AXON
NEUTRAL
$613.14
Live
Axon Enterprise, Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $815.0
(+32.9%)
$469.24
52W Range
$885.92
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$48.71B
P/E
192.21
ROE
10.0%
Profit margin
10.1%
Debt/Equity
0.69
Dividend yield
N/A
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
68%
AXON's Advanced Deterministic Scorecard shows a Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, indicating stable financial health, but the absence of an Altman Z-Score limits distress risk assessment. The stock trades at a significant premium to both the Graham Number ($52.48) and intrinsic value ($22.33), supported by strong revenue growth (30.6% YoY) and consistent earnings beats, though recent negative EPS growth and insider selling raise concerns. Profitability is mixed with a healthy gross margin (60.36%) but negative operating and asset returns (ROA: -0.03%, Operating Margin: -0.23%). Analysts maintain a 'buy' recommendation with a $815 target, implying 33% upside, but insider sentiment is bearish, and technical trend is neutral to weak.
Key Strengths
Strong revenue growth of 30.6% YoY, well above sector average of 18.6%
Consistent earnings beat streak with 3 out of last 4 quarters exceeding estimates and an average surprise of 22.87%
High gross margin of 60.36%, reflecting pricing power and efficient cost control in core operations
Solid liquidity position with a current ratio of 3.12 and quick ratio of 2.73, indicating strong short-term financial health
Analyst consensus remains bullish with a $815 target price, suggesting substantial upside potential
Key Risks
Extremely high valuation metrics: P/E of 192.21 and Forward P/E of 81.34, far exceeding sector average of 54.20
Negative operating margin (-0.23%) and ROA (-0.03%) indicate core operations are not currently profitable on an operating basis
Recent YoY and Q/Q EPS growth are deeply negative (-102.1% and -101.4% respectively), signaling a sharp earnings downturn
Insider activity is strongly bearish with $34.68M in net selling over the past 6 months, including multiple executive sales
Missing key financial data (Altman Z-Score, ROIC, cash/debt figures) creates uncertainty in financial health and leverage assessment
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$52.48
-91.4% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
49
Moderate
30
75
70
60
10
AI Verdict
Neutral with upside risk if growth materializes
Key drivers: High revenue growth and earnings beat consistency, Elevated valuation and negative earnings momentum, Strong liquidity but weak operating profitability, Bullish analyst outlook vs bearish insider behavior, Missing Altman Z-Score and cash flow data limit health assessment
Confidence
70%
Value
30/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- Analyst target implies strong future value realization
Watchpoints
- Current price ($613.14) is 10.7x the Graham Number ($52.48)
- P/E of 192.21 and Price/Book of 15.98 are extremely high
- Intrinsic value estimate of $22.33 suggests deep overvaluation
Future
75/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- 30.6% YoY revenue growth is robust and accelerating
- Analyst target suggests strong future earnings expectations
- Historical earnings surprise trend indicates execution capability
Watchpoints
- Negative YoY and Q/Q EPS growth (-102.1%, -101.4%)
- Forward P/E still high at 81.34 despite earnings decline
Past
70/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- Long streak of earnings beats (22 of last 25 quarters)
- Average earnings surprise of 22.87% over last 4 quarters
- 5Y price return of +251.3% shows strong historical performance
Watchpoints
- 1Y price return flat at 0.0%, underperforming growth narrative
- 6M return of -16.6% indicates recent weakness
Health
60/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicates stable financial health
- Current ratio (3.12) and quick ratio (2.73) show strong liquidity
Watchpoints
- Altman Z-Score not available, limiting distress risk analysis
- ROA is negative (-0.03%) and operating margin is negative (-0.23%)
- Debt/Equity of 0.69 is moderate but lacks context without cash/debt figures
Dividend
10/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
- No dividend yield or payout history
- Dividend Strength score of 0/100
- No indication of capital return policy
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$613.14
Analyst Target
$815.0
Upside/Downside
+32.9%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for AXON and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-01-23
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
AXON
Axon Enterprise, Inc.
Primary
|
+251.3% | +224.5% | -0.0% | -16.6% | +3.7% | -3.6% |
|
RKLB
Rocket Lab Corporation
Peer
|
+689.6% | +1978.4% | +329.6% | +28.0% | +22.1% | +24.6% |
|
FAST
Fastenal Company
Peer
|
+89.3% | +68.9% | +0.6% | -1.6% | -3.7% | -1.0% |
|
CARR
Carrier Global Corporation
Peer
|
+43.0% | +27.2% | -26.9% | -28.0% | -5.1% | -5.9% |
|
AME
AMETEK, Inc.
Peer
|
+96.0% | +56.2% | +16.7% | +23.0% | +6.0% | +2.4% |
AXO
Axon Enterprise, Inc.
Primary
5Y
+251.3%
3Y
+224.5%
1Y
-0.0%
6M
-16.6%
1M
+3.7%
1W
-3.6%
RKL
Rocket Lab Corporation
Peer
5Y
+689.6%
3Y
+1978.4%
1Y
+329.6%
6M
+28.0%
1M
+22.1%
1W
+24.6%
FAS
Fastenal Company
Peer
5Y
+89.3%
3Y
+68.9%
1Y
+0.6%
6M
-1.6%
1M
-3.7%
1W
-1.0%
CAR
Carrier Global Corporation
Peer
5Y
+43.0%
3Y
+27.2%
1Y
-26.9%
6M
-28.0%
1M
-5.1%
1W
-5.9%
AME
AMETEK, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+96.0%
3Y
+56.2%
1Y
+16.7%
6M
+23.0%
1M
+6.0%
1W
+2.4%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
192.21
Forward P/E
81.34
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
15.98
P/S Ratio
19.04
EV/Revenue
18.78
EV/EBITDA
674.69
Market Cap
$48.71B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
10.05%
Operating Margin
-0.23%
Gross Margin
60.36%
ROE
10.03%
ROA
-0.03%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+30.6%
Earnings Growth
N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
N/A
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.69
Moderate
Current Ratio
3.12
Strong
Quick Ratio
2.73
Excellent
Cash/Share
$30.98
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-02-24
$N/A
2025-11-04
$-0.03
+13.3% surprise
2025-08-04
$2.12
+45.0% surprise
2025-05-07
$1.41
+10.2% surprise
Industrials Sector Comparison
Comparing AXON against 469 companies in the Industrials sector
(39 bullish, 174 neutral, 256 bearish)
P/E Ratio
192.21
This Stock
vs
98.24
Sector Avg
+95.7%
(Expensive)
Return on Equity (ROE)
10.03%
This Stock
vs
-19.38%
Sector Avg
-151.7%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
10.05%
This Stock
vs
6.65%
Sector Avg
+51.1%
(Superior)
Debt to Equity
0.69
This Stock
vs
2.63
Sector Avg
-73.7%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
30.6%
This Stock
vs
71.29%
Sector Avg
-57.1%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
3.12
This Stock
vs
3.09
Sector Avg
+1.1%
(Better)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
AXON
Axon Enterprise, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $48.71B | 192.21 | 10.0% | 10.1% | $613.14 | |
|
RKLB
Rocket Lab Corporation
|
BEARISH | $49.02B | - | -18.8% | -32.9% | $84.8 | Compare |
|
FAST
Fastenal Company
|
NEUTRAL | $46.78B | 38.16 | 32.7% | 15.3% | $40.45 | Compare |
|
CARR
Carrier Global Corporation
|
NEUTRAL | $46.46B | 33.81 | 10.0% | 18.1% | $54.1 | Compare |
|
AME
AMETEK, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $50.98B | 34.98 | 14.6% | 20.5% | $220.74 | Compare |
AXON
Axon Enterprise, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$48.7B
P/E
192.2
ROE
10.0%
Price
$613.14
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-07 | SMITH PATRICK W. | Chief Executive Officer | Sale | 10,000 | $6,190,146 |
| 2025-12-19 | MAK JENNIFER H | Officer | Sale | 1,134 | $680,400 |
| 2025-12-15 | KALINOWSKI CAITLIN ELIZABETH | Director | Gift | 180 | - |
| 2025-12-15 | MAK JENNIFER H | Officer | Stock Award | 1,359 | - |
| 2025-12-11 | BAGLEY BRITTANY | Chief Operating Officer | Sale | 2,000 | $1,160,000 |
| 2025-12-08 | SMITH PATRICK W. | Chief Executive Officer | Sale | 10,000 | $5,519,164 |
| 2025-12-08 | ISNER JOSHUA M | President | Sale | 20,000 | $11,052,007 |
| 2025-12-04 | WILLIAMS JERI L | Director | Sale | 100 | $55,063 |
| 2025-12-04 | MAK JENNIFER H | Officer | Sale | 894 | $491,700 |
| 2025-12-03 | ISNER JOSHUA M | President | Sale | 2,041 | $1,092,150 |
| 2025-12-03 | MAK JENNIFER H | Officer | Sale | 74 | $39,720 |
| 2025-12-02 | KUNINS JEFFREY C | Chief Technology Officer | Sale | 1,797 | $968,992 |
| 2025-11-13 | BROOKS CAMERON DAVID | Officer | Stock Award | 15,810 | - |
| 2025-11-13 | SMITH PATRICK W. | Chief Executive Officer | Stock Award | 97,015 | - |
| 2025-11-13 | BAGLEY BRITTANY | Chief Operating Officer | Stock Award | 30,560 | - |
SMITH PATRICK W.
Chief Executive Officer
2026-01-07
10,000 shares
·
$6,190,146
MAK JENNIFER H
Officer
2025-12-19
1,134 shares
·
$680,400
KALINOWSKI CAITLIN ELIZABETH
Director
2025-12-15
180 shares
MAK JENNIFER H
Officer
2025-12-15
1,359 shares
BAGLEY BRITTANY
Chief Operating Officer
2025-12-11
2,000 shares
·
$1,160,000
SMITH PATRICK W.
Chief Executive Officer
2025-12-08
10,000 shares
·
$5,519,164
ISNER JOSHUA M
President
2025-12-08
20,000 shares
·
$11,052,007
WILLIAMS JERI L
Director
2025-12-04
100 shares
·
$55,063
MAK JENNIFER H
Officer
2025-12-04
894 shares
·
$491,700
ISNER JOSHUA M
President
2025-12-03
2,041 shares
·
$1,092,150
MAK JENNIFER H
Officer
2025-12-03
74 shares
·
$39,720
KUNINS JEFFREY C
Chief Technology Officer
2025-12-02
1,797 shares
·
$968,992
BROOKS CAMERON DAVID
Officer
2025-11-13
15,810 shares
SMITH PATRICK W.
Chief Executive Officer
2025-11-13
97,015 shares
BAGLEY BRITTANY
Chief Operating Officer
2025-11-13
30,560 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
BUY
17 analysts
Morgan Stanley
2025-12-17
Overweight
Overweight
RBC Capital
2025-11-17
Outperform
Barclays
2025-11-06
Overweight
Overweight
UBS
2025-11-05
Neutral
Neutral
Goldman Sachs
2025-11-05
Buy
Buy
Piper Sandler
2025-11-05
Overweight
Overweight
JMP Securities
2025-09-29
Market Outperform
Market Outperform
Piper Sandler
2025-09-24
Overweight
Needham
2025-09-24
Buy
Buy
B of A Securities
2025-08-06
Buy
Buy
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning AXON from our newsroom.
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