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BLMN vs FWRG

BLMN
Bloomin' Brands, Inc.
BEARISH
Price
$7.71
Market Cap
$657.0M
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
AI Confidence
85%
FWRG
First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.
BEARISH
Price
$11.65
Market Cap
$717.9M
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
AI Confidence
85%

Valuation

P/E Ratio
BLMN
20.84
FWRG
36.41
Forward P/E
BLMN
8.49
FWRG
38.18
P/B Ratio
BLMN
1.91
FWRG
1.14
P/S Ratio
BLMN
0.17
FWRG
0.59
EV/EBITDA
BLMN
8.34
FWRG
15.63

Profitability

Gross Margin
BLMN
13.58%
FWRG
20.24%
Operating Margin
BLMN
-0.43%
FWRG
3.17%
Profit Margin
BLMN
-1.46%
FWRG
1.59%
ROE
BLMN
12.43%
FWRG
3.18%
ROA
BLMN
2.93%
FWRG
1.3%

Growth

Revenue Growth
BLMN
2.1%
FWRG
20.2%
Earnings Growth
BLMN
--
FWRG
2290.3%

Financial Health

Debt/Equity
BLMN
6.35
FWRG
1.61
Current Ratio
BLMN
0.45
FWRG
0.29
Quick Ratio
BLMN
0.31
FWRG
0.17

Dividends

Dividend Yield
BLMN
7.83%
FWRG
--
Payout Ratio
BLMN
186.49%
FWRG
0.0%

AI Verdict

BLMN BEARISH

The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals a weak financial health profile with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating borderline stability, and a lack of Altman Z-Score raises concerns about bankruptcy risk assessment. Despite a high dividend yield of 7.83%, the unsustainable payout ratio of 186.49% and negative profitability metrics signal severe earnings pressure. Valuation multiples appear deceptively attractive due to low P/E and P/S ratios, but these are distorted by weak or negative margins and declining earnings. The technical trend is bearish, insider activity shows net selling, and long-term price performance remains deeply negative, reinforcing a high-risk profile.

Strengths
High dividend yield of 7.83% offers income appeal despite sustainability risks
Forward P/E of 8.49 is significantly below sector average, suggesting potential value if turnaround succeeds
Recent quarterly earnings surprises have been positive in 2 of the last 4 quarters, showing some operational resilience
Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health and low resilience to shocks
Debt/Equity ratio of 6.35 is extremely high, far above sector average of 1.52, increasing financial risk
Negative profit and operating margins (-1.46%, -0.43%) show ongoing unprofitability
FWRG BEARISH

FWRG presents a contradictory profile where strong top-line growth is undermined by severe liquidity risks and bearish internal signals. While the Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicates stable operational health, the company's current ratio of 0.29 and quick ratio of 0.17 signal a critical short-term liquidity crisis. The stock is currently trading at a premium to both its Graham Number ($8.59) and Intrinsic Value ($9.44), while insiders—including the CEO and CFO—are aggressively selling. Despite strong analyst buy ratings, the combination of thin profit margins (1.59%) and a persistent technical downtrend suggests significant downside risk.

Strengths
Strong YoY revenue growth of 20.20%
Stable Piotroski F-Score (6/9)
Low Price-to-Sales ratio (0.59)
Risks
Critical liquidity risk (Current Ratio 0.29, Quick Ratio 0.17)
Aggressive insider selling by C-suite executives
Very thin net profit margins (1.59%)

Compare Another Pair

BLMN vs FWRG: Head-to-Head Comparison

This page compares Bloomin' Brands, Inc. (BLMN) and First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (FWRG) across key fundamental metrics including valuation ratios, profitability margins, growth rates, financial health indicators, and dividend metrics. Each metric highlights the better-performing stock so you can quickly identify relative strengths and weaknesses.

Our AI engine independently analyzes each company's financials, competitive position, and market conditions to produce a verdict (Bullish, Neutral, or Bearish) along with key strengths and risks. Use this comparison alongside your own research to make informed investment decisions.

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