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GBTG

BEARISH
$5.73 Live
Global Business Travel Group, Inc. · NYSE
Target $9.27 (+61.8%)
$4.96 52W Range $8.64
Overview AI Snowflake Price Valuation Profitability Growth Health Statements Peers Insiders SEC Filings

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 27, 2026
Market cap
$3.0B
P/E
26.05
ROE
8.2%
Profit margin
4.0%
Debt/Equity
0.94
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
80%
GBTG exhibits a fragile fundamental profile with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating only stable to weak financial health. The stock is trading at a significant premium to both its Graham Number ($3.91) and Intrinsic Value ($1.54), suggesting a valuation disconnect. While revenue growth is robust at 34%, this is offset by a disastrous earnings track record, with 0 out of the last 4 quarters beating estimates and an average surprise of -34.99%. Combined with bearish insider sentiment and a 0/100 technical trend, the growth narrative is currently unsupported by bottom-line execution.

Key Strengths

Strong YoY revenue growth of 34.00%
High gross margins at 60.08%
Positive YoY EPS growth of 66.7%
Forward P/E (10.12) is significantly lower than trailing P/E (26.05), suggesting expected earnings improvement
Analyst target price ($9.27) suggests significant potential upside if execution improves

Key Risks

Consistent failure to meet earnings estimates (0/4 beats in last 4 quarters)
Price is trading nearly 4x higher than the growth-based intrinsic value ($1.54)
Bearish insider activity with recent selling by the CTO
Weak technical trend (0/100) and negative 6-month price performance (-28.5%)
Thin profit margins (4.01%) leave little room for operational error
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$3.72
-35.1% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
33
Weak
Value
30
Future
70
Past
20
Health
45
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
Speculative/High Risk
Key drivers: Strong top-line growth, Poor earnings reliability, Overvaluation relative to deterministic benchmarks, Bearish technicals
Confidence
85%
Value
30/100

Ref P/E 26.05, Graham Number $3.91

Positives
  • P/S ratio of 1.10 is relatively low
Watchpoints
  • Price ($5.73) is well above Graham Number ($3.91)
  • Price is significantly above Intrinsic Value ($1.54)
Future
70/100

Ref Revenue Growth 34.00%

Positives
  • 34% Revenue growth
  • Strong analyst target price
Watchpoints
  • Consistent earnings misses suggest guidance is overly optimistic
Past
20/100

Ref Historical price and earnings trends

Positives
  • Positive EPS growth YoY
Watchpoints
  • 1Y Change -15.9%
  • 6M Change -28.5%
  • Average surprise -34.99% over last 4 quarters
Health
45/100

Ref Piotroski F-Score 4/9

Positives
  • Debt/Equity (0.94) is lower than sector average (1.54)
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score 4/9 is only marginally stable
  • Current ratio (1.14) is tight
Dividend
0/100

Ref Dividend Yield N/A

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • No dividend paid
  • 0/100 dividend strength

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$5.73
Analyst Target
$9.27
Upside/Downside
+61.8%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for GBTG and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-24
GBT
Global Business Travel Group, Inc.
Primary
5Y
-21.0%
3Y
-4.5%
1Y
-15.9%
6M
-28.5%
1M
+5.9%
1W
-5.8%
AEO
American Eagle Outfitters, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-34.3%
3Y
+45.2%
1Y
+66.1%
6M
-2.9%
1M
-26.3%
1W
-4.8%
SHO
Steven Madden, Ltd.
Peer
5Y
+13.9%
3Y
+20.3%
1Y
+105.3%
6M
+15.0%
1M
+22.1%
1W
+4.8%
LCI
Lucid Group, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-96.0%
3Y
-88.2%
1Y
-60.6%
6M
-59.9%
1M
-5.0%
1W
-8.0%
GEF
Greif, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+73.7%
3Y
+21.4%
1Y
+50.2%
6M
+37.2%
1M
-1.0%
1W
-6.2%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
26.05
Forward P/E
10.12
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
1.86
P/S Ratio
1.1
EV/Revenue
1.54
EV/EBITDA
12.75
Market Cap
$3.0B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 4.01%
Operating Margin 5.68%
Gross Margin 60.08%
ROE 8.17%
ROA 3.45%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +34.0%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth +34.01%
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.94
Moderate
Current Ratio
1.14
Good
Quick Ratio
1.0
Good
Cash/Share
$0.83

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$0.8B
Gross Margin
56.8%
Op. Margin
4.5%
Net Margin
10.5%
Total Assets
$4.9B
Liabilities
$3.3B
Equity
$1.6B
Debt/Equity
2.02x
Operating CF
$0.1B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$0.0B
FCF Yield
25%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-05
$N/A
2026-03-09
$0.15
-9.1% surprise
2025-11-10
$0.07
-43.5% surprise
2025-08-05
$0.07
-52.3% surprise

Consumer Cyclical Sector Comparison

Comparing GBTG against 364 companies in the Consumer Cyclical sector (23 bullish, 117 neutral, 224 bearish)
P/E Ratio
26.05
This Stock
vs
33.86
Sector Avg
-23.1% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
8.17%
This Stock
vs
-47.51%
Sector Avg
-117.2% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
4.01%
This Stock
vs
-6.04%
Sector Avg
-166.4% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.94
This Stock
vs
1.53
Sector Avg
-38.6% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
34.0%
This Stock
vs
30.1%
Sector Avg
+12.9% (Growing)
Current Ratio
1.14
This Stock
vs
2.4
Sector Avg
-52.7% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

GBTG Global Business...
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$3.0B
P/E
26.0
ROE
8.2%
Price
$5.73
AEO American Eagle...
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$3.0B
P/E
16.1
ROE
10.7%
Price
$17.58
 Compare with GBTG
SHOO Steven Madden, Ltd.
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$2.9B
P/E
63.2
ROE
5.5%
Price
$39.8
 Compare with GBTG
LCID Lucid Group, Inc.
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$3.1B
P/E
-
ROE
-66.0%
Price
$9.53
 Compare with GBTG
GEF-B Greif, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$3.2B
P/E
23.0
ROE
-%
Price
$83.34
 Compare with GBTG

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

THOMPSON JOHN DAVID
Chief Technology Officer
Sell
2026-03-04
109,020 shares · $625,775
ABBOTT PAUL GORDON
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-20
862,132 shares
PELANT JOHN EDWARD
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-18
92,371 shares
BOCK ERIC J
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-18
369,485 shares
THOMPSON JOHN DAVID
Chief Technology Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-18
215,533 shares
HUSKA PATRICIA ANNE
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-18
215,533 shares
KONWISER EVAN
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-18
184,742 shares
CRAWLEY ANDREW GEORGE
President
Stock Award
2026-02-18
369,485 shares
VAN VLIET CHRISTOPHER
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-18
47,426 shares
WILLIAMS KAREN A
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-18
246,323 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

DEF 14A
DEF 14A
2026-04-02

GBTG filed a definitive proxy statement on April 2, 2026, providing shareholders with necessary information to vote at the company's annual meeting.

10-K
10-K
2026-03-09

GBTG filed its annual 10-K report on March 9, 2026, which includes detailed sections on business operations, risk factors, and management's discussion and analysis of financial condition. Specific financial highlights and risk details were not provided in the available excerpts.

8-K
8-K
2026-03-09

GBTG likely reported its annual financial results for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025.

8-K/A
FORM 8-K/A
2026-02-17

GBTG filed an amendment to a previously submitted Form 8-K on February 17, 2026.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2026-02-17

GBTG filed an 8-K on February 17, 2026, likely to announce its fourth quarter and full-year financial results for 2025.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2026-01-22

GBTG filed an 8-K on January 22, 2026, likely to announce its year-end financial results.

10-Q
10-Q
2025-11-10

GBTG utilizes the purchase method of accounting for business combinations, relying on third-party valuations and management judgment to determine the fair value of acquired assets and liabilities. A key financial risk is the inherent uncertainty and subjectivity of these estimates, which may lead to actual results differing from management's projections.

8-K
8-K
2025-11-10
8-K/A
8-K
2025-11-10
8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-09-02
10-Q
10-Q
2025-08-05
8-K
8-K
2025-08-05
8-K
8-K
2025-06-13
8-K
8-K
2025-05-06
10-Q
10-Q
2025-05-06
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
7 analysts
B of A Securities
2026-04-07
init
Neutral
Citigroup
2026-03-12
Maintains
Buy Buy
UBS
2026-03-10
Maintains
Buy Buy
Morgan Stanley
2026-03-10
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight
BTIG
2026-03-10
Maintains
Buy Buy
Evercore ISI Group
2025-12-02
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
Morgan Stanley
2025-11-11
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning GBTG from our newsroom.

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