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AXON vs FERG

AXON
Axon Enterprise, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Price
$613.14
Market Cap
$48.71B
Sector
Industrials
AI Confidence
68%
FERG
Ferguson Enterprises Inc.
NEUTRAL
Price
$263.59
Market Cap
$52.92B
Sector
Industrials
AI Confidence
80%

Valuation

P/E Ratio
AXON
192.21
FERG
25.97
Forward P/E
AXON
81.34
FERG
21.31
P/B Ratio
AXON
15.98
FERG
8.78
P/S Ratio
AXON
19.04
FERG
1.72
EV/EBITDA
AXON
674.69
FERG
18.8

Profitability

Gross Margin
AXON
60.36%
FERG
30.62%
Operating Margin
AXON
-0.23%
FERG
7.89%
Profit Margin
AXON
10.05%
FERG
6.12%
ROE
AXON
10.03%
FERG
--
ROA
AXON
-0.03%
FERG
--

Growth

Revenue Growth
AXON
30.6%
FERG
3.6%
Earnings Growth
AXON
--
FERG
11.7%

Financial Health

Debt/Equity
AXON
0.69
FERG
0.92
Current Ratio
AXON
3.12
FERG
1.86
Quick Ratio
AXON
2.73
FERG
0.86

Dividends

Dividend Yield
AXON
--
FERG
1.35%
Payout Ratio
AXON
0.0%
FERG
33.27%

AI Verdict

AXON NEUTRAL

AXON's Advanced Deterministic Scorecard shows a Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, indicating stable financial health, but the absence of an Altman Z-Score limits distress risk assessment. The stock trades at a significant premium to both the Graham Number ($52.48) and intrinsic value ($22.33), supported by strong revenue growth (30.6% YoY) and consistent earnings beats, though recent negative EPS growth and insider selling raise concerns. Profitability is mixed with a healthy gross margin (60.36%) but negative operating and asset returns (ROA: -0.03%, Operating Margin: -0.23%). Analysts maintain a 'buy' recommendation with a $815 target, implying 33% upside, but insider sentiment is bearish, and technical trend is neutral to weak.

Strengths
Strong revenue growth of 30.6% YoY, well above sector average of 18.6%
Consistent earnings beat streak with 3 out of last 4 quarters exceeding estimates and an average surprise of 22.87%
High gross margin of 60.36%, reflecting pricing power and efficient cost control in core operations
Risks
Extremely high valuation metrics: P/E of 192.21 and Forward P/E of 81.34, far exceeding sector average of 54.20
Negative operating margin (-0.23%) and ROA (-0.03%) indicate core operations are not currently profitable on an operating basis
Recent YoY and Q/Q EPS growth are deeply negative (-102.1% and -101.4% respectively), signaling a sharp earnings downturn
FERG NEUTRAL

FERG presents a dichotomy between strong operational execution and stretched valuation. The Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates stable but not robust financial health, while the Graham Number of $82.81 suggests the stock is trading at a significant defensive premium. Despite a strong track record of earnings beats and a sustainable dividend payout, the bearish technical trend (10/100) and weak insider sentiment (40/100) suggest a potential near-term ceiling. The stock is currently trading slightly above its growth-based intrinsic value of $249.18.

Strengths
Consistent earnings beat track record (3/4 last 4 quarters with 14.68% avg surprise)
Sustainable dividend profile with a low payout ratio of 33.27%
Strong 1-year price appreciation of 57.9%
Risks
Significant valuation gap compared to Graham Number ($82.81 vs $263.59)
Very high Price-to-Book ratio (8.78) indicating high premium over assets
Sluggish year-over-year revenue growth of only 3.60%

Compare Another Pair

AXON vs FERG: Head-to-Head Comparison

This page compares Axon Enterprise, Inc. (AXON) and Ferguson Enterprises Inc. (FERG) across key fundamental metrics including valuation ratios, profitability margins, growth rates, financial health indicators, and dividend metrics. Each metric highlights the better-performing stock so you can quickly identify relative strengths and weaknesses.

Our AI engine independently analyzes each company's financials, competitive position, and market conditions to produce a verdict (Bullish, Neutral, or Bearish) along with key strengths and risks. Use this comparison alongside your own research to make informed investment decisions.

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