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BABA vs GBTG

BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
NEUTRAL
Price
$173.23
Market Cap
$413.56B
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
AI Confidence
65%
GBTG
Global Business Travel Group, Inc.
BEARISH
Price
$5.73
Market Cap
$3.0B
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
AI Confidence
80%

Valuation

P/E Ratio
BABA
23.6
GBTG
26.05
Forward P/E
BABA
19.5
GBTG
10.12
P/B Ratio
BABA
2.71
GBTG
1.86
P/S Ratio
BABA
0.41
GBTG
1.1
EV/EBITDA
BABA
20.1
GBTG
12.75

Profitability

Gross Margin
BABA
41.17%
GBTG
60.08%
Operating Margin
BABA
2.17%
GBTG
5.68%
Profit Margin
BABA
12.19%
GBTG
4.01%
ROE
BABA
11.19%
GBTG
8.17%
ROA
BABA
4.03%
GBTG
3.45%

Growth

Revenue Growth
BABA
4.8%
GBTG
34.0%
Earnings Growth
BABA
-51.8%
GBTG
--

Financial Health

Debt/Equity
BABA
0.27
GBTG
0.94
Current Ratio
BABA
1.46
GBTG
1.14
Quick Ratio
BABA
0.84
GBTG
1.0

Dividends

Dividend Yield
BABA
0.59%
GBTG
--
Payout Ratio
BABA
14.4%
GBTG
0.0%

AI Verdict

BABA NEUTRAL

The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals a mixed financial profile for Alibaba (BABA), with a weak Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicating suboptimal financial health, and no available Altman Z-Score limiting distress risk assessment. While valuation metrics appear favorable relative to peers—especially a Price/Sales of 0.41 and Forward P/E of 19.50—earnings growth is sharply negative (YoY EPS down 71%), and recent quarterly beats have reversed into consistent misses over the last four quarters. Strong insider sentiment and a bullish analyst consensus (strong_buy) contrast with deteriorating profitability and weak technical trends (10/100). The stock trades significantly above the Graham Number ($102.68) and intrinsic value estimate ($51.38), suggesting overvaluation unless growth rebounds materially.

Strengths
Attractive valuation multiples relative to sector: P/E (23.60) and Price/Sales (0.41) well below sector averages (Avg P/E: 49.05, Avg P/S: N/A but implied high)
Low debt burden with Debt/Equity of 0.27, well below sector average of 1.63, providing financial flexibility
Strong gross margin of 41.17%, reflecting pricing power and operational efficiency in core e-commerce
Risks
Weak Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 signals deteriorating financial health—penalizes health score per instructions
Earnings in freefall: YoY EPS growth down 71.0%, Q/Q down 70.4%, with last four quarters missing estimates by an average of -10.5%
Operating margin collapsed to 2.17%, indicating severe pressure in profitability despite stable gross margins
GBTG BEARISH

GBTG exhibits a fragile fundamental profile with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating only stable to weak financial health. The stock is trading at a significant premium to both its Graham Number ($3.91) and Intrinsic Value ($1.54), suggesting a valuation disconnect. While revenue growth is robust at 34%, this is offset by a disastrous earnings track record, with 0 out of the last 4 quarters beating estimates and an average surprise of -34.99%. Combined with bearish insider sentiment and a 0/100 technical trend, the growth narrative is currently unsupported by bottom-line execution.

Strengths
Strong YoY revenue growth of 34.00%
High gross margins at 60.08%
Positive YoY EPS growth of 66.7%
Risks
Consistent failure to meet earnings estimates (0/4 beats in last 4 quarters)
Price is trading nearly 4x higher than the growth-based intrinsic value ($1.54)
Bearish insider activity with recent selling by the CTO

Compare Another Pair

BABA vs GBTG: Head-to-Head Comparison

This page compares Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA) and Global Business Travel Group, Inc. (GBTG) across key fundamental metrics including valuation ratios, profitability margins, growth rates, financial health indicators, and dividend metrics. Each metric highlights the better-performing stock so you can quickly identify relative strengths and weaknesses.

Our AI engine independently analyzes each company's financials, competitive position, and market conditions to produce a verdict (Bullish, Neutral, or Bearish) along with key strengths and risks. Use this comparison alongside your own research to make informed investment decisions.

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