SAIA
BEARISH
$434.22
Live
Saia, Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $397.19
(-8.5%)
$229.12
52W Range
$445.08
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Apr 19, 2026
Market cap
$11.58B
P/E
45.66
ROE
10.4%
Profit margin
7.9%
Debt/Equity
0.12
Dividend yield
N/A
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
85%
SAIA exhibits a strong operational foundation with a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 and a very conservative debt profile (Debt/Equity 0.12). However, this fundamental health is decoupled from its market valuation, with the current price of $434.22 trading at a massive premium to both the Graham Number ($144.06) and the Intrinsic Value ($66.57). The investment thesis is further weakened by a severe earnings collapse (-37.60% YoY) and stagnant revenue growth (0.10%), suggesting the stock is priced for growth that is not currently manifesting. Bearish insider activity and a high PEG ratio (2.48) indicate significant downside risk.
Key Strengths
Strong operational health (Piotroski F-Score 8/9)
Very low leverage (Debt/Equity 0.12)
Healthy liquidity (Current Ratio 1.64)
Strong historical 5-year price appreciation (+80.9%)
Consistent historical track record of earnings beats over 25 quarters
Key Risks
Extreme overvaluation relative to Graham and Intrinsic values
Severe earnings contraction (-37.60% YoY)
Stagnant revenue growth (0.10% YoY)
Bearish insider sentiment with multiple executive sales
High P/E ratio (45.66) relative to current growth rates
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$144.06
-66.8% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
41
Moderate
15
20
75
95
0
AI Verdict
Overvalued Health-Play
Key drivers: Piotroski F-Score, Earnings Growth, Graham Number, Insider Selling
Confidence
90%
Value
15/100
Ref P/E 45.66, PEG 2.48, Graham Number $144.06
Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
- Price is ~3x the Graham Number
- P/E of 45.66 is high for trucking
- PEG ratio of 2.48 indicates overpayment for growth
Future
20/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- Analyst target price remains relatively high ($397.19)
Watchpoints
- Earnings growth is sharply negative (-37.60%)
- Revenue growth has stalled at 0.10%
Past
75/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- Strong 5Y and 3Y price returns
- Long history of beating earnings estimates
Watchpoints
- Recent quarterly earnings trend is declining
Health
95/100
Ref Piotroski F-Score 8/9
Positives
- Piotroski F-Score 8/9
- Very low Debt/Equity (0.12)
- Strong Current/Quick ratios
Watchpoints
No urgent risks highlighted.
Dividend
0/100
Ref Yield N/A
Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
- No dividend payments
- 0/100 dividend strength
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$434.22
Analyst Target
$397.19
Upside/Downside
-8.5%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for SAIA and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-04-17
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
SAIA
Saia, Inc.
Primary
|
+80.9% | +58.9% | +29.8% | +41.6% | +34.6% | +8.1% |
|
AEIS
Advanced Energy Industries, Inc.
Peer
|
+184.9% | +213.8% | +197.9% | +92.0% | -2.2% | +3.9% |
|
IESC
IES Holdings, Inc.
Peer
|
+943.7% | +1202.7% | +194.9% | +47.4% | +20.5% | +10.4% |
|
AIT
Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc.
Peer
|
+260.2% | +134.7% | +7.9% | +3.3% | +6.0% | -0.4% |
|
BAH
Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation
Peer
|
+14.6% | +12.0% | -23.3% | -8.5% | +20.1% | +5.0% |
SAI
Saia, Inc.
Primary
5Y
+80.9%
3Y
+58.9%
1Y
+29.8%
6M
+41.6%
1M
+34.6%
1W
+8.1%
AEI
Advanced Energy Industries, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+184.9%
3Y
+213.8%
1Y
+197.9%
6M
+92.0%
1M
-2.2%
1W
+3.9%
IES
IES Holdings, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+943.7%
3Y
+1202.7%
1Y
+194.9%
6M
+47.4%
1M
+20.5%
1W
+10.4%
AIT
Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+260.2%
3Y
+134.7%
1Y
+7.9%
6M
+3.3%
1M
+6.0%
1W
-0.4%
BAH
Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation
Peer
5Y
+14.6%
3Y
+12.0%
1Y
-23.3%
6M
-8.5%
1M
+20.1%
1W
+5.0%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
45.66
Forward P/E
31.71
PEG Ratio
2.48
P/B Ratio
4.48
P/S Ratio
3.58
EV/Revenue
3.66
EV/EBITDA
20.12
Market Cap
$11.58B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
7.89%
Operating Margin
6.53%
Gross Margin
23.66%
ROE
10.43%
ROA
6.39%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+0.1%
Earnings Growth
-37.6%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
+0.13%
Q/Q Earnings Growth
-37.6%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.12
Low debt
Current Ratio
1.64
Good
Quick Ratio
1.45
Good
Cash/Share
$0.74
Financial Statement Flow
Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025
Revenue
$0.8B
Gross Margin
13.9%
Op. Margin
8.1%
Net Margin
6.0%
Total Assets
$3.5B
Liabilities
$0.9B
Equity
$2.6B
Debt/Equity
0.35x
Operating CF
$0.1B
CapEx
$-0.1B
Free Cash Flow
$0.0B
FCF Yield
27%
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-04-30
$N/A
2026-02-10
$1.77
-7.2% surprise
2025-10-30
$2.81
+9.9% surprise
2025-07-25
$2.67
+11.6% surprise
Industrials Sector Comparison
Comparing SAIA against 317 companies in the Industrials sector
(22 bullish, 106 neutral, 189 bearish)
P/E Ratio
45.66
This Stock
vs
78.37
Sector Avg
-41.7%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
10.43%
This Stock
vs
-22.02%
Sector Avg
-147.4%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
7.89%
This Stock
vs
8.66%
Sector Avg
-9.0%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.12
This Stock
vs
2.99
Sector Avg
-96.0%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
0.1%
This Stock
vs
99.96%
Sector Avg
-99.9%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
1.64
This Stock
vs
3.33
Sector Avg
-50.9%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
SAIA
Saia, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $11.58B | 45.66 | 10.4% | 7.9% | $434.22 | |
|
AEIS
Advanced Energy Industries, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $11.4B | 78.04 | 11.6% | 8.2% | $302.02 | Compare |
|
IESC
IES Holdings, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $10.62B | 31.64 | 41.7% | 9.8% | $532.78 | Compare |
|
AIT
Applied Industrial...
|
NEUTRAL | $10.58B | 27.17 | 22.1% | 8.6% | $280.14 | Compare |
|
BAH
Booz Allen Hamilton...
|
NEUTRAL | $12.6B | 14.6 | 75.2% | 7.1% | $102.23 | Compare |
SAIA
Saia, Inc.
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$11.6B
P/E
45.7
ROE
10.4%
Price
$434.22
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-17 | EISNOR DI-ANN | Director | Sale | 500 | $194,940 |
| 2026-02-13 | HOLZGREFE FREDERICK J III | Chief Executive Officer | Sale | 4,775 | $1,856,535 |
| 2026-02-13 | RAMU RAYMOND R | Officer | Sale | 5,226 | $2,027,426 |
| 2026-02-13 | SUGAR PATRICK D | Officer | Sale | 2,706 | $1,046,519 |
| 2026-02-13 | BENTON KELLY W | Officer | Sale | 800 | $311,200 |
| 2026-02-13 | BATTEH MATTHEW J | Chief Financial Officer | Sale | 2,026 | $773,391 |
| 2026-02-12 | HOLZGREFE FREDERICK J III | Chief Executive Officer | Stock Award | 6,594 | - |
| 2026-02-12 | RAMU RAYMOND R | Officer | Stock Award | 2,299 | - |
| 2026-02-12 | SUGAR PATRICK D | Officer | Stock Award | 2,085 | - |
| 2026-02-12 | BENTON KELLY W | Officer | Stock Award | 498 | - |
| 2026-02-12 | NORWOOD ANTHONY R | Officer | Stock Award | 1,015 | - |
| 2026-02-12 | BATTEH MATTHEW J | Chief Financial Officer | Stock Award | 1,658 | - |
| 2026-02-12 | BATTEH MATTHEW J | Chief Financial Officer | Option Exercise | 1,110 | $111,222 |
| 2026-02-12 | PATEL TARAK | Chief Technology Officer | Stock Award | 425 | - |
| 2026-02-09 | HOLZGREFE FREDERICK J III | Chief Executive Officer | Stock Award | 8,611 | - |
EISNOR DI-ANN
Director
2026-02-17
500 shares
·
$194,940
HOLZGREFE FREDERICK J III
Chief Executive Officer
2026-02-13
4,775 shares
·
$1,856,535
RAMU RAYMOND R
Officer
2026-02-13
5,226 shares
·
$2,027,426
SUGAR PATRICK D
Officer
2026-02-13
2,706 shares
·
$1,046,519
BENTON KELLY W
Officer
2026-02-13
800 shares
·
$311,200
BATTEH MATTHEW J
Chief Financial Officer
2026-02-13
2,026 shares
·
$773,391
HOLZGREFE FREDERICK J III
Chief Executive Officer
2026-02-12
6,594 shares
RAMU RAYMOND R
Officer
2026-02-12
2,299 shares
SUGAR PATRICK D
Officer
2026-02-12
2,085 shares
BENTON KELLY W
Officer
2026-02-12
498 shares
NORWOOD ANTHONY R
Officer
2026-02-12
1,015 shares
BATTEH MATTHEW J
Chief Financial Officer
2026-02-12
1,658 shares
BATTEH MATTHEW J
Chief Financial Officer
2026-02-12
1,110 shares
·
$111,222
PATEL TARAK
Chief Technology Officer
2026-02-12
425 shares
HOLZGREFE FREDERICK J III
Chief Executive Officer
2026-02-09
8,611 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
BUY
21 analysts
Stifel
2026-04-16
Hold
Hold
Evercore ISI Group
2026-03-27
In-Line
In-Line
B of A Securities
2026-03-04
Neutral
Neutral
Benchmark
2026-02-11
Buy
Buy
Citigroup
2026-02-11
Buy
Buy
Wells Fargo
2026-02-11
Equal-Weight
Equal-Weight
Evercore ISI Group
2026-02-11
In-Line
In-Line
Barclays
2026-02-11
Overweight
Overweight
Stephens & Co.
2026-02-11
Overweight
Overweight
Susquehanna
2026-02-11
Positive
Neutral
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning SAIA from our newsroom.
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