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BAH vs SAIA

BAH
Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation
NEUTRAL
Price
$102.23
Market Cap
$12.6B
Sector
Industrials
AI Confidence
72%
SAIA
Saia, Inc.
BEARISH
Price
$434.22
Market Cap
$11.58B
Sector
Industrials
AI Confidence
85%

Valuation

P/E Ratio
BAH
14.6
SAIA
45.66
Forward P/E
BAH
16.76
SAIA
31.71
P/B Ratio
BAH
12.73
SAIA
4.48
P/S Ratio
BAH
1.08
SAIA
3.58
EV/EBITDA
BAH
11.52
SAIA
20.12

Profitability

Gross Margin
BAH
22.4%
SAIA
23.66%
Operating Margin
BAH
9.79%
SAIA
6.53%
Profit Margin
BAH
7.06%
SAIA
7.89%
ROE
BAH
75.2%
SAIA
10.43%
ROA
BAH
10.12%
SAIA
6.39%

Growth

Revenue Growth
BAH
-8.1%
SAIA
0.1%
Earnings Growth
BAH
-52.9%
SAIA
-37.6%

Financial Health

Debt/Equity
BAH
4.18
SAIA
0.12
Current Ratio
BAH
1.76
SAIA
1.64
Quick Ratio
BAH
1.65
SAIA
1.45

Dividends

Dividend Yield
BAH
2.3%
SAIA
--
Payout Ratio
BAH
32.93%
SAIA
0.0%

AI Verdict

BAH NEUTRAL

The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals a mixed financial profile for BAH, with a weak Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicating marginal financial health, and no available Altman Z-Score to assess distress risk. Despite strong historical ROE of 75.2% and solid cash flow generation, the company faces significant headwinds with declining revenue and earnings, reflected in negative YoY growth of -8.1% and -52.9%, respectively. Valuation metrics suggest the stock is trading above its Graham Number of $35.57 and growth-based intrinsic value of $49.0, yet at a discount to sector peers on P/E. Analysts have a consensus 'hold' rating with a target price of $102.91, nearly at current levels, while technical trend signals remain bearish.

Strengths
Exceptionally high ROE of 75.20%, indicating superior capital efficiency and profitability relative to equity
Strong operating cash flow conversion, implied by consistent earnings beats and solid free cash flow generation (despite missing data)
Dividend yield of 2.30% with a sustainable 32.93% payout ratio, above sector average and supported by stable cash flows
Risks
Weak Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating deteriorating financial health with declining profitability, leverage, and operating performance
High debt/equity ratio of 4.18, significantly above peer average of 5.64 but still concerning given falling earnings
Sharp decline in earnings: YoY EPS down -50.5% and Q/Q down -31.0%, raising concerns about demand or margin pressures
SAIA BEARISH

SAIA exhibits a strong operational foundation with a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 and a very conservative debt profile (Debt/Equity 0.12). However, this fundamental health is decoupled from its market valuation, with the current price of $434.22 trading at a massive premium to both the Graham Number ($144.06) and the Intrinsic Value ($66.57). The investment thesis is further weakened by a severe earnings collapse (-37.60% YoY) and stagnant revenue growth (0.10%), suggesting the stock is priced for growth that is not currently manifesting. Bearish insider activity and a high PEG ratio (2.48) indicate significant downside risk.

Strengths
Strong operational health (Piotroski F-Score 8/9)
Very low leverage (Debt/Equity 0.12)
Healthy liquidity (Current Ratio 1.64)
Risks
Extreme overvaluation relative to Graham and Intrinsic values
Severe earnings contraction (-37.60% YoY)
Stagnant revenue growth (0.10% YoY)

Compare Another Pair

BAH vs SAIA: Head-to-Head Comparison

This page compares Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation (BAH) and Saia, Inc. (SAIA) across key fundamental metrics including valuation ratios, profitability margins, growth rates, financial health indicators, and dividend metrics. Each metric highlights the better-performing stock so you can quickly identify relative strengths and weaknesses.

Our AI engine independently analyzes each company's financials, competitive position, and market conditions to produce a verdict (Bullish, Neutral, or Bearish) along with key strengths and risks. Use this comparison alongside your own research to make informed investment decisions.

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