RCAT
BEARISH
$12.72
Live
Red Cat Holdings, Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $21.75
(+71.0%)
$4.6
52W Range
$18.78
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Apr 18, 2026
Market cap
$1.54B
P/E
N/A
ROE
-48.7%
Profit margin
-177.0%
Debt/Equity
0.07
Dividend yield
N/A
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
85%
RCAT exhibits a weak deterministic health profile with a Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, indicating significant fundamental instability. While the company shows explosive Q/Q revenue growth (1609.38%) and maintains an exceptionally strong liquidity position (Current Ratio 15.29), these are offset by a catastrophic profit margin of -176.96% and a Price/Sales ratio of 37.83, which is extreme for the Industrials sector. The stock is currently priced as a high-growth speculative asset, but a consistent track record of missing earnings estimates over 17 quarters suggests a failure to execute on financial projections.
Key Strengths
Explosive Q/Q revenue growth of 1609.38%
Very low leverage with a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.07
Exceptional short-term liquidity (Current Ratio 15.29)
Strong analyst consensus with a 'strong_buy' rating and $21.75 target
Significant 1-year price appreciation (+147.9%)
Key Risks
Extreme valuation with a Price/Sales ratio of 37.83
Deeply negative profitability (Profit Margin -176.96%)
Chronic history of earnings misses (only 1 beat in last 4 quarters)
Very thin gross margins (3.13%) limiting scalability
Bearish technical trend (0/100) and recent 1-month price drop of 25.2%
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
29
Weak
10
75
20
40
0
AI Verdict
Speculative Growth / Fundamental Weakness
Key drivers: Hyper-growth in revenue, Severe lack of profitability, Extreme valuation premium, Strong balance sheet liquidity
Confidence
90%
Value
10/100
Ref P/S 37.83, P/B 6.21, Graham Number N/A
Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
- P/S ratio of 37.83 is unsustainable
- P/B ratio of 6.21 is high for the sector
- No positive earnings to support a P/E valuation
Future
75/100
Ref Q/Q Revenue Growth 1609.38%
Positives
- Massive Q/Q revenue acceleration
- Strong analyst price targets ($21.75)
Watchpoints
- Forward P/E remains negative (-42.40)
- Inability to convert revenue growth into profit
Past
20/100
Ref Quarterly Earnings Track Record
Positives
- Strong 1Y and 3Y price returns
Watchpoints
- Consistent EPS misses over 17 quarters
- Average surprise of -18.59% over last 4 quarters
Health
40/100
Ref Piotroski F-Score 3/9, Debt/Equity 0.07
Positives
- Very low Debt/Equity (0.07)
- High Current Ratio (15.29)
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score 3/9 (Weak)
- Negative ROE (-48.71%) and ROA (-25.28%)
Dividend
0/100
Ref Dividend Yield N/A
Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
- No dividend paid
- No history of payouts
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$12.72
Analyst Target
$21.75
Upside/Downside
+71.0%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for RCAT and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-04-17
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
RCAT
Red Cat Holdings, Inc.
Primary
|
+218.0% | +1279.6% | +147.9% | +8.3% | -25.2% | +2.8% |
|
EOSE
Eos Energy Enterprises, Inc.
Peer
|
-73.2% | +49.0% | +39.1% | -69.0% | -25.6% | -8.0% |
|
BLBD
Blue Bird Corporation
Peer
|
+124.7% | +226.8% | +27.2% | +7.6% | -4.4% | +1.1% |
|
NSSC
Napco Security Technologies, Inc.
Peer
|
+176.7% | +36.4% | +107.4% | +2.3% | +3.2% | +3.8% |
|
AMSC
American Superconductor Corporation
Peer
|
+20.7% | +535.7% | +66.4% | -44.9% | -9.5% | +12.0% |
RCA
Red Cat Holdings, Inc.
Primary
5Y
+218.0%
3Y
+1279.6%
1Y
+147.9%
6M
+8.3%
1M
-25.2%
1W
+2.8%
EOS
Eos Energy Enterprises, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-73.2%
3Y
+49.0%
1Y
+39.1%
6M
-69.0%
1M
-25.6%
1W
-8.0%
BLB
Blue Bird Corporation
Peer
5Y
+124.7%
3Y
+226.8%
1Y
+27.2%
6M
+7.6%
1M
-4.4%
1W
+1.1%
NSS
Napco Security Technologies, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+176.7%
3Y
+36.4%
1Y
+107.4%
6M
+2.3%
1M
+3.2%
1W
+3.8%
AMS
American Superconductor Corporation
Peer
5Y
+20.7%
3Y
+535.7%
1Y
+66.4%
6M
-44.9%
1M
-9.5%
1W
+12.0%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
-42.4
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
6.21
P/S Ratio
37.83
EV/Revenue
34.16
EV/EBITDA
-21.63
Market Cap
$1.54B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
-176.96%
Operating Margin
-91.26%
Gross Margin
3.13%
ROE
-48.71%
ROA
-25.28%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
N/A
Earnings Growth
N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth
+1609.38%
Q/Q Earnings Growth
N/A
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.07
Low debt
Current Ratio
15.29
Strong
Quick Ratio
13.07
Excellent
Cash/Share
$1.39
Financial Statement Flow
Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025
Revenue
$0.0B
Gross Margin
4.2%
Op. Margin
-91.3%
Net Margin
-74.9%
Total Assets
$0.3B
Liabilities
$0.0B
Equity
$0.2B
Debt/Equity
0.11x
Operating CF
$-0.0B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$-0.0B
FCF Yield
115%
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-05-07
$N/A
2026-03-18
$-0.17
-13.3% surprise
2025-11-13
$-0.16
-60.0% surprise
2025-08-14
$-0.09
+17.6% surprise
Industrials Sector Comparison
Comparing RCAT against 294 companies in the Industrials sector
(21 bullish, 101 neutral, 172 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-48.71%
This Stock
vs
-20.62%
Sector Avg
+136.2%
(Excellent)
Profit Margin
-176.96%
This Stock
vs
10.86%
Sector Avg
-1728.9%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.07
This Stock
vs
2.99
Sector Avg
-97.5%
(Less Debt)
Current Ratio
15.29
This Stock
vs
3.12
Sector Avg
+389.4%
(Stronger)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
RCAT
Red Cat Holdings, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $1.54B | - | -48.7% | -177.0% | $12.72 | |
|
EOSE
Eos Energy Enterprises, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $1.56B | - | -% | -% | $4.59 | Compare |
|
BLBD
Blue Bird Corporation
|
BULLISH | $1.57B | 12.91 | 61.6% | 8.6% | $49.57 | Compare |
|
NSSC
Napco Security Technologies, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $1.58B | 33.49 | 26.4% | 24.7% | $44.21 | Compare |
|
AMSC
American Superconductor Corporation
|
BULLISH | $1.48B | 10.2 | 35.8% | 46.7% | $31.02 | Compare |
RCAT
Red Cat Holdings, Inc.
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$1.5B
P/E
-
ROE
-48.7%
Price
$12.72
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-31 | HITCHCOCK GEOFFREY WAYNE | Officer | Stock Award | 2,175 | - |
| 2026-03-31 | ERICSON CHRISTIAN | Chief Operating Officer | Stock Award | 4,073 | - |
| 2026-03-31 | MORRISON CHRISTIAN SPENST | Chief Financial Officer | Stock Award | 422 | - |
| 2026-03-17 | ERICSON CHRISTIAN | Chief Operating Officer | Stock Award | 12,500 | - |
| 2026-03-11 | ERICSON CHRISTIAN | Chief Operating Officer | Stock Award | 25,000 | - |
| 2025-12-29 | THOMPSON JEFFREY M | Chief Executive Officer | Gift | 9,500 | - |
HITCHCOCK GEOFFREY WAYNE
Officer
2026-03-31
2,175 shares
ERICSON CHRISTIAN
Chief Operating Officer
2026-03-31
4,073 shares
MORRISON CHRISTIAN SPENST
Chief Financial Officer
2026-03-31
422 shares
ERICSON CHRISTIAN
Chief Operating Officer
2026-03-17
12,500 shares
ERICSON CHRISTIAN
Chief Operating Officer
2026-03-11
25,000 shares
THOMPSON JEFFREY M
Chief Executive Officer
2025-12-29
9,500 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
SEC Filings
Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database
8-K
8-K
10-K
10-Q
10-Q
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
STRONG_BUY
4 analysts
Needham
2026-03-19
Buy
Buy
Ladenburg Thalmann
2026-03-03
Buy
Buy
Needham
2026-03-02
Buy
Buy
Needham
2026-01-13
Buy
Buy
Needham
2025-11-14
Buy
Buy
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning RCAT from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.