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NXDT vs REFI

NXDT
NexPoint Diversified Real Estate Trust
BEARISH
Price
$5.42
Market Cap
$272.2M
Sector
Real Estate
AI Confidence
90%
REFI
Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc.
BEARISH
Price
$12.11
Market Cap
$255.3M
Sector
Real Estate
AI Confidence
85%

Valuation

P/E Ratio
NXDT
--
REFI
7.21
Forward P/E
NXDT
--
REFI
6.31
P/B Ratio
NXDT
0.39
REFI
0.83
P/S Ratio
NXDT
3.21
REFI
4.67
EV/EBITDA
NXDT
38.33
REFI
--

Profitability

Gross Margin
NXDT
62.68%
REFI
100.0%
Operating Margin
NXDT
-19.13%
REFI
57.7%
Profit Margin
NXDT
-147.68%
REFI
65.88%
ROE
NXDT
-16.35%
REFI
11.68%
ROA
NXDT
-0.02%
REFI
8.37%

Growth

Revenue Growth
NXDT
-32.9%
REFI
2.7%
Earnings Growth
NXDT
--
REFI
-3.3%

Financial Health

Debt/Equity
NXDT
0.43
REFI
0.32
Current Ratio
NXDT
0.23
REFI
25.91
Quick Ratio
NXDT
0.04
REFI
25.91

Dividends

Dividend Yield
NXDT
11.07%
REFI
15.52%
Payout Ratio
NXDT
53.92%
REFI
111.9%

AI Verdict

NXDT BEARISH

NXDT exhibits severe fundamental distress, highlighted by a weak Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 and a critical liquidity crisis with a Quick Ratio of 0.04. Despite a recent 1-year price surge of 82.5%, the underlying business is deteriorating rapidly, evidenced by a catastrophic Q/Q revenue decline of 261.98% and a profit margin of -147.68%. The stock trades at a deep discount to book value (P/B 0.39), but this is likely a reflection of impaired assets and insolvency risk rather than a value opportunity. The disconnect between the technical price action and the deterministic health scores suggests a speculative bubble or a temporary market anomaly.

Strengths
Deeply discounted Price-to-Book ratio (0.39)
Relatively low Debt/Equity ratio (0.43)
High dividend yield (11.07%)
Risks
Severe liquidity risk (Current Ratio 0.23, Quick Ratio 0.04)
Collapsing revenue growth (-261.98% Q/Q)
Extreme negative profitability (Profit Margin -147.68%)
REFI BEARISH

REFI exhibits significant financial fragility, highlighted by a weak Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 and a bearish technical trend of 0/100. While the stock appears cheap on a P/E (7.21) and Price/Book (0.83) basis, it is a classic value trap characterized by an unsustainable dividend payout ratio of 111.90%. Consistent earnings misses over the last four quarters and negative YoY earnings growth suggest that the current valuation is a reflection of deteriorating fundamentals rather than an opportunity.

Strengths
Low P/E ratio of 7.21 relative to sector averages
Trading below book value (P/B 0.83)
Strong profit margins (65.88%)
Risks
Unsustainable dividend payout ratio (111.90%) indicating a high risk of a dividend cut
Weak Piotroski F-Score (3/9) signaling deteriorating financial health
Consistent failure to meet earnings estimates (0/4 beats in last 4 quarters)

Compare Another Pair

NXDT vs REFI: Head-to-Head Comparison

This page compares NexPoint Diversified Real Estate Trust (NXDT) and Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. (REFI) across key fundamental metrics including valuation ratios, profitability margins, growth rates, financial health indicators, and dividend metrics. Each metric highlights the better-performing stock so you can quickly identify relative strengths and weaknesses.

Our AI engine independently analyzes each company's financials, competitive position, and market conditions to produce a verdict (Bullish, Neutral, or Bearish) along with key strengths and risks. Use this comparison alongside your own research to make informed investment decisions.

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