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RKLB

BEARISH
$84.8 Live
Rocket Lab Corporation · NASDAQ
Target $86.5 (+2.0%)
$18.21 52W Range $99.58
Overview AI Snowflake Price Valuation Profitability Growth Health Statements Peers Insiders SEC Filings

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 18, 2026
Market cap
$49.02B
P/E
N/A
ROE
-18.8%
Profit margin
-32.9%
Debt/Equity
0.15
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
Rocket Lab exhibits a stable but mediocre Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating a company in transition rather than one with strong financial momentum. While the balance sheet is healthy with low debt (D/E 0.15) and high liquidity (Current Ratio 4.08), the valuation has reached speculative extremes with a Price/Sales ratio of 81.45 and a Forward P/E of 1654.63. Massive insider selling totaling $141.4M by the CEO, CFO, and COO, combined with a bearish technical trend (10/100), suggests that internal sentiment has decoupled from the current market price. The stock is trading at a massive premium to its fundamentals, leaving it highly vulnerable to a correction.

Key Strengths

Strong liquidity position with a Current Ratio of 4.08
Very low leverage with a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.15
Consistent revenue growth of 35.7% YoY
Positive gross margins (34.43%) indicating a viable core product
Strong historical price performance and market momentum

Key Risks

Extreme valuation multiples (P/S 81.45) far exceeding industry norms
Heavy insider liquidation ($141.4M sold) across all C-suite levels
Persistent negative profitability (Profit Margin -32.94%)
Bearish technical trend (10/100) suggesting a potential top
High dependency on future growth to justify current market cap
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$32.5
-61.7% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
44
Moderate
Value
5
Future
70
Past
85
Health
60
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
Speculative Bubble
Key drivers: Extreme P/S and P/E ratios, C-suite insider selling, Negative net income, Strong balance sheet liquidity
Confidence
90%
Value
5/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • P/S of 81.45 is unsustainable
  • P/B of 26.77 indicates extreme overvaluation
  • Forward P/E of 1654.63 is detached from earnings reality
Future
70/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • 35.7% Revenue growth
  • Strong sector tailwinds in Aerospace & Defense
Watchpoints
  • Earnings growth remains inconsistent
  • High capital expenditure requirements for space tech
Past
85/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • 1Y return of +329.6%
  • 3Y return of +1978.4%
Watchpoints
  • Recent technical trend has turned bearish
Health
60/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Low Debt/Equity (0.15)
  • High Quick Ratio (3.41)
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 is only 'Stable'
  • Negative ROE and ROA
Dividend
0/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • No dividend paid
  • Zero payout ratio

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$84.8
Analyst Target
$86.5
Upside/Downside
+2.0%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for RKLB and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-17
RKL
Rocket Lab Corporation
Primary
5Y
+689.6%
3Y
+1978.4%
1Y
+329.6%
6M
+28.0%
1M
+22.1%
1W
+24.6%
AXO
Axon Enterprise, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+251.3%
3Y
+224.5%
1Y
-0.0%
6M
-16.6%
1M
+3.7%
1W
-3.6%
AME
AMETEK, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+96.0%
3Y
+56.2%
1Y
+16.7%
6M
+23.0%
1M
+6.0%
1W
+2.4%
FAS
Fastenal Company
Peer
5Y
+89.3%
3Y
+68.9%
1Y
+0.6%
6M
-1.6%
1M
-3.7%
1W
-1.0%
CAR
Carrier Global Corporation
Peer
5Y
+43.0%
3Y
+27.2%
1Y
-26.9%
6M
-28.0%
1M
-5.1%
1W
-5.9%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
1654.63
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
26.77
P/S Ratio
81.45
EV/Revenue
78.71
EV/EBITDA
-255.34
Market Cap
$49.02B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin -32.94%
Operating Margin -28.41%
Gross Margin 34.43%
ROE -18.84%
ROA -8.15%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +35.7%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth +35.7%
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.15
Low debt
Current Ratio
4.08
Strong
Quick Ratio
3.41
Excellent
Cash/Share
$1.79

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$0.2B
Gross Margin
38.0%
Op. Margin
-28.4%
Net Margin
-29.5%
Total Assets
$2.3B
Liabilities
$0.6B
Equity
$1.7B
Debt/Equity
0.35x
Operating CF
$-0.1B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$-0.1B
FCF Yield
177%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-07
$N/A
2026-02-26
$-0.05
+10.0% surprise
2025-11-10
$-0.02
+66.8% surprise
2025-08-07
$-0.08
-2.2% surprise

Industrials Sector Comparison

Comparing RKLB against 294 companies in the Industrials sector (21 bullish, 101 neutral, 172 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-18.84%
This Stock
vs
-20.62%
Sector Avg
-8.7% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
-32.94%
This Stock
vs
10.86%
Sector Avg
-403.2% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.15
This Stock
vs
2.99
Sector Avg
-94.9% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
35.7%
This Stock
vs
105.56%
Sector Avg
-66.2% (Slower)
Current Ratio
4.08
This Stock
vs
3.12
Sector Avg
+30.7% (Stronger)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

RKLB Rocket Lab Corporation
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$49.0B
P/E
-
ROE
-18.8%
Price
$84.8
AXON Axon Enterprise, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$48.7B
P/E
192.2
ROE
10.0%
Price
$613.14
 Compare with RKLB
AME AMETEK, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$51.0B
P/E
35.0
ROE
14.6%
Price
$220.74
 Compare with RKLB
FAST Fastenal Company
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$46.8B
P/E
38.2
ROE
32.7%
Price
$40.45
 Compare with RKLB
CARR Carrier Global...
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$46.5B
P/E
33.8
ROE
10.0%
Price
$54.1
 Compare with RKLB

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

KAMPANI ARJUN E
General Counsel
Stock Award
2026-03-24
77,189 shares
SPICE ADAM C
Chief Financial Officer
Gift
2026-03-20
1,558 shares
SAINTIL MERLINE A
Director
Sell
2026-03-06
18,126 shares · $1,360,171
KAMPANI ARJUN E
General Counsel
Sell
2026-03-04
52,472 shares · $3,707,381
KLEIN FRANK
Chief Operating Officer
Sell
2026-03-04
81,250 shares · $5,740,940
SPICE ADAM C
Chief Financial Officer
Sell
2026-03-02
62,744 shares · $4,366,349
BECK PETER
Chief Executive Officer
Sell
2026-03-02
18,857 shares · $1,312,257
OLSON JON A
Director
Sell
2026-01-20
15,205 shares · $1,388,221
SAINTIL MERLINE A
Director
Sell
2026-01-14
108,500 shares · $9,436,680
SPICE ADAM C
Chief Financial Officer
Sell
2026-01-05
1,365,665 shares · $103,112,280
SPICE ADAM C
Chief Financial Officer
Option Exercise
2026-01-05
731,330 shares · $797,150
KLEIN FRANK
Chief Operating Officer
Sell
2026-01-02
100,000 shares · $7,294,980
SLUSKY ALEXANDER R
Director
Gift
2025-12-23
20,000 shares
SPICE ADAM C
Chief Financial Officer
Gift
2025-12-23
1,470 shares
FRANK EDWARD H
Director
Gift
2025-12-23
5,000 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

8-K
8-K
2026-04-14

Rocket Lab USA, Inc. likely reported its first-quarter financial results for 2026.

DEF 14A
DEF 14A
2026-04-06

Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) filed a definitive proxy statement on April 6, 2026, providing shareholders with necessary information and voting materials for its annual meeting.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2026-03-30
8-K
8-K
2026-03-17
8-K
8-K
2026-03-12

Rocket Lab USA, Inc. filed an 8-K on March 12, 2026, likely to announce its annual financial results for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025.

10-K
10-K
2026-02-26

Rocket Lab (RKLB) filed its 10-K on February 26, 2026, providing a comprehensive overview of its business operations and financial condition. The filing includes detailed management analysis of results of operations and a dedicated section outlining the company's primary risk factors.

8-K
8-K
2026-02-26

Rocket Lab USA, Inc. likely filed this 8-K to announce its fourth quarter and full-year financial results.

8-K
8-K
2026-01-22
8-K
8-K
2025-12-19
10-Q
10-Q
2025-11-10

Rocket Lab (RKLB) filed its 10-Q quarterly report on November 10, 2025. The filing includes a section dedicated to Risk Factors under Item 1A, although specific financial highlights were not provided in the available excerpt.

8-K
8-K
2025-11-10
8-K
8-K
2025-09-25
8-K
8-K
2025-09-15
8-K
8-K
2025-08-29
8-K
8-K
2025-08-12
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
15 analysts
Roth Capital
2026-04-17
Maintains
Buy Buy
Citizens
2026-04-07
up
Market Perform Market Outperform
Wells Fargo
2026-04-01
init
Equal-Weight
Clear Street
2026-03-19
init
Buy
Cantor Fitzgerald
2026-03-13
reit
Overweight Overweight
Cantor Fitzgerald
2026-02-27
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Citizens
2026-02-27
reit
Market Perform Market Perform
Needham
2026-02-27
Maintains
Buy Buy
Goldman Sachs
2026-01-20
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
B of A Securities
2026-01-20
Maintains
Buy Buy

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning RKLB from our newsroom.

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