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NXDT

BEARISH
$5.42 Live
NexPoint Diversified Real Estate Trust · NYSE
$2.55 52W Range $5.49

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated May 01, 2026
Market cap
$272.19M
P/E
N/A
ROE
-16.3%
Profit margin
-147.7%
Debt/Equity
0.43
Dividend yield
11.07%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
90%
NXDT exhibits severe fundamental distress, highlighted by a weak Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 and a critical liquidity crisis with a Quick Ratio of 0.04. Despite a recent 1-year price surge of 82.5%, the underlying business is deteriorating rapidly, evidenced by a catastrophic Q/Q revenue decline of 261.98% and a profit margin of -147.68%. The stock trades at a deep discount to book value (P/B 0.39), but this is likely a reflection of impaired assets and insolvency risk rather than a value opportunity. The disconnect between the technical price action and the deterministic health scores suggests a speculative bubble or a temporary market anomaly.

Key Strengths

Deeply discounted Price-to-Book ratio (0.39)
Relatively low Debt/Equity ratio (0.43)
High dividend yield (11.07%)
Strong short-term price momentum (1Y +82.5%)
Positive gross margin (62.68%)

Key Risks

Severe liquidity risk (Current Ratio 0.23, Quick Ratio 0.04)
Collapsing revenue growth (-261.98% Q/Q)
Extreme negative profitability (Profit Margin -147.68%)
Weak financial health baseline (Piotroski F-Score 2/9)
Bearish insider sentiment with net selling activity
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$4.1
-24.4% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
31
Weak
Value
40
Future
10
Past
30
Health
15
Dividend
60
AI Verdict
Fundamental Distress
Key drivers: Liquidity crisis, Revenue collapse, Weak Piotroski score, Negative earnings
Confidence
90%
Value
40/100

Ref P/B 0.39; Graham Number N/A due to negative earnings

Positives
  • P/B of 0.39 suggests assets are priced far below book
Watchpoints
  • Lack of P/E due to negative earnings
  • Book value likely impaired by operational losses
Future
10/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • YoY Revenue growth -32.90%
  • Q/Q Revenue growth -261.98%
Past
30/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Strong 1Y and 6M price recovery
Watchpoints
  • 5Y change is -29.3%
  • Consistent long-term value erosion
Health
15/100

Ref Piotroski F-Score and Liquidity Ratios

Positives
  • Low Debt/Equity (0.43)
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9
  • Current Ratio 0.23
  • Quick Ratio 0.04
Dividend
60/100

Ref Yield 11.07%, Payout 53.92%

Positives
  • High yield of 11.07%
Watchpoints
  • Sustainability is highly questionable given -147% profit margins

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$5.42

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for NXDT and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-30
NXD
NexPoint Diversified Real Estate Trust
Primary
5Y
-29.3%
3Y
-27.7%
1Y
+82.5%
6M
+87.4%
1M
+16.1%
1W
+7.8%
ARL
American Realty Investors, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+76.1%
3Y
-28.3%
1Y
+6.2%
6M
+29.1%
1M
+4.3%
1W
+2.6%
ACR
Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation
Peer
5Y
-23.3%
3Y
-38.4%
1Y
-3.1%
6M
+10.8%
1M
-1.7%
1W
-5.1%
BRT
BRT Apartments Corp.
Peer
5Y
-0.8%
3Y
-12.6%
1Y
-18.8%
6M
-13.9%
1M
-8.0%
1W
-4.3%
REF
Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+31.9%
3Y
+32.8%
1Y
+1.0%
6M
-0.9%
1M
+1.9%
1W
+5.2%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
N/A
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
0.39
P/S Ratio
3.21
EV/Revenue
7.02
EV/EBITDA
38.33
Market Cap
$272.19M

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin -147.68%
Operating Margin -19.13%
Gross Margin 62.68%
ROE -16.35%
ROA -0.02%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth -32.9%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth -261.98%
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.43
Low debt
Current Ratio
0.23
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.04
Poor
Cash/Share
$0.16

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$-0.0B
Net Margin
203.2%
Total Assets
$1.1B
Liabilities
$0.4B
Equity
$0.7B
Debt/Equity
0.49x
Operating CF
$0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$0.0B
FCF Yield
100%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-15
$N/A

Real Estate Sector Comparison

Comparing NXDT against 214 companies in the Real Estate sector (10 bullish, 43 neutral, 161 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-16.35%
This Stock
vs
-27.06%
Sector Avg
-39.6% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
-147.68%
This Stock
vs
10.56%
Sector Avg
-1499.0% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.43
This Stock
vs
2.42
Sector Avg
-82.3% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
-32.9%
This Stock
vs
13183.06%
Sector Avg
-100.2% (Slower)
Current Ratio
0.23
This Stock
vs
8.25
Sector Avg
-97.2% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

DONDERO JAMES DAVID
President
Stock Award
2026-04-02
106,276 shares
CONSTANTINO EDWARD N
Director
Stock Award
2026-04-02
7,813 shares
MITTS BRIAN D
Director
Stock Award
2026-04-02
15,276 shares
MCGRANER MATTHEW RYAN
Chief Investment Officer
Stock Award
2026-04-02
177,610 shares
NORRIS DUSTIN DAVID
Officer
Stock Award
2026-04-02
24,158 shares
SAUTER DENNIS CHARLES JR
General Counsel
Stock Award
2026-04-02
12,256 shares
WOOD CATHERINE D.
Director
Stock Award
2026-04-02
7,813 shares
SWAIN CAROL
Director
Stock Award
2026-04-02
7,813 shares
RICHARDS PAUL
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2026-04-02
15,365 shares
LAFFER ARTHUR BETZ
Director
Stock Award
2026-04-02
7,813 shares
KAVANAUGH SCOTT F.
Director
Stock Award
2026-04-02
7,813 shares
DONDERO JAMES DAVID
President
Stock Award
2026-03-18
73,125 shares
MITTS BRIAN D
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-18
5,357 shares
NORRIS DUSTIN DAVID
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-18
17,857 shares
SAUTER DENNIS CHARLES JR
General Counsel
Stock Award
2026-03-18
2,679 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

DEF 14A
FORM DEF 14A
2026-04-20

NXDT filed a definitive proxy statement on April 20, 2026, providing shareholders with necessary information to vote at the company's annual meeting.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2026-04-03
10-K
10-K
2026-03-31

NXDT filed its annual 10-K report on March 31, 2026. The provided excerpts do not contain specific financial metrics or detailed risk disclosures.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2026-03-30
8-K
FORM 8-K
2026-02-19

NXDT filed an 8-K on February 19, 2026, likely to announce its annual financial results.

10-Q
10-Q
2025-11-13

NXDT filed its 10-Q report on November 13, 2025. The filing includes a section on Risk Factors under Item 1A, although specific financial highlights and detailed risk descriptions were not provided in the available excerpt.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-09-19
10-Q
10-Q
2025-08-14

NXDT filed its quarterly 10-Q report on August 14, 2025. While specific financial metrics were not provided in the excerpt, the filing includes a detailed section on Risk Factors under Item 1A.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-07-29

NXDT filed a Form 8-K on July 29, 2025, likely to announce its second-quarter financial results.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-06-10
10-Q
10-Q
2025-05-15
8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-05-09
8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-04-17
10-K
10-K
2025-03-31
8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-01-30
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning NXDT from our newsroom.

Newest → oldest
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