GBX
NEUTRAL
$49.29
Live
The Greenbrier Companies, Inc. · NYSE
Target $44.67
(-9.4%)
$38.23
52W Range
$59.19
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Apr 27, 2026
Market cap
$1.52B
P/E
10.51
ROE
9.3%
Profit margin
5.1%
Debt/Equity
1.05
Dividend yield
2.76%
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
85%
GBX presents a conflicted profile with a stable Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 and a defensive Graham Number of $73.05, suggesting significant asset-based value. However, this is heavily offset by a growth-based intrinsic value of $32.83 and alarming fundamental deterioration, including a 69.9% drop in YoY earnings. While the company maintains a strong liquidity position (Current Ratio 3.71) and trades below book value (P/B 0.97), the combination of negative revenue growth and bearish technicals suggests a value trap risk.
Key Strengths
Deep value valuation with P/B of 0.97 and P/S of 0.53
Strong short-term liquidity with a Current Ratio of 3.71
Sustainable dividend profile with a low payout ratio of 27.29%
Low PEG ratio (0.58) suggesting potential undervaluation relative to long-term growth
Defensive fair value (Graham Number) significantly above current market price
Key Risks
Severe earnings contraction (-69.9% YoY)
Significant revenue decline (-22.9% YoY)
Bearish technical trend (0/100) and negative short-term price momentum
Insider sentiment is bearish with recent selling activity
Analyst target price ($44.67) is below the current market price
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$42.5
-13.8% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
58
Moderate
85
20
60
55
70
AI Verdict
Value Trap Warning
Key drivers: Extreme valuation discount, Severe fundamental decay, Strong balance sheet liquidity
Confidence
90%
Value
85/100
Ref P/E 10.51, P/B 0.97, Graham Number $73.05
Positives
- P/E of 10.51 is low for Industrials
- Trading below book value
- Graham Number suggests high defensive margin
Watchpoints
- Intrinsic value based on growth is much lower than current price
Future
20/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- Low PEG ratio
Watchpoints
- Revenue growth -22.9%
- Earnings growth -69.9%
- Negative Q/Q momentum
Past
60/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- Strong 3-year price appreciation (+95%)
- History of earnings beats in previous years
Watchpoints
- Recent quarterly earnings misses and volatility
Health
55/100
Ref Piotroski F-Score 4/9
Positives
- Excellent Current Ratio (3.71)
- Manageable Debt/Equity (1.05)
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates only marginal stability
Dividend
70/100
Ref Yield 2.76%, Payout 27.29%
Positives
- Sustainable payout ratio (27.29%)
- Consistent yield of 2.76%
Watchpoints
- Dividend strength score is low (35/100)
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$49.29
Analyst Target
$44.67
Upside/Downside
-9.4%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for GBX and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-04-24
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
GBX
The Greenbrier Companies, Inc.
Primary
|
+18.6% | +95.0% | +18.2% | +9.5% | -5.5% | -1.4% |
|
RCAT
Red Cat Holdings, Inc.
Peer
|
+218.0% | +1279.6% | +147.9% | +8.3% | -25.2% | +2.8% |
|
EOSE
Eos Energy Enterprises, Inc.
Peer
|
-73.2% | +49.0% | +39.1% | -69.0% | -25.6% | -8.0% |
|
TH
Target Hospitality Corp.
Peer
|
+453.6% | +21.2% | +145.8% | +118.0% | +72.9% | +8.1% |
|
BLBD
Blue Bird Corporation
Peer
|
+124.7% | +226.8% | +27.2% | +7.6% | -4.4% | +1.1% |
GBX
The Greenbrier Companies, Inc.
Primary
5Y
+18.6%
3Y
+95.0%
1Y
+18.2%
6M
+9.5%
1M
-5.5%
1W
-1.4%
RCA
Red Cat Holdings, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+218.0%
3Y
+1279.6%
1Y
+147.9%
6M
+8.3%
1M
-25.2%
1W
+2.8%
EOS
Eos Energy Enterprises, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-73.2%
3Y
+49.0%
1Y
+39.1%
6M
-69.0%
1M
-25.6%
1W
-8.0%
TH
Target Hospitality Corp.
Peer
5Y
+453.6%
3Y
+21.2%
1Y
+145.8%
6M
+118.0%
1M
+72.9%
1W
+8.1%
BLB
Blue Bird Corporation
Peer
5Y
+124.7%
3Y
+226.8%
1Y
+27.2%
6M
+7.6%
1M
-4.4%
1W
+1.1%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
10.51
Forward P/E
12.12
PEG Ratio
0.58
P/B Ratio
0.97
P/S Ratio
0.53
EV/Revenue
1.04
EV/EBITDA
8.89
Market Cap
$1.52B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
5.12%
Operating Margin
2.06%
Gross Margin
16.16%
ROE
9.31%
ROA
3.11%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
-22.9%
Earnings Growth
-69.9%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
-22.91%
Q/Q Earnings Growth
-71.1%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
1.05
Moderate
Current Ratio
3.71
Strong
Quick Ratio
1.93
Excellent
Cash/Share
$17.2
Financial Statement Flow
Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q1 2026
Revenue
$0.6B
Gross Margin
11.8%
Op. Margin
2.1%
Net Margin
2.6%
Total Assets
$4.3B
Liabilities
$2.6B
Equity
$1.6B
Debt/Equity
1.65x
Operating CF
$0.2B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$0.1B
FCF Yield
81%
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-07-01
$N/A
2026-04-07
$0.47
-42.9% surprise
2026-01-08
$1.14
+44.3% surprise
2025-10-28
$1.26
+6.8% surprise
Industrials Sector Comparison
Comparing GBX against 442 companies in the Industrials sector
(38 bullish, 159 neutral, 245 bearish)
P/E Ratio
10.51
This Stock
vs
75.66
Sector Avg
-86.1%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
9.31%
This Stock
vs
-20.3%
Sector Avg
-145.9%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
5.12%
This Stock
vs
6.49%
Sector Avg
-21.1%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
1.05
This Stock
vs
2.71
Sector Avg
-61.2%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
-22.9%
This Stock
vs
74.93%
Sector Avg
-130.6%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
3.71
This Stock
vs
3.16
Sector Avg
+17.3%
(Stronger)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
GBX
The Greenbrier Companies, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $1.52B | 10.51 | 9.3% | 5.1% | $49.29 | |
|
RCAT
Red Cat Holdings, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $1.54B | - | -48.7% | -177.0% | $12.72 | Compare |
|
EOSE
Eos Energy Enterprises, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $1.56B | - | -% | -% | $4.59 | Compare |
|
TH
Target Hospitality Corp.
|
BEARISH | $1.56B | - | -9.2% | -11.6% | $15.61 | Compare |
|
BLBD
Blue Bird Corporation
|
BULLISH | $1.57B | 12.91 | 61.6% | 8.6% | $49.57 | Compare |
GBX
The Greenbrier...
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$1.5B
P/E
10.5
ROE
9.3%
Price
$49.29
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-03 | TERAMOTO WENDY L | Director | Gift | 294 | - |
| 2026-01-30 | KRUEGER WILLIAM J | Officer | Sale | 6,000 | $300,000 |
| 2026-01-07 | FELTON WANDA F. | Director | Stock Award | 2,772 | - |
| 2026-01-07 | FELTON WANDA F. | Director | Stock Award | 2,022 | - |
| 2026-01-07 | GARZA ANTONIO O JR. | Director | Stock Award | 3,465 | - |
| 2026-01-07 | HUFFINES JAMES R | Director | Option Exercise | 2,528 | $127,942 |
| 2026-01-07 | SONGER JEFFREY M | Director | Stock Award | 1,776 | - |
| 2026-01-07 | WILLIAMS KELLY MARIE | Director | Option Exercise | 2,528 | $127,942 |
| 2026-01-07 | JACK GRAEME ALLAN | Director | Option Exercise | 2,528 | $127,942 |
| 2026-01-07 | FARGO THOMAS BOULTON | Director | Option Exercise | 2,528 | $127,942 |
| 2026-01-07 | TERAMOTO WENDY L | Director | Stock Award | 3,465 | - |
| 2025-12-03 | BOBB STEVAN B | Director | Stock Award | 12 | - |
| 2025-12-03 | GARZA ANTONIO O JR. | Director | Stock Award | 17 | - |
| 2025-12-03 | SONGER JEFFREY M | Director | Stock Award | 12 | - |
| 2025-12-03 | TERAMOTO WENDY L | Director | Stock Award | 17 | - |
TERAMOTO WENDY L
Director
2026-02-03
294 shares
KRUEGER WILLIAM J
Officer
2026-01-30
6,000 shares
·
$300,000
FELTON WANDA F.
Director
2026-01-07
2,772 shares
FELTON WANDA F.
Director
2026-01-07
2,022 shares
GARZA ANTONIO O JR.
Director
2026-01-07
3,465 shares
HUFFINES JAMES R
Director
2026-01-07
2,528 shares
·
$127,942
SONGER JEFFREY M
Director
2026-01-07
1,776 shares
WILLIAMS KELLY MARIE
Director
2026-01-07
2,528 shares
·
$127,942
JACK GRAEME ALLAN
Director
2026-01-07
2,528 shares
·
$127,942
FARGO THOMAS BOULTON
Director
2026-01-07
2,528 shares
·
$127,942
TERAMOTO WENDY L
Director
2026-01-07
3,465 shares
BOBB STEVAN B
Director
2025-12-03
12 shares
GARZA ANTONIO O JR.
Director
2025-12-03
17 shares
SONGER JEFFREY M
Director
2025-12-03
12 shares
TERAMOTO WENDY L
Director
2025-12-03
17 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
SEC Filings
Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database
8-K
10-Q
8-K
8-K
10-Q
8-K
DEF 14A
10-K
8-K
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
NONE
3 analysts
Susquehanna
2026-01-26
Positive
Positive
Goldman Sachs
2025-11-21
Sell
Susquehanna
2025-10-29
Positive
Positive
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning GBX from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.