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AXIA vs NI

AXIA
AXIA Energia SA
BEARISH
Price
$10.31
Market Cap
$23.18B
Sector
Utilities
AI Confidence
78%
NI
NiSource Inc.
NEUTRAL
Price
$48.28
Market Cap
$23.1B
Sector
Utilities
AI Confidence
85%

Valuation

P/E Ratio
AXIA
--
NI
24.76
Forward P/E
AXIA
10.44
NI
21.61
P/B Ratio
AXIA
1.16
NI
2.44
P/S Ratio
AXIA
0.54
NI
3.48
EV/EBITDA
AXIA
69.71
NI
14.35

Profitability

Gross Margin
AXIA
52.3%
NI
50.61%
Operating Margin
AXIA
-34.96%
NI
26.97%
Profit Margin
AXIA
-14.11%
NI
13.99%
ROE
AXIA
-5.21%
NI
9.07%
ROA
AXIA
-0.74%
NI
3.37%

Growth

Revenue Growth
AXIA
-9.4%
NI
19.8%
Earnings Growth
AXIA
--
NI
11.1%

Financial Health

Debt/Equity
AXIA
0.69
NI
1.39
Current Ratio
AXIA
1.92
NI
0.69
Quick Ratio
AXIA
1.17
NI
0.4

Dividends

Dividend Yield
AXIA
5.09%
NI
2.49%
Payout Ratio
AXIA
9.24%
NI
57.44%

AI Verdict

AXIA BEARISH

AXIA exhibits severe financial distress with a Piotroski F-Score of just 2/9, indicating weak fundamental health. Despite a strong 52-week price performance (+90.8% in 1Y), the company is unprofitable (Profit Margin: -14.11%, ROE: -5.21%), shrinking (Revenue Growth YoY: -9.40%), and has consistently missed earnings estimates (1/4 beats in last 4 quarters, average surprise: -40.07%). While the stock appears cheap on forward P/E (10.44) and offers a high dividend yield (5.09%), these are misleading given the lack of earnings sustainability and negative cash flow visibility. The absence of Altman Z-Score and key financials like debt, cash, and EBITDA raises transparency concerns, further undermining confidence.

Strengths
High dividend yield of 5.09% with very low payout ratio (9.24%), suggesting dividend sustainability if earnings stabilize
Attractive forward P/E of 10.44 compared to sector average of 24.81, implying potential undervaluation if turnaround succeeds
Strong gross margin of 52.30%, indicating pricing power or efficient production in its renewable operations
Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 signals severe financial weakness and high risk of continued underperformance
Negative profitability across all metrics: profit margin (-14.11%), operating margin (-34.96%), and ROE (-5.21%)
Revenue declining YoY (-9.40%) with inconsistent earnings and large negative surprises, including a -103.2% miss in Q1 2025
NI NEUTRAL

NiSource Inc. presents a dichotomy between strong operational performance and deteriorating technical/insider signals. While the Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates stable financial health and the company exhibits superior profit margins and revenue growth compared to the utility sector average, the stock is currently trading at a premium to both its Graham Number ($29.44) and Intrinsic Value ($46.12). Strong earnings beats are offset by poor liquidity ratios and a bearish technical trend, suggesting the stock may be overextended at current levels.

Strengths
Strong revenue growth (19.80% YoY) exceeding sector average
Superior profit margins (13.99%) compared to sector average (7.21%)
Consistent earnings track record with 3/4 recent beats and long-term surprise history
Risks
Poor short-term liquidity with a Current Ratio of 0.69 and Quick Ratio of 0.40
High PEG ratio (2.76) suggesting overvaluation relative to earnings growth
Bearish insider sentiment with selling from the CFO and General Counsel

Compare Another Pair

AXIA vs NI: Head-to-Head Comparison

This page compares AXIA Energia SA (AXIA) and NiSource Inc. (NI) across key fundamental metrics including valuation ratios, profitability margins, growth rates, financial health indicators, and dividend metrics. Each metric highlights the better-performing stock so you can quickly identify relative strengths and weaknesses.

Our AI engine independently analyzes each company's financials, competitive position, and market conditions to produce a verdict (Bullish, Neutral, or Bearish) along with key strengths and risks. Use this comparison alongside your own research to make informed investment decisions.

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