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ASTH vs PHAT

ASTH
Astrana Health, Inc.
BEARISH
Price
$20.33
Market Cap
$1.02B
Sector
Healthcare
AI Confidence
85%
PHAT
Phathom Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
BULLISH
Price
$12.61
Market Cap
$1.0B
Sector
Healthcare
AI Confidence
75%

Valuation

P/E Ratio
ASTH
107.0
PHAT
--
Forward P/E
ASTH
9.64
PHAT
8.17
P/B Ratio
ASTH
1.29
PHAT
-2.06
P/S Ratio
ASTH
0.35
PHAT
5.72
EV/EBITDA
ASTH
11.98
PHAT
-9.12

Profitability

Gross Margin
ASTH
10.25%
PHAT
87.09%
Operating Margin
ASTH
3.09%
PHAT
-10.29%
Profit Margin
ASTH
0.33%
PHAT
-126.35%
ROE
ASTH
1.83%
PHAT
--
ROA
ASTH
2.88%
PHAT
-31.37%

Growth

Revenue Growth
ASTH
99.7%
PHAT
94.1%
Earnings Growth
ASTH
-97.7%
PHAT
--

Financial Health

Debt/Equity
ASTH
1.96
PHAT
--
Current Ratio
ASTH
1.4
PHAT
1.73
Quick Ratio
ASTH
1.36
PHAT
1.58

Dividends

Dividend Yield
ASTH
--
PHAT
--
Payout Ratio
ASTH
0.0%
PHAT
0.0%

AI Verdict

ASTH BEARISH

ASTH's Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicates a stable but not strong financial foundation, with notable weaknesses in profitability and cash flow generation. The absence of an Altman Z-Score raises concern about default risk, particularly given a high debt/equity ratio of 1.96 and negative earnings growth of -97.7% YoY. While the company exhibits explosive revenue growth (99.7% YoY) and strong earnings surprises in recent quarters, these are not sustainable without improving margins and profitability. The stock trades at a forward P/E of 9.64 but a current P/E of 107.00, suggesting a massive valuation disconnect that reflects overpricing relative to current earnings. The Graham Number of $8.19 and intrinsic value of $1.33 imply severe overvaluation, with the current price of $20.33 trading at a significant premium.

Strengths
Explosive revenue growth of 99.7% YoY
Strong recent earnings surprise history (average +21.43% over last 4 quarters)
Positive recent quarterly EPS growth (Q/Q +15.5%, YoY +103.0%)
Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicates financial stability but not strength, with red flags in profitability and cash flow
Negative earnings growth of -97.7% YoY despite revenue growth, signaling unsustainable business model
Extremely high current P/E of 107.00 vs. forward P/E of 9.64, indicating overvaluation based on current earnings
PHAT BULLISH

PHAT presents a classic high-growth biotechnology profile, anchored by a stable Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 and an impressive 94.10% YoY revenue growth. While the company currently operates with deeply negative profit margins (-126.35%) and negative book value, the Forward P/E of 8.17 is exceptionally attractive compared to the healthcare sector average of 88.62. Strong analyst conviction with a target price of $23.70 and a consistent track record of earnings beats suggest a rapid transition toward profitability. The primary headwinds are technical bearishness and negative insider sentiment, which contrast with the strong fundamental growth trajectory.

Strengths
Hyper-growth revenue expansion (94.10% YoY)
Strong gross margins (87.09%) indicating high product value
Significant analyst upside with a target price of $23.70 (Strong Buy)
Risks
Severe current net losses (Profit Margin -126.35%)
Negative shareholder equity (Price/Book -2.06)
Bearish insider trading activity

Compare Another Pair

ASTH vs PHAT: Head-to-Head Comparison

This page compares Astrana Health, Inc. (ASTH) and Phathom Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (PHAT) across key fundamental metrics including valuation ratios, profitability margins, growth rates, financial health indicators, and dividend metrics. Each metric highlights the better-performing stock so you can quickly identify relative strengths and weaknesses.

Our AI engine independently analyzes each company's financials, competitive position, and market conditions to produce a verdict (Bullish, Neutral, or Bearish) along with key strengths and risks. Use this comparison alongside your own research to make informed investment decisions.

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