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BABA vs FWRG

BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
NEUTRAL
Price
$173.23
Market Cap
$413.56B
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
AI Confidence
65%
FWRG
First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.
BEARISH
Price
$11.65
Market Cap
$717.9M
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
AI Confidence
85%

Valuation

P/E Ratio
BABA
23.6
FWRG
36.41
Forward P/E
BABA
19.5
FWRG
38.18
P/B Ratio
BABA
2.71
FWRG
1.14
P/S Ratio
BABA
0.41
FWRG
0.59
EV/EBITDA
BABA
20.1
FWRG
15.63

Profitability

Gross Margin
BABA
41.17%
FWRG
20.24%
Operating Margin
BABA
2.17%
FWRG
3.17%
Profit Margin
BABA
12.19%
FWRG
1.59%
ROE
BABA
11.19%
FWRG
3.18%
ROA
BABA
4.03%
FWRG
1.3%

Growth

Revenue Growth
BABA
4.8%
FWRG
20.2%
Earnings Growth
BABA
-51.8%
FWRG
2290.3%

Financial Health

Debt/Equity
BABA
0.27
FWRG
1.61
Current Ratio
BABA
1.46
FWRG
0.29
Quick Ratio
BABA
0.84
FWRG
0.17

Dividends

Dividend Yield
BABA
0.59%
FWRG
--
Payout Ratio
BABA
14.4%
FWRG
0.0%

AI Verdict

BABA NEUTRAL

The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals a mixed financial profile for Alibaba (BABA), with a weak Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicating suboptimal financial health, and no available Altman Z-Score limiting distress risk assessment. While valuation metrics appear favorable relative to peers—especially a Price/Sales of 0.41 and Forward P/E of 19.50—earnings growth is sharply negative (YoY EPS down 71%), and recent quarterly beats have reversed into consistent misses over the last four quarters. Strong insider sentiment and a bullish analyst consensus (strong_buy) contrast with deteriorating profitability and weak technical trends (10/100). The stock trades significantly above the Graham Number ($102.68) and intrinsic value estimate ($51.38), suggesting overvaluation unless growth rebounds materially.

Strengths
Attractive valuation multiples relative to sector: P/E (23.60) and Price/Sales (0.41) well below sector averages (Avg P/E: 49.05, Avg P/S: N/A but implied high)
Low debt burden with Debt/Equity of 0.27, well below sector average of 1.63, providing financial flexibility
Strong gross margin of 41.17%, reflecting pricing power and operational efficiency in core e-commerce
Risks
Weak Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 signals deteriorating financial health—penalizes health score per instructions
Earnings in freefall: YoY EPS growth down 71.0%, Q/Q down 70.4%, with last four quarters missing estimates by an average of -10.5%
Operating margin collapsed to 2.17%, indicating severe pressure in profitability despite stable gross margins
FWRG BEARISH

FWRG presents a contradictory profile where strong top-line growth is undermined by severe liquidity risks and bearish internal signals. While the Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicates stable operational health, the company's current ratio of 0.29 and quick ratio of 0.17 signal a critical short-term liquidity crisis. The stock is currently trading at a premium to both its Graham Number ($8.59) and Intrinsic Value ($9.44), while insiders—including the CEO and CFO—are aggressively selling. Despite strong analyst buy ratings, the combination of thin profit margins (1.59%) and a persistent technical downtrend suggests significant downside risk.

Strengths
Strong YoY revenue growth of 20.20%
Stable Piotroski F-Score (6/9)
Low Price-to-Sales ratio (0.59)
Risks
Critical liquidity risk (Current Ratio 0.29, Quick Ratio 0.17)
Aggressive insider selling by C-suite executives
Very thin net profit margins (1.59%)

Compare Another Pair

BABA vs FWRG: Head-to-Head Comparison

This page compares Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA) and First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (FWRG) across key fundamental metrics including valuation ratios, profitability margins, growth rates, financial health indicators, and dividend metrics. Each metric highlights the better-performing stock so you can quickly identify relative strengths and weaknesses.

Our AI engine independently analyzes each company's financials, competitive position, and market conditions to produce a verdict (Bullish, Neutral, or Bearish) along with key strengths and risks. Use this comparison alongside your own research to make informed investment decisions.

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