NI
NEUTRAL
$48.28
Live
NiSource Inc. · NYSE
Target $50.79
(+5.2%)
$37.22
52W Range
$48.92
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated May 01, 2026
Market cap
$23.1B
P/E
24.76
ROE
9.1%
Profit margin
14.0%
Debt/Equity
1.39
Dividend yield
2.49%
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
85%
NiSource Inc. presents a dichotomy between strong operational performance and deteriorating technical/insider signals. While the Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates stable financial health and the company exhibits superior profit margins and revenue growth compared to the utility sector average, the stock is currently trading at a premium to both its Graham Number ($29.44) and Intrinsic Value ($46.12). Strong earnings beats are offset by poor liquidity ratios and a bearish technical trend, suggesting the stock may be overextended at current levels.
Key Strengths
Strong revenue growth (19.80% YoY) exceeding sector average
Superior profit margins (13.99%) compared to sector average (7.21%)
Consistent earnings track record with 3/4 recent beats and long-term surprise history
Debt/Equity ratio (1.39) is more conservative than the sector average (1.57)
Strong long-term price performance with 118.4% growth over 5 years
Key Risks
Poor short-term liquidity with a Current Ratio of 0.69 and Quick Ratio of 0.40
High PEG ratio (2.76) suggesting overvaluation relative to earnings growth
Bearish insider sentiment with selling from the CFO and General Counsel
Technical trend is heavily bearish (10/100), indicating potential price correction
Current price ($48.28) exceeds the growth-based intrinsic value ($46.12)
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$44.5
-7.8% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
62
Strong
40
75
85
50
60
AI Verdict
Hold
Key drivers: Strong operational margins, Consistent EPS beats, Liquidity concerns, Overvaluation relative to Graham/Intrinsic benchmarks
Confidence
90%
Value
40/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- P/E ratio (24.76) is slightly below sector average (26.46)
Watchpoints
- Price is significantly above Graham Number ($29.44)
- PEG ratio of 2.76 is high
- Trading above intrinsic value
Future
75/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- Strong YoY revenue growth (19.80%)
- Positive Q/Q earnings growth (15.10%)
- Consistent history of beating analyst estimates
Watchpoints
- Technical trend is currently bearish
Past
85/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- Exceptional 5Y (+118.4%) and 3Y (+85.2%) returns
- Reliable earnings progression over 25 quarters
Watchpoints
No urgent risks highlighted.
Health
50/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 is stable
- Debt/Equity is better than sector peers
Watchpoints
- Current Ratio (0.69) and Quick Ratio (0.40) indicate liquidity risk
Dividend
60/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
- Sustainable payout ratio (57.44%)
Watchpoints
- Relatively low dividend yield (2.49%) for a utility stock
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$48.28
Analyst Target
$50.79
Upside/Downside
+5.2%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for NI and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-04-30
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
NI
NiSource Inc.
Primary
|
+118.4% | +85.2% | +26.0% | +16.2% | +3.5% | -0.0% |
|
AXIA
AXIA Energia SA
Peer
|
+160.2% | +45.8% | +90.8% | +60.8% | +13.7% | +8.9% |
|
CMS
CMS Energy Corporation
Peer
|
+38.4% | +34.2% | +7.9% | +4.9% | -1.7% | +0.5% |
|
AWK
American Water Works Company, Inc.
Peer
|
-11.2% | -10.3% | +9.1% | -6.4% | -1.2% | -2.7% |
|
ES
Eversource Energy
Peer
|
-5.0% | -1.3% | +22.7% | -6.1% | +2.4% | -0.9% |
NI
NiSource Inc.
Primary
5Y
+118.4%
3Y
+85.2%
1Y
+26.0%
6M
+16.2%
1M
+3.5%
1W
-0.0%
AXI
AXIA Energia SA
Peer
5Y
+160.2%
3Y
+45.8%
1Y
+90.8%
6M
+60.8%
1M
+13.7%
1W
+8.9%
CMS
CMS Energy Corporation
Peer
5Y
+38.4%
3Y
+34.2%
1Y
+7.9%
6M
+4.9%
1M
-1.7%
1W
+0.5%
AWK
American Water Works Company, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-11.2%
3Y
-10.3%
1Y
+9.1%
6M
-6.4%
1M
-1.2%
1W
-2.7%
ES
Eversource Energy
Peer
5Y
-5.0%
3Y
-1.3%
1Y
+22.7%
6M
-6.1%
1M
+2.4%
1W
-0.9%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
24.76
Forward P/E
21.61
PEG Ratio
2.76
P/B Ratio
2.44
P/S Ratio
3.48
EV/Revenue
6.24
EV/EBITDA
14.35
Market Cap
$23.1B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
13.99%
Operating Margin
26.97%
Gross Margin
50.61%
ROE
9.07%
ROA
3.37%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+19.8%
Earnings Growth
+11.1%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
+19.85%
Q/Q Earnings Growth
+15.1%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
1.39
Moderate
Current Ratio
0.69
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.4
Poor
Cash/Share
$0.23
Financial Statement Flow
Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025
Revenue
$1.9B
Gross Margin
49.2%
Op. Margin
27.1%
Net Margin
13.5%
Total Assets
$35.9B
Liabilities
$24.2B
Equity
$9.5B
Debt/Equity
2.56x
Operating CF
$0.7B
CapEx
$-1.2B
Free Cash Flow
$-0.5B
FCF Yield
-71%
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-05-06
$N/A
2026-02-11
$0.51
+2.9% surprise
2025-10-29
$0.2
+2.9% surprise
2025-08-06
$0.22
+7.1% surprise
Utilities Sector Comparison
Comparing NI against 74 companies in the Utilities sector
(4 bullish, 43 neutral, 27 bearish)
P/E Ratio
24.76
This Stock
vs
26.37
Sector Avg
-6.1%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
9.07%
This Stock
vs
-0.24%
Sector Avg
-3848.8%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
13.99%
This Stock
vs
6.58%
Sector Avg
+112.6%
(Superior)
Debt to Equity
1.39
This Stock
vs
1.68
Sector Avg
-17.3%
(Lower)
Revenue Growth
19.8%
This Stock
vs
22.89%
Sector Avg
-13.5%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
0.69
This Stock
vs
1.17
Sector Avg
-40.9%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
NI
NiSource Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $23.1B | 24.76 | 9.1% | 14.0% | $48.28 | |
|
AXIA
AXIA Energia SA
|
BEARISH | $23.18B | - | -5.2% | -14.1% | $10.31 | Compare |
|
CMS
CMS Energy Corporation
|
NEUTRAL | $23.38B | 21.03 | 10.9% | 12.5% | $75.92 | Compare |
|
AWK
American Water Works Company, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $25.32B | 23.08 | 10.5% | 21.9% | $129.71 | Compare |
|
ES
Eversource Energy
|
NEUTRAL | $25.8B | 15.05 | 10.8% | 12.5% | $68.64 | Compare |
NI
NiSource Inc.
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$23.1B
P/E
24.8
ROE
9.1%
Price
$48.28
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-27 | CUCCIA KIMBERLY S | General Counsel | Stock Award | 30,744 | $1,454,191 |
| 2026-02-27 | LUHRS MICHAEL | Officer | Stock Award | 61,811 | $2,923,660 |
| 2026-02-27 | BERMAN MELANIE B | Officer | Stock Award | 31,466 | $1,488,342 |
| 2026-02-27 | JEFFERSON WILLIAM JR. | Chief Operating Officer | Stock Award | 60,623 | $2,867,468 |
| 2026-02-27 | BIRMINGHAM-BYRD MELODY | Officer | Stock Award | 71,094 | $3,362,746 |
| 2026-02-27 | ANDERSON SHAWN | Chief Financial Officer | Stock Award | 56,434 | $2,669,328 |
| 2026-02-27 | GODE GUNNAR | Officer | Stock Award | 6,420 | $303,666 |
| 2026-02-27 | YATES LLOYD M | Chief Executive Officer | Stock Award | 275,962 | $13,053,003 |
| 2026-02-18 | GODE GUNNAR | Officer | Sale | 2,175 | $100,050 |
| 2026-02-13 | ANDERSON SHAWN | Chief Financial Officer | Sale | 12,500 | $562,625 |
| 2026-01-22 | YATES LLOYD M | Chief Executive Officer | Stock Award | 43,658 | $1,899,996 |
| 2026-01-21 | CUCCIA KIMBERLY S | General Counsel | Stock Award | 5,937 | $259,981 |
| 2026-01-21 | LUHRS MICHAEL | Officer | Stock Award | 6,851 | $300,005 |
| 2026-01-21 | BERMAN MELANIE B | Officer | Stock Award | 5,481 | $240,013 |
| 2026-01-21 | JEFFERSON WILLIAM JR. | Chief Operating Officer | Stock Award | 6,851 | $300,005 |
CUCCIA KIMBERLY S
General Counsel
2026-02-27
30,744 shares
·
$1,454,191
LUHRS MICHAEL
Officer
2026-02-27
61,811 shares
·
$2,923,660
BERMAN MELANIE B
Officer
2026-02-27
31,466 shares
·
$1,488,342
JEFFERSON WILLIAM JR.
Chief Operating Officer
2026-02-27
60,623 shares
·
$2,867,468
BIRMINGHAM-BYRD MELODY
Officer
2026-02-27
71,094 shares
·
$3,362,746
ANDERSON SHAWN
Chief Financial Officer
2026-02-27
56,434 shares
·
$2,669,328
GODE GUNNAR
Officer
2026-02-27
6,420 shares
·
$303,666
YATES LLOYD M
Chief Executive Officer
2026-02-27
275,962 shares
·
$13,053,003
GODE GUNNAR
Officer
2026-02-18
2,175 shares
·
$100,050
ANDERSON SHAWN
Chief Financial Officer
2026-02-13
12,500 shares
·
$562,625
YATES LLOYD M
Chief Executive Officer
2026-01-22
43,658 shares
·
$1,899,996
CUCCIA KIMBERLY S
General Counsel
2026-01-21
5,937 shares
·
$259,981
LUHRS MICHAEL
Officer
2026-01-21
6,851 shares
·
$300,005
BERMAN MELANIE B
Officer
2026-01-21
5,481 shares
·
$240,013
JEFFERSON WILLIAM JR.
Chief Operating Officer
2026-01-21
6,851 shares
·
$300,005
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
BUY
14 analysts
Barclays
2026-04-17
Overweight
Overweight
Keybanc
2026-03-31
Overweight
Evercore ISI Group
2026-03-05
In-Line
In-Line
Citigroup
2026-02-12
Neutral
Neutral
Wells Fargo
2026-01-20
Overweight
Overweight
UBS
2025-12-17
Buy
Buy
Mizuho
2025-12-04
Outperform
Outperform
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning NI from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.