong liquidity position with a Current Ratio of 3.13 and Quick Ratio of 2.79, indicating short-term solvency
Insider Sentiment score of 40/100, while neutral, does not indicate aggressive selling pressure

Key Risks

Critically low Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 signals severe financial distress and weak operating performance
Negative operating margin (-11.25%) and ROA (-0.30%) reflect core business unprofitability
Extreme earnings volatility: average earnings surprise of -35% and a -216.7% Q/Q EPS decline indicate unreliable profitability
Lack of Altman Z-Score prevents definitive bankruptcy risk assessment, but negative ROA and erratic earnings suggest elevated risk
No analyst coverage and missing key financials (EV, debt, cash, FCF) imply low transparency and high information risk
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$17.19
+3.2% above current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
29
Weak
Value
68
Future
25
Past
30
Health
20
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
High-risk profile with marginal value support but deteriorating fundamentals
Key drivers: Low Piotroski F-Score (2/9), Negative operating profitability, High earnings volatility, Near Graham Number valuation, Lack of analyst coverage
Confidence
88%
Value
68/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • Price/Book of 0.44 indicates asset-backed discount
  • Current price close to Graham Number of $17.19
Watchpoints
  • High P/E of 47.60 despite unprofitable operations
  • No PEG or forward P/E due to unreliable earnings
Future
25/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • 7.70% YoY revenue growth shows some demand traction
Watchpoints
  • No earnings growth data available
  • Most recent Q/Q EPS growth is -216.7%
  • No forward guidance or analyst estimates
Past
30/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • 3 out of 4 quarters beat estimates
Watchpoints
  • Average earnings surprise of -35.00%
  • One quarter missed by -361.7%
  • Historical EPS progression shows deep losses and inconsistency
Health
20/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Debt/Equity of 0.28 indicates low leverage
  • Current and Quick Ratios above 2.5 signal strong short-term liquidity
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 indicates poor financial health
  • ROA of -0.30% and ROE of 0.86% show capital inefficiency
  • Operating margin of -11.25% reflects core business weakness
Dividend
0/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • Dividend Strength score of 0/100
  • No dividend yield or payout history
  • Payout ratio is 0.00%

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$16.66

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for ARL and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-01-23
ARL
American Realty Investors, Inc.
Primary
5Y
+76.1%
3Y
-28.3%
1Y
+6.2%
6M
+29.1%
1M
+4.3%
1W
+2.6%
ACR
Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation
Peer
5Y
-23.3%
3Y
-38.4%
1Y
-3.1%
6M
+10.8%
1M
-1.7%
1W
-5.1%
BRT
BRT Apartments Corp.
Peer
5Y
-0.8%
3Y
-12.6%
1Y
-18.8%
6M
-13.9%
1M
-8.0%
1W
-4.3%
REF
Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+31.9%
3Y
+32.8%
1Y
+1.0%
6M
-0.9%
1M
+1.9%
1W
+5.2%
RMR
The RMR Group Inc.
Peer
5Y
-28.3%
3Y
-12.5%
1Y
+25.4%
6M
+21.6%
1M
+7.4%
1W
+3.5%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
47.6
Forward P/E
N/A
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
0.44
P/S Ratio
5.48
EV/Revenue
13.99
EV/EBITDA
103.59
Market Cap
$269.09M

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 11.74%
Operating Margin -11.25%
Gross Margin 45.21%
ROE 0.86%
ROA -0.3%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +7.7%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.28
Low debt
Current Ratio
3.13
Strong
Quick Ratio
2.79
Excellent
Cash/Share
$0.74

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2011-11-14
$-0.98
+15.5% surprise
2011-08-15
$0.84
+187.6% surprise
2011-05-16
$-0.73
+18.6% surprise
2011-04-01
$-5.31
-361.7% surprise

Real Estate Sector Comparison

Comparing ARL against 165 companies in the Real Estate sector (6 bullish, 31 neutral, 128 bearish)
P/E Ratio
47.6
This Stock
vs
41.83
Sector Avg
+13.8% (Premium)
Return on Equity (ROE)
0.86%
This Stock
vs
-33.57%
Sector Avg
-102.6% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
11.74%
This Stock
vs
10.53%
Sector Avg
+11.5% (Superior)
Debt to Equity
0.28
This Stock
vs
2.45
Sector Avg
-88.5% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
7.7%
This Stock
vs
16932.14%
Sector Avg
-100.0% (Slower)
Current Ratio
3.13
This Stock
vs
7.96
Sector Avg
-60.7% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning ARL from our newsroom.

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