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BALY vs FWRG

BALY
Bally's Corporation
BEARISH
Price
$16.50
Market Cap
$811.2M
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
AI Confidence
92%
FWRG
First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.
BEARISH
Price
$11.65
Market Cap
$717.9M
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
AI Confidence
85%

Valuation

P/E Ratio
BALY
--
FWRG
36.41
Forward P/E
BALY
-8.25
FWRG
38.18
P/B Ratio
BALY
1.55
FWRG
1.14
P/S Ratio
BALY
0.33
FWRG
0.59
EV/EBITDA
BALY
19.52
FWRG
15.63

Profitability

Gross Margin
BALY
55.16%
FWRG
20.24%
Operating Margin
BALY
4.65%
FWRG
3.17%
Profit Margin
BALY
-17.41%
FWRG
1.59%
ROE
BALY
-115.63%
FWRG
3.18%
ROA
BALY
0.36%
FWRG
1.3%

Growth

Revenue Growth
BALY
5.4%
FWRG
20.2%
Earnings Growth
BALY
--
FWRG
2290.3%

Financial Health

Debt/Equity
BALY
10.85
FWRG
1.61
Current Ratio
BALY
0.68
FWRG
0.29
Quick Ratio
BALY
0.45
FWRG
0.17

Dividends

Dividend Yield
BALY
--
FWRG
--
Payout Ratio
BALY
0.0%
FWRG
0.0%

AI Verdict

BALY BEARISH

BALY exhibits severe financial distress with a Piotroski F-Score of just 2/9, indicating weak fundamental health. The company is unprofitable with a negative ROE of -115.63%, a deeply negative forward P/E of -8.25, and a profit margin of -17.41%, signaling ongoing earnings deterioration. Despite a low Price/Sales ratio of 0.33 suggesting possible value, extreme leverage (Debt/Equity: 10.85) and poor earnings predictability—evidenced by an average earnings surprise of -149.99% over the last four quarters—undermine any valuation appeal. Technical trend and insider sentiment are neutral to bearish, reinforcing a high-risk profile.

Strengths
Low Price/Sales ratio of 0.33 suggests potential undervaluation relative to revenue
Gross margin of 55.16% indicates strong core operational efficiency in service delivery
Recent 6-month price return of +65.5% shows short-term momentum
Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 indicates severe financial weakness and high risk of continued underperformance
Debt/Equity ratio of 10.85 is drastically above sector average (1.60), signaling extreme financial leverage
Negative ROE of -115.63% reflects significant shareholder value destruction
FWRG BEARISH

FWRG presents a contradictory profile where strong top-line growth is undermined by severe liquidity risks and bearish internal signals. While the Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicates stable operational health, the company's current ratio of 0.29 and quick ratio of 0.17 signal a critical short-term liquidity crisis. The stock is currently trading at a premium to both its Graham Number ($8.59) and Intrinsic Value ($9.44), while insiders—including the CEO and CFO—are aggressively selling. Despite strong analyst buy ratings, the combination of thin profit margins (1.59%) and a persistent technical downtrend suggests significant downside risk.

Strengths
Strong YoY revenue growth of 20.20%
Stable Piotroski F-Score (6/9)
Low Price-to-Sales ratio (0.59)
Risks
Critical liquidity risk (Current Ratio 0.29, Quick Ratio 0.17)
Aggressive insider selling by C-suite executives
Very thin net profit margins (1.59%)

Compare Another Pair

BALY vs FWRG: Head-to-Head Comparison

This page compares Bally's Corporation (BALY) and First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (FWRG) across key fundamental metrics including valuation ratios, profitability margins, growth rates, financial health indicators, and dividend metrics. Each metric highlights the better-performing stock so you can quickly identify relative strengths and weaknesses.

Our AI engine independently analyzes each company's financials, competitive position, and market conditions to produce a verdict (Bullish, Neutral, or Bearish) along with key strengths and risks. Use this comparison alongside your own research to make informed investment decisions.

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