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FERG

NEUTRAL
$263.59 Live
Ferguson Enterprises Inc. · NYSE
Target $276.05 (+4.7%)
$165.1 52W Range $271.64

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 27, 2026
Market cap
$52.92B
P/E
25.97
ROE
N/A
Profit margin
6.1%
Debt/Equity
0.92
Dividend yield
1.35%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
80%
FERG presents a dichotomy between strong operational execution and stretched valuation. The Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates stable but not robust financial health, while the Graham Number of $82.81 suggests the stock is trading at a significant defensive premium. Despite a strong track record of earnings beats and a sustainable dividend payout, the bearish technical trend (10/100) and weak insider sentiment (40/100) suggest a potential near-term ceiling. The stock is currently trading slightly above its growth-based intrinsic value of $249.18.

Key Strengths

Consistent earnings beat track record (3/4 last 4 quarters with 14.68% avg surprise)
Sustainable dividend profile with a low payout ratio of 33.27%
Strong 1-year price appreciation of 57.9%
Healthy liquidity position with a current ratio of 1.86
Broad analyst consensus 'Buy' rating from 22 analysts

Key Risks

Significant valuation gap compared to Graham Number ($82.81 vs $263.59)
Very high Price-to-Book ratio (8.78) indicating high premium over assets
Sluggish year-over-year revenue growth of only 3.60%
Bearish insider sentiment and technical trend indicators
Low Piotroski F-Score (4/9) suggests lack of strong fundamental momentum
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$249.18
-5.5% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
60
Strong
Value
40
Future
60
Past
85
Health
50
Dividend
65
AI Verdict
Fairly Valued to Overvalued
Key drivers: Earnings consistency, Valuation premiums, Technical divergence
Confidence
85%
Value
40/100

Ref P/E 25.97, PEG 1.70, Graham $82.81

Positives
  • Forward P/E (21.31) is lower than current P/E
Watchpoints
  • P/B of 8.78 is excessive
  • Trades far above Graham Number
Future
60/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Double-digit earnings growth (11.70%)
  • Positive Q/Q revenue growth
Watchpoints
  • Low top-line revenue growth (3.60%)
Past
85/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Strong 5Y change (+125.3%)
  • Consistent EPS surprises over 17 quarters
Watchpoints
  • Recent Q/Q EPS growth dip (-18.4%)
Health
50/100

Ref Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Manageable Debt/Equity (0.92)
  • Strong Current Ratio (1.86)
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 is only 'Stable'
Dividend
65/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
  • Very safe payout ratio (33.27%)
Watchpoints
  • Low dividend yield (1.35%)

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$263.59
Analyst Target
$276.05
Upside/Downside
+4.7%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for FERG and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-24
FER
Ferguson Enterprises Inc.
Primary
5Y
+125.3%
3Y
+105.1%
1Y
+57.9%
6M
+6.6%
1M
+15.2%
1W
+1.2%
AME
AMETEK, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+96.0%
3Y
+56.2%
1Y
+16.7%
6M
+23.0%
1M
+6.0%
1W
+2.4%
RKL
Rocket Lab Corporation
Peer
5Y
+689.6%
3Y
+1978.4%
1Y
+329.6%
6M
+28.0%
1M
+22.1%
1W
+24.6%
AXO
Axon Enterprise, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+251.3%
3Y
+224.5%
1Y
-0.0%
6M
-16.6%
1M
+3.7%
1W
-3.6%
FAS
Fastenal Company
Peer
5Y
+89.3%
3Y
+68.9%
1Y
+0.6%
6M
-1.6%
1M
-3.7%
1W
-1.0%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
25.97
Forward P/E
21.31
PEG Ratio
1.7
P/B Ratio
8.78
P/S Ratio
1.72
EV/Revenue
1.82
EV/EBITDA
18.8
Market Cap
$52.92B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 6.12%
Operating Margin 7.89%
Gross Margin 30.62%
ROE N/A
ROA N/A

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +3.6%
Earnings Growth +11.7%
Q/Q Revenue Growth +5.11%
Q/Q Earnings Growth +9.3%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.92
Moderate
Current Ratio
1.86
Good
Quick Ratio
0.86
Poor
Cash/Share
$2.86

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-03-10
$N/A
2025-12-09
$2.84
+4.4% surprise
2025-09-16
$3.48
+15.7% surprise
2025-06-03
$2.5
+24.0% surprise

Industrials Sector Comparison

Comparing FERG against 442 companies in the Industrials sector (38 bullish, 159 neutral, 245 bearish)
P/E Ratio
25.97
This Stock
vs
75.66
Sector Avg
-65.7% (Discount)
Profit Margin
6.12%
This Stock
vs
6.49%
Sector Avg
-5.7% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.92
This Stock
vs
2.71
Sector Avg
-65.9% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
3.6%
This Stock
vs
74.93%
Sector Avg
-95.2% (Slower)
Current Ratio
1.86
This Stock
vs
3.16
Sector Avg
-41.1% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

DEF 14A
DEF 14A
2026-03-16

FERG filed a Definitive Proxy Statement on March 16, 2026, providing shareholders with necessary information and voting materials for an upcoming meeting.

8-K
8-K
2026-02-24

Ferroglobe PLC filed an 8-K likely announcing its fourth quarter and full-year financial results.

10-Q
10-Q
2025-12-09

FERG filed its 10-Q on December 9, 2025. The provided excerpt does not contain specific financial highlights but notes the inclusion of a Risk Factors section.

8-K
8-K
2025-12-09
8-K
8-K
2025-12-04

Ferroglobe PLC filed a current report on December 4, 2025, likely to announce quarterly financial results or a material corporate update.

DEF 14A
DEF 14A
2025-10-15

FERG filed a Definitive Proxy Statement on October 15, 2025, providing shareholders with necessary information and voting materials for an upcoming meeting.

10-K
10-K
2025-09-26

FERG submitted its annual 10-K filing on September 26, 2025, which includes sections on business operations, risk factors, and management's discussion and analysis. Specific financial highlights and risk details were not provided in the available excerpts.

8-K
8-K
2025-09-22
8-K
8-K
2025-09-16
10-Q
10-Q
2025-06-03

FERG submitted its quarterly 10-Q filing on June 3, 2025. While the provided excerpt identifies the presence of risk factors in Item 1A, specific financial performance metrics and detailed risk disclosures were not included in the available text.

8-K
8-K
2025-06-03
8-K
8-K
2025-04-03
10-Q
10-Q
2025-03-11
8-K
8-K
2025-03-11
8-K
8-K
2025-01-10
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
22 analysts
Wells Fargo
2026-04-08
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Truist Securities
2026-02-26
Maintains
Buy Buy
UBS
2026-02-25
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
Oppenheimer
2026-02-25
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
Barclays
2026-02-25
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
RBC Capital
2026-02-25
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
Wells Fargo
2026-02-25
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Barclays
2026-01-15
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Deutsche Bank
2025-12-11
Maintains
Hold Hold
UBS
2025-12-10
Maintains
Neutral Neutral

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning FERG from our newsroom.

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