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BLBD vs GBX

BLBD
Blue Bird Corporation
BULLISH
Price
$49.57
Market Cap
$1.57B
Sector
Industrials
AI Confidence
85%
GBX
The Greenbrier Companies, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Price
$49.29
Market Cap
$1.52B
Sector
Industrials
AI Confidence
85%

Valuation

P/E Ratio
BLBD
12.91
GBX
10.51
Forward P/E
BLBD
10.33
GBX
12.12
P/B Ratio
BLBD
6.19
GBX
0.97
P/S Ratio
BLBD
1.06
GBX
0.53
EV/EBITDA
BLBD
7.87
GBX
8.89

Profitability

Gross Margin
BLBD
20.51%
GBX
16.16%
Operating Margin
BLBD
12.36%
GBX
2.06%
Profit Margin
BLBD
8.63%
GBX
5.12%
ROE
BLBD
61.56%
GBX
9.31%
ROA
BLBD
18.36%
GBX
3.11%

Growth

Revenue Growth
BLBD
16.9%
GBX
-22.9%
Earnings Growth
BLBD
51.8%
GBX
-69.9%

Financial Health

Debt/Equity
BLBD
0.38
GBX
1.05
Current Ratio
BLBD
1.74
GBX
3.71
Quick Ratio
BLBD
1.06
GBX
1.93

Dividends

Dividend Yield
BLBD
--
GBX
2.76%
Payout Ratio
BLBD
0.0%
GBX
27.29%

AI Verdict

BLBD BULLISH

BLBD exhibits strong financial health with a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, indicating robust operational and balance sheet strength. The company is growing rapidly, with 16.9% YoY revenue growth and 51.8% earnings growth, supported by improving margins and high returns on equity and assets. Despite a premium valuation relative to the Graham Number ($26.31) and elevated Price/Book ratio, the stock trades below the growth-based intrinsic value estimate of $113.28 and has a strong analyst consensus. However, recent insider selling activity presents a notable counter-signal to the otherwise positive fundamentals.

Strengths
Exceptional Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, signaling strong financial health and operational efficiency
High profitability metrics: ROE of 61.56% and ROA of 18.36% far exceed sector averages
Strong earnings and revenue growth: 51.8% YoY earnings growth and 16.9% revenue growth
Risks
Significant insider selling: $7.29M in insider sales over the last 6 months with no buys
Valuation appears stretched: Price/Book of 6.19 and P/E of 12.91 exceed sector median despite strong growth
Lack of Altman Z-Score limits ability to assess bankruptcy risk quantitatively
GBX NEUTRAL

GBX presents a conflicted profile with a stable Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 and a defensive Graham Number of $73.05, suggesting significant asset-based value. However, this is heavily offset by a growth-based intrinsic value of $32.83 and alarming fundamental deterioration, including a 69.9% drop in YoY earnings. While the company maintains a strong liquidity position (Current Ratio 3.71) and trades below book value (P/B 0.97), the combination of negative revenue growth and bearish technicals suggests a value trap risk.

Strengths
Deep value valuation with P/B of 0.97 and P/S of 0.53
Strong short-term liquidity with a Current Ratio of 3.71
Sustainable dividend profile with a low payout ratio of 27.29%
Risks
Severe earnings contraction (-69.9% YoY)
Significant revenue decline (-22.9% YoY)
Bearish technical trend (0/100) and negative short-term price momentum

Compare Another Pair

BLBD vs GBX: Head-to-Head Comparison

This page compares Blue Bird Corporation (BLBD) and The Greenbrier Companies, Inc. (GBX) across key fundamental metrics including valuation ratios, profitability margins, growth rates, financial health indicators, and dividend metrics. Each metric highlights the better-performing stock so you can quickly identify relative strengths and weaknesses.

Our AI engine independently analyzes each company's financials, competitive position, and market conditions to produce a verdict (Bullish, Neutral, or Bearish) along with key strengths and risks. Use this comparison alongside your own research to make informed investment decisions.

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